[Coop]

I pray I'm wrong, but I have a bad feeling about this.

You have a bad feeling about every race in which the Pubbie isn't up by 20 points. How did you feel about the NJ Senate race two months ago? I can't recall how many arguments like this I had on NJ threads. Torricelli's and Davis' re-elect and approval numbers are quite similar. They stink.

[frmrda]

That's where you're wrong. I think the Pubbies will take back the Senate on the basis of several races that are too close to call - those being MN and SD(but only if Smith loses to Sununu - if Smith is the candidate the net change will be zero).

You can't compare this to the NJ Senate race - for all his corruption Davis hasn't had the specific sort of rebuke (or should I say "severe reprimand" - what is that - like your "permanent record"?) that the Torch got from the Senate.

Ask yourself this - do you think for one second that had the Johnny Chang thing not happened that Forrester would be anywhere within striking distance.

No, I'm not a doomsayer - I have the same feeling about this race as I did in Schundler/McGreevey - Right man, wrong place.