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To: DoughtyOne
I think you need to take a course in statistics. Your data points are not too relevant, and your trend line is ragged. Actually the fertility drop has been huge since 1960. You need to explain why it will not continue to drop in developing countries, against all evidence and economic theory, or as you imply actually pop back up. Thanks for sharing though.

By the way, when I am blown out, I cut my loses. Has that tactic ever occurred to you? Probably not. LOL.

32 posted on 03/04/2002 10:45:15 PM PST by Torie
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To: Torie
I used the link that GeronL provided in response 34.  This is the statement I found there.

For decades, demographers have assumed that fertility rates in developing countries will eventually fall to replacement level -- about 2 children per woman -- and then stabilize at that level.  However, over the past decade, more and more developing countries have joined developed countries in seeing their fertility levels fall below this replacement fertility floor, challenging the assumption that there is some inherent magnet drawing populations to a replacement-level equilibrium.

In all of history it took us until 1954 to realize three billion people on the planet.  In 1999, just 45 years later, we doubled that figure.  In the last twenty years we have added two billion people or fifty percent to the population of the planet.  That growth rate would see the population doubled in 42 years.  Despite this two billion increase in the last 20 years, the UN is thrilled.  It thinks the populace is going to top out despite the fact that the population is growing more rapidly than it every has.

It's almost comical, actually is down right sad, to watch people convince themselves that at least six thousand years of history will be overruled by ten years of what may or may not be an anomoly, may or may not be factual numbers.  We witness the actions of the UN all over the planet.  They lie when it comes to the middle east.  They vilify anyone in Europe who doesn't want to see their nation overrun by immigrants from asia.  They think that we are wrong to try to enforce our borders.  Despite this, people on this forum find the UN's fishy numbers to be very accurate when it plays into their fantacies.

The fact is we had 4 billion people in 1978.  We had 6 billion in 1999.  We will have roughly eight billion by 2020.  The numbers show that we are still adding around 100 million each year.  One of the links I provided shows that the world population is 6,227 billion.  By 2020 we'll have 1.8 billion more people on the planet.  And the UN will still be lying to people like you who will still be more than happy to support them.

Torie, you may not agree with me, but the numbers clearly show that we're headed for 8 billion by 2020.  How can you accept that the UN states we will only have 9 billion by 2050?  Even if I am off by a factor, that 9 billion figure is pure fantasy.

36 posted on 03/04/2002 11:28:18 PM PST by DoughtyOne
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To: Torie
Thanks Torie, but that statement would be false. You didn't drop out of this thread despite the figures that prove the world's population increased faster than ever before during the last 20 years.
38 posted on 03/04/2002 11:37:57 PM PST by DoughtyOne
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