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Gore will win the 2004 nomination
SEATTLE POST-INTELLIGENCER ^ | Tuesday, February 12, 2002 | Marianne Means

Posted on 02/12/2002 9:57:37 PM PST by B-bone

WASHINGTON -- Former Vice President Al Gore's emergence last week from self-imposed exile was greeted with underwhelming public enthusiasm, as befitting the ghost of unhappy politics past.

When he dropped out of sight, it seemed a logical strategy. The country, the Democratic Party and Gore himself were exhausted after a controversial election that exposed the nation's irreconcilable ideological divisions. We were all cranky and in need of a respite.

As Gore re-enters the political debate, the country is still divided, but it is a very different place from what it was a year ago. The Republican rival who lost the popular vote but became president anyway has matured unexpectedly into an enormously popular wartime leader. The political agenda has been redefined, although Democrats and Republicans cannot agree on how to proceed.

Gore's pledge to campaign for Democratic candidates in the fall election suggests that he has not lost his lust for the White House. Whether he runs again may depend on how warmly he is received by party loyalists, some of whom are still angry that he ran a disappointing campaign in 2000.

Yet Gore remains the Democrats' best-known public figure not named Clinton or Kennedy. And name identification will be more important than ever in the 2004 presidential campaign because the primaries have been front-loaded; that is, their dates have been moved up. Under the new calendar, the nominee could well be chosen by March, which leaves little time for a relatively unknown candidate to emerge.

A recent USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll of Democratic adults indicated that 29 percent preferred Gore as the party's nominee. In second place was Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton with 14 percent, followed by former Sen. Bill Bradley with 9 percent and Sens. Joe Lieberman and Tom Daschle with 8 and 7 percent, respectively. Rep. Dick Gephardt had 6 percent support, Sen. John Kerry had 5 percent.

The low numbers reflect the fact that no single potential candidate has yet emerged to challenge Gore. Clinton insists she will not run in 2004. Bradley was badly beaten by Gore in the 2000 primaries, and Lieberman has said he will not run if Gore does. Gephardt ran unsuccessfully in 1986 and is likely to remain in the House if Democrats gain control and he becomes speaker. Kerry, already busily organizing and perhaps the most ambitious of the lot, is scarcely known outside his home state of Massachusetts.

Daschle, the Senate majority leader, increasingly looks like the most promising alternative to Gore.

Ironically, the Republicans are pumping up Daschle's political stock by singling him out for attack, demonizing him by name as an obstructionist -- and, in the process, making him into the leading partisan liberal. In GOP eyes this is supposed to be a devastating insult, but it is a heroic position from which to appeal to Democrats.

Even so, Gore has advantages that Daschle and the others lack in addition to a high recognition factor. He knows the opposition. Boy, does he know the opposition. A second time around, Gore should confront Bush with more confidence, fully aware of what to expect. In politics, experience is a good teacher.

Gore is finally his own man, free to reinvent himself. The graying beard is an outward manifestation of that independence. Although traditionalists are still bothered by them, the whiskers have become an integral part of his casual, tieless, earth-tone persona. The idea is that if he doesn't look the same on the outside, he's probably not the same inside either.

Gore no longer has to worry about President Clinton's shadow, for good or ill. Clinton remains a popular Democratic fund-raiser, but he's out of power, out of scandals and out of the central political spin cycle. Some Democrats believe Gore was mistaken to ignore Clinton during the campaign, but others think he had little choice, given the president's legal and moral problems. Four years from now, however, Clinton should be stale news.

Bush's high approval ratings may discourage other Democratic hopefuls who lack Gore's access to big party givers and his familiarity with the whole range of major national policy issues. On the other hand, they may remember 1992, when a different Bush incumbent was so popular following the Persian Gulf war that the party's biggest names declined to run against him. That left an obscure governor from Arkansas to pick up the pieces, and the White House.

Gore and his wife Tipper are leaving nothing to chance. They are planning a book tour to promote two books about American families they have written. Along the way, they will discuss domestic issues in non-political settings with ordinary voters. They will launch their enterprise at a book-sellers convention in New York in May.

Gore certainly isn't behaving like a man who has given up. My hunch is that he has worked out a three-year strategy for a Bush rematch. I even predict that he will win the 2004 Democratic nomination. Capturing the White House, however, depends as much on uncontrollable events as on the two candidates. Nobody knows that better than Gore himself.

© 1998-2002 Seattle Post-Intelligencer


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: electionpresident
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Run Al Run
1 posted on 02/12/2002 9:57:37 PM PST by B-bone
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To: B-bone
"Daschle, the Senate majority leader, increasingly looks like the most promising alternative to Gore."

LOL!!!!

2 posted on 02/12/2002 10:05:01 PM PST by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Right_in_Virginia
Bush is in 1 yr and they need this much start up time to try and gain interest in a candidate who lost already.
3 posted on 02/12/2002 10:07:27 PM PST by My Favorite Headache
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To: B-bone
Boy, the primary ought to be fun. The Daschle camp will have to insist that all debates be done from behind lecterns to allow Daschle to stand on a stool.

Imagining an open floor debate with Gore towering 1.5 feet over Daschle is making me laugh out loud.

4 posted on 02/12/2002 10:09:02 PM PST by SGCOS
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To: B-bone
Gore is finally his own man, free to reinvent himself.

DOES IT NEVER END????

That precise sentence has appeared in every single article about Gore I have read for TEN FRIGGIN YEARS. Enough already. SHEESH.

5 posted on 02/12/2002 10:14:14 PM PST by M. Thatcher
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To: B-bone
The Republican rival who lost the popular vote but became president anyway

==============================

It looks like someone still hasn't accepted what happened.

6 posted on 02/12/2002 10:14:39 PM PST by doug from upland
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To: My Favorite Headache
I guess they're hoping this will give Gore enough time to figure out who to be...this time.
7 posted on 02/12/2002 10:15:03 PM PST by Right_in_Virginia
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To: B-bone
"Yet Gore remains the Democrats' best-known public figure not named Clinton or Kennedy.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

Unfortunately for him though, Gore is synonymous with "Loser."

8 posted on 02/12/2002 10:23:17 PM PST by Judith Anne
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To: *Election President

9 posted on 02/12/2002 10:25:08 PM PST by Libertarianize the GOP
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To: Judith Anne
That's what they said about Nixon. A lot can change in 2 years and we should remain wary.
10 posted on 02/12/2002 10:30:46 PM PST by Zeroisanumber
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To: B-bone
This author wants Gore to run so bad she can taste it. Problem is, nearly everything she says is wishful construct based on what others IN HER OWN PARTY have said. One Democrat senator laughed at Gore running again. Big ticket donors are cautious of a Gore candidacy, to say the least. There's a load of wishin goin' on out deaher!
11 posted on 02/12/2002 10:31:52 PM PST by Draco
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To: B-bone

12 posted on 02/12/2002 10:36:26 PM PST by Fraulein
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To: B-bone
"Gore will win the 2004 nomination"

Don't forget to bring your shotguns for the flying pigs.

13 posted on 02/12/2002 10:40:18 PM PST by Don Myers
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To: Fraulein
Please, Please....let it be Gore.
President Bush would be able to do a Column C (Clinton) comparision to Colum B (Bush) -- and the difference will be shocking......
Semper Fi
14 posted on 02/12/2002 10:41:37 PM PST by river rat
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To: Zeroisanumber
True, but I don't look for it. Of course, I wouldn't mind if he did run...;-D
15 posted on 02/12/2002 10:42:30 PM PST by Judith Anne
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To: Draco
This author wants Gore to run so bad she can taste it. Problem is, nearly everything she says is wishful construct based on what others IN HER OWN PARTY have said. One Democrat senator laughed at Gore running again. Big ticket donors are cautious of a Gore candidacy, to say the least. There's a load of wishin goin' on out deaher.

That is exactly what this delusional fool is saying. I believe it was Jack Germond who said that Algore committed one of the CARDINAL SINS of democrat politics: he LOST an election that he was supposed to win, and better yet, should have won walking away. I would also add that he committed a even more grievous error - he lost his home state.

The premise of the author's article - that the nation is divided and stuck in pre-911 thinking is totally wrong (a lie). Reminds me of that journalist in the 70's who said she could not understand why Nixon won so easily in 74' because she did not know anyone who voted for him. Totally out of touch. Its that type of thinking that will continue to haunt DNC shills.

16 posted on 02/12/2002 10:42:32 PM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: B-bone
...making him [Daschle] into the leading partisan liberal. In GOP eyes this is supposed to be a devastating insult, but it is a heroic position from which to appeal to Democrats.

That's what they said about Dukakis, too...

17 posted on 02/12/2002 10:42:34 PM PST by krb
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To: Judith Anne
Hey Judith Anne ... Was just talking about Gore during the last election and some of the things we forgot .. like this photo ... Run Al Run!!!

18 posted on 02/12/2002 10:47:23 PM PST by Mo1
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To: Mo1
Hiya, Mo! Yes, I heard Al tried to sell his soul to the devil but the even the devil wasn't interested in a loser...;-D

Love the pic! He's the poster boy for stupid.

19 posted on 02/12/2002 10:53:00 PM PST by Judith Anne
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To: KC_Conspirator
"This author wants Gore to run so bad she can taste it. Problem is, nearly everything she says is wishful construct based on what others IN HER OWN PARTY have said. One Democrat senator laughed at Gore running again. Big ticket donors are cautious of a Gore candidacy, to say the least. There's a load of wishin goin' on out deaher."

Yeh, but remember, this babe is from SEATTLE, Left Coast, knee jerk Dimocrats, etc. The Seattle Post Intelligencer, BTW is well named. Post=after, Intelligencer. Been a long time since any intelligence came out of this rag.

20 posted on 02/12/2002 11:25:19 PM PST by holyscroller
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