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Taking Back the Market by Force (Kudlow almost gets it right)
Townhall.com ^ | 6/28/2002 | Larry Kudlow

Posted on 06/29/2002 5:19:50 AM PDT by Charlotte Corday

The economy is doing fine, but the stock market is slumping. So far, the blame has rightly been placed on corporate corruption, dishonest accounting practices and some ill-advised protectionist trade moves by the Bush administration. But these, it seems, are only partly to blame.

A worrisome USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll reveals that only one in three Americans believes the United States is now winning the war on terrorism, with a full half saying the war is at a stalemate. Compare this with last January, when two-thirds of the country said the United States was winning the war.

Could it be that a lack of decisive follow-through in the global war on terrorism is the single biggest problem facing the stock market and the nation today? I believe it is.

There has been a big drop in the American spirit. The euphoria surrounding the successful victory in Afghanistan has given way to a gnawing fear that Osama bin Laden and his evil followers have survived and regrouped, and are getting ready to hit us again. Sept. 11 may not be the seminal event. A new calamity may befall us, one that will surely close our businesses, shut our financial markets, block basic family security and inflict unimagined pain on the nation. The down market is a manifestation of the pained expressions on our faces.

President Bush's speech Monday set down the clear democratic-reform principles necessary to change Palestine from a terrorist safe-harbor into a true member of the family of nations. He correctly delineated U.S. support for our democratic alley Israel and just as clearly assigned the appropriate blame to Arafat's piece of the evil axis. He also communicated the principles of free elections, representative government and the rule of law to the other Middle Eastern states that fail on all these counts. Bush wasn't only speaking to Iraq, Iran and Syria, but also to Saudi Arabia, and perhaps even Egypt.

But these are only more words in this global and just war on terror. The president must now execute and follow through in support of these fine principles. There can be no hesitation. In dealing with Israel and the PLA, there can be no return to the split-the-difference peace processes that have failed completely in the past.

Even more, Bush must not allow Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden to remain in play. That they are still around, poised to do catastrophic mischief, is a huge factor in just how far American confidence in this war has deteriorated.

To be sure, the greatest mistake Papa Bush ever made was leaving Saddam Hussein in place. Weakened or not, he is still there -- and Americans have never liked loose ends. With weapons of mass destruction at his disposal, and through his financing of terrorism worldwide, Saddam is a dangerous loose end.

Decisive shock therapy to revive the American spirit would surely come with a U.S. invasion of Iraq. Why not begin with a large- scale special-forces commando raid on the Iraqi oil fields? This will send a shot across Saddam's bow -- an electrifying signal to all terrorist nations. The message will be that the game is up. Surrender now, or you will be crushed in a short while.

Meanwhile, Saddam's cash flow can be cut off. Oil is his only crop, his single manufacture. Without money, there will be nothing left to steal and nothing to use to pay off his cronies.

A couple of weeks later, a final assault on Baghdad can take place. A small war, to use Wall Street Journal editorialist Max Boot's lexicon, led by fast-moving special forces and leather-toughened Marines, and assisted by high-tech precision bombs and air cover, can get the job done. All-out war mobilization is unnecessary. Iraq will fall with much less. At the same time, U.S. special forces must conduct a similar sweep to root out bin Laden and the Al Qaeda supporters along the Pakistan/Afghan border.

In his key war speeches thus far -- the axis of evil designation before Congress, the first-strike pre-emption speech at West Point and this week's Palestine-directed statement of institution-building through the principles of freedom -- Bush has kept democracy and a market economy central to solving this world terrorism crisis. But statements of principle only go so far. The spirit and security of the United States now require the instrument of war.

The shock therapy of decisive war will elevate the stock market by a couple thousand points. We will know that our businesses will stay open, that our families will be safe and that our future will be unlimited. The world will be righted in this life-and-death struggle to preserve our values and our civilization. But to do all this, we must act.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: kudlow; stockmarket; terrorism
Gosh darn it Larry, you make so many good points here I don't really want to criticize. But the first sentence in the last paragraph is morally disturbing, not to mention wrong.

Yes, we need to take all those foreign policy steps.

But they won't re-inflate the bubble.

That money you spent to buy Worldcom at $52 was the house's money. Let it go!

1 posted on 06/29/2002 5:19:50 AM PDT by Charlotte Corday
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To: Charlotte Corday
A worrisome USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll reveals that only one in three Americans believes the United States is now winning the war on terrorism, with a full half saying the war is at a stalemate.

Why is that disturbing? Sounds like -dare I say it- two out of three Americans have a realistic understanding of the status of the war.

2 posted on 06/29/2002 5:48:34 AM PDT by Huck
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To: Charlotte Corday
He may have some good points, but I get nervous when economists start playing armchair diplomat and general. He basically says we should start a war with Iraq to boost our economy. I agree that we should oust Saddam, but for much bigger national security reasons than just "damn, my 401(k) is losing money." Sending our men into harms way and asking them to make the ultimate sacrifice just so the Dow can break 12000 again is cold-blooded, if you ask me.

}:-)4

3 posted on 06/29/2002 5:49:59 AM PDT by Moose4
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To: Huck
Tell me you don't have a problem with this sentence.

The shock therapy of decisive war will elevate the stock market by a couple thousand points.

4 posted on 06/29/2002 5:55:31 AM PDT by Charlotte Corday
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: Moose4
Sending our men into harms way and asking them to make the ultimate sacrifice just so the Dow can break 12000 again is cold-blooded, if you ask me.

I agree. The market should get out of the "crap shoot" business and get into the dividend driven aspect of pricing stocks.

6 posted on 06/29/2002 5:59:06 AM PDT by RGSpincich
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To: Charlotte Corday
Yeah, that's creepy. For some reason, it calls this to my mind:

Now the rovin' gambler he was very bored
He was tryin' to create a next world war
He found a promoter who nearly fell off the floor
He said I never engaged in this kind of thing before
But yes I think it can be very easily done
We'll just put some bleachers out in the sun
And have it on Highway 61.

--Bob Dylan


7 posted on 06/29/2002 6:08:07 AM PDT by Huck
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To: Charlotte Corday
Decisive shock therapy to revive the American spirit would surely come with a U.S. invasion of Iraq. Why not begin with a large- scale special-forces commando raid on the Iraqi oil fields? This will send a shot across Saddam's bow -- an electrifying signal to all terrorist nations. The message will be that the game is up. Surrender now, or you will be crushed in a short while.

My favorite paragraph. But he could've said it much simpler, with fewer words:

Kick their ass, and take their gas.

And yes, it would go a LONG WAY to boost American Spirit and let the arab world (purposely lower case) know that we simply aren't going to take their manipulative bullsh*t any longer.

8 posted on 06/29/2002 6:11:45 AM PDT by usconservative
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To: Charlotte Corday
Tell me you don't have a problem with this sentence.

Any "war" to simply boost the stock market is simply wrong. The bubble has burst on an over-inflated market that was driven by corruption, fraudulent accounting practices, and a white house administration (Clinton) who simply looked the other way for 8 years when it came to ACCOUNTABILITY for racking up alleged "profits" as a way to milk the American Public out of their hard earned investment dollars and drive a FALSE PERCEPTION that the economy was much better than it really was.

A war to secure our country against further terrorist attacks which happens to help secure our economy at the same time however, I'm all for. Defense of our Country is always primary. If there are economic benefits, all the better - but those benefits are secondary.

9 posted on 06/29/2002 6:17:40 AM PDT by usconservative
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To: adolfus34
Let's start decisive wars with China and Russia, maybe that will elevate the stock markets (in form of radioactive dust) to the Oort cloud.

The best strategy might be think globally, act locally; plunder your next-door neighbor, in theory this move should not only boost the market, but also allow you to get a little taste for yourself.

10 posted on 06/29/2002 6:30:56 AM PDT by TightSqueeze
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To: Charlotte Corday
I think starting out with an attack on the oil fields would be a mistake - it would lead to an immediate and probably long standing total arab oil boycott. RATHER HIT HIM IN THE MILITARY GUT QUICK, GET HIM OUT.
11 posted on 06/29/2002 8:13:59 AM PDT by salbam
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