Posted on 07/22/2002 3:39:39 AM PDT by JameRetief
No doubt about it . . . and given the history of NexT, that would have happened back in 386 days, had Jobs not been forced out of Apple. The whole Mac history from then to OS 9 would have been skipped, and x86 users would have had the option of switching from blue screening to Unix long before Linus Torvolds got into the act.Even without discarding Motorola, Apple could port OS X to compete directly with Windows, if it had the stomach for it. But Jobs would never price it aggressively . . . the NexT OS he ported, but priced at $1000. People bought Windows 3.0 for comparative peanuts, and Gates not Jobs became hyperrich.
An Intel port would have to be cheap, and at least a little degraded in order not to canibalize Mac sales--unless Apple wanted to go out of the hardware business altogether, as NexT did before dying altogether.
More short stuff, possibly?
"too far ahead of its time" in the sense of resource requirements? Perhaps that was the actual root of the problem. But had it been developed a little later--thus, for 486 hardware--Windows might already have owned the market. But if priced competively--and, certainly, if coming from Apple rather than Steve Jobs alone--there would have been a real contest, with Gates selling patent slop in comparison to a Sys X lite. Part of what made Windows go, tho, was Office.
Here it is in its entirety:
(5m 40s) Steve Jobs was asked about porting Mac OS X to Intel:Steve Jobs: "The roadmap on the PowerPC actually looks pretty good and there are some advantages to it. As an example, the PowerPC has something in it called AltiVec, we call the Velocity Engine -- it's a vector engine -- it dramatically accelerates media, much better than, as an example, the Intel processors or the AMD processors... so we actually eke out a fair amount of performance from these things when all is said and done. And the roadmap looks pretty good. Now, as you point out, once our transition to Mac OS 10 is complete, which I expect will be around the end of this year or sometime early next year and we get the top 20% of our installed base running 10, and I think the next 20 will come very rapidly after that. Then we'll have options, then we'll have options and we like to have options. But right now, between Motorola and IBM, the roadmap looks pretty decent. "
He implies an all together different sentiment within the complete quote.
AMD is IMHO the most innovative chip manufacturer working today. As to Apple porting OSX to a PC platform, I don't think it would kill Apple as a hardware manufacturer, as the quality and innovation of their computers has always been a huge selling point. The big concern would be, "what would Gates do to kill Apple?"
Never underestimate Bill Gates. Guy is a genious, and he knows how to cut people off at the ankles. Right now, he needs Apple. They stick at 5% of market, and give him cover to avoid being called a Monopoly. Apple ports to PC and Gates sees 25 to 35% of the market going Apple, and believe me, he'll start figuring a way to slice Jobs throat. Wouldn't be surprised if a plan wasn't already in place.
First moves would be threatening current PC manufacturers and peripheal makers with discount loss and removal of access to code necessary to make peripheals run. Second would be pulling Office as an OSX option. Third would be sabatoging code to make interchange between OSX apps and Win apps more difficult (remember the constant Windows code changes to make Wordperfect crash? How about Lotus 123?)
Most of Microsoft's profits come from Office, according to most reports. However, most of their control comes from Windows. For OSX to compete on a PC platform, Jobs would have to be able to get down and dirty with Gates. Pretty tall order for a company that has created practically every innovation in personal computers in the last fifteen years, but hasn't been able to convert it to market share. Also, I haven't seen anyone who can take Gates on in a slugfest over platforms. Lotta dead or dying companies out there that tried.
Jobs, IMHO, has the inverse of the MIDAS touch.
A black MAGNESIUM case for the NeXt????????
A cube like server that overheats??????
A CLOSED ARCHITECTURE system????
A $129 UPGRADE FEE for OSX10.2????
A funny looking lamp containing a computer????
The reason X86 architecture has zoomed ahead of PowerPC is that there is an enormous user base. Chipmakers on the X86 side are scrambling for the user base. This is called "competition", which Apple abhors.
In any event, it has caused an incredibly-short cycle time for new generations of CPU and graphics chips, thus 'evolution' proceeded very rapidly, hence the X86 stable blows the doors off the tired old Moto Power PC.
So finally the tiny brain in the tail of the dinosaur gets the message that the front of the beast has been devoured by mammals.
--Boris
Apple's strategy is to grow their marketshare on the current platform, which is much better suited for the task. They've managed to remain profitable during the economic downturn, and if the economy improves, they will probably succeed in gaining marketshare - and the probability that Mac OS X will be ported to Intel processors will be low.
Why don't they try some radical, like paying a dividend.
I am now on a no dividend no buy investment program.
Designing a processor beyond 1Ghz requires more than Steve Jobs hype. It requires LOTS of money and hard work by a quality semiconductor manufacturer AND the incentive for someone to invest that money and personel.
The small market Apple fills is not enough to justify a multi-billion dollar effort.
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