Botero took 3rd the last 2 years behind Lance & Ulrich, and is only 1'55" back.
I expect Lance to put some hurt on some people in the first few mountain stages, but my guess is he'll let the polka dot goats play, and settle for time over Galdeano & Botero. My only real concerns are that 1) - Lance is a momentum rider, and the 'fall' (first since he rturned to the Tour) might have taken a little edge off, and 2) - he's lost his two top domestiques to other teams.
RetiredArmy sayeth:
This Gonzalez guy was not even in the pre-race favorites.....