Posted on 11/07/2001 6:46:23 PM PST by Dan from Michigan
To the MCRGO List:
This is a report of a so-called “debate” between Dr. John Lott, author of “More Guns Less Crime,” and Mr. Brian Mackie, Washtenaw County prosecutor. It took place in Room 220 of Hutchins Hall at the UM Law school. The meeting was organized by Mike Moreland, a UM law student, and moderated by Professor Sherman Clark of the UM Law School.
The room, which seats probably 200 people, was overflowing, with all walls lined with people. We had many MCRGO stalwarts in attendance. I spoke with a woman who said she was Ann Arbor chair of the MMM; I asked her how many active members she had and she either didn’t hear me or elected not to respond. I spoke with Dr. Lott prior to the meeting and thanked him for his significant part in bringing CCW reform to Michigan. And, with John Ellison’s help, we handed out about 150 or so MCRGO trifolds and another 50 or so of the CCW trifold. I could tell from the response that some strongly anti-firearms-rights people were there, but I didn’t run across very many.
The format was to be a presentation by each participant, then a brief rebuttal time, then questions from the floor. [This is hardly a “debate.”]
Dr. Lott was invited to go first. He discussed the importance of weighing the good that comes from firearms against the bad. He said that firearms are used defensively about two million times per year, five times the number of times that guns are used in crimes. He discussed the media reporting of the school shooting in Pearl, Mississippi, where the assistant principal ran to his car, got his handgun, and stopped the shooter some 8 minutes before the police arrived. [The shooter had something like 28 rounds left at the time the principal stopped him.] In the month following this shooting, where several students were killed, there were 697 news stories about it in the media. Of these, only 19 stories mentioned the assistant principal at all, 13 mentioned that he had stopped the shooting, and only 10 mentioned that he had used a gun. Dr. Lott said that some 40 percent of public school shootings are stopped by citizens with guns, but you would never know it from media reports.
Dr. Lott discussed several myths that actually endanger the public:
· “Behave passively.” Some resistance is dangerous, such as a woman using her fists or trying to run away. Some resistance is safer, and by far the safest action is to use a firearm for self defense. Use of a firearm is 2.5 times safer than being passive in the face of criminal attack.
· “Most murders are by friends or acquaintances.” These data suggest that this means friends and relatives. Dr. Lott said that most of these killings are by gang members who “know” the members of the other gang. He described the definition of “acquaintance” as used in this study: If a cab driver picks up a person who knifes him a minute later from inside the car, that person is an “acquaintance.” If the killer knifes him through his window without getting in the cab, he is a “stranger.”
· “A gun in the home poses a higher risk to the homeowner than to a criminal.” The biggest flaw in this argument is that it counts only dead criminals but ignores the thousand successful thwarting of criminals for every criminal killed; it doesn’t even count criminals who are wounded but not killed. Another flaw in these data is that if a homeowner is wounded and it turns out that he owns a gun, it is assumed that his own gun injured him; in fact, under careful scrutiny it turns out that only 19 percent of these guns owned by homeowners led to their own injuries.
In closing, Dr. Lott said that gun-control laws such as waiting periods lead to increase in crime. The Brady law has never been demonstrated to lead to a decrease in crime and several studies have shown that it leads to increase in crime. Blacks in high-crime areas benefit the most from CCW laws. Licensing and registration have not led to improvement in solving crimes; he cited Hawaii data. In general, the most vulnerable people are harmed the most by restrictive firearms laws: women, old people, and the infirm.
Mr. Mackie started by talking about firearms injuries to children. He said that the death of even one child is important to him, and that it saddens him when he hears of a 3-year-old being shot by a gun that was carelessly left unguarded in a home. He said there are 322,806 people in Washtenaw County.
Mr. Mackie then attacked Dr. Lott by reading some quotes from an op-ed piece that Dr. Lott had written regarding the increase in crime in the District of Columbia following the lowering of their standards for police officers. Mr. Mackie said that this provided some idea of Dr. Lott’s views on affirmative action.
Mr. Mackie read from statistics taken from the Handgun Control website, where in Texas and Florida, by carefully selecting the periods for which you wish to make a comparison, it can be shown that during certain periods following passage of shall-issue laws, crime increased. He said that in Texas 23 CCW licensees have been arrested for murder.
Mr. Mackie said he disagrees with Dr. Lott’s statistics about rape, but he cited no numbers or other information. He described his experience as prosecutor where people who had felony records had applied for CCWs. He closed, and I quote, with “Some people in Washtenaw County have been denied [a CCW] under the new law who would have gotten their CCW under the old law.” Your reporter had some trouble following his train of thought on occasion.
Dr. Lott noted that of those 23 CCW licensees in Texas arrested for murder, 90 percent were either released later as self-defense shootings or were acquitted. He said that CCW licensees in Texas are convicted of crime at a rate that is 1/16th the rate for all Texas citizens.
He cited data for Florida from Oct. 1987 to mid-2001: 653,000 CCWs issued, 124 convictions of licensees, and of these 90 percent are for carrying in restricted areas. There were no convictions for murder by a CCW licensee in Florida.
Mr. Mackie said that he is in charge of minority hiring of police in Washtenaw County and that this does not lead to increase in crime. He told some anecdotal stories about CCW licensees in Texas who were convicted of murder. [These must have been the 10 percent, the two or three who were convicted, but he didn’t say.] He said again that one child is significant.
Mr. Mackie discussed some people who were denied CCWs in Washtenaw County. He said that gun boards are simply tools of the Legislature so that they can blame the gun boards for bad things done by CCW licensees; that is why he resigned from the gun board. He played an audio tape which few could understand which he said was an irate phone call by a CCW applicant to his NRA instructor; he said he wanted us to hear the “tone of voice” of the speaker.
The moderator then asked Dr. Lott to comment on the often-quoted statement about low crime rates in countries that have fewer guns than the U.S. Dr. Lott responded that if you look at all countries, not just a select few, you will find that the U.S. has a relatively low crime rate. He cited Switzerland, with 20 percent gun ownership, and Israel, with even higher gun ownership, as examples of countries with high gun ownership and very low crime rates. Israel’s crime rate is 40 percent less than Japan’s. In the U.S., the biggest increase in gun ownership has led to the lowest crime rate. For this, he cited a paper by Jeff Myran (sp?) on the Boston University Department of Economics website.
I forget the question that the moderator asked Mr. Mackie, but he responded by saying that he was supposed to be in Lansing today at 1:00 p.m. to testify before the Senate Judiciary Committee on the “pistol transportation bill.” [This bill, HB 5026, the Vear Transportation Bill, was heard at 9:00 a.m. today by the Senate Committee on Hunting, Fishing, and Forestry, which reported it out with a unanimous vote.] He said that most of the prosecutors, sheriffs, and police chiefs in Michigan are “uneasy” about the CCW-reform bill.
Dr. Lott closed by noting that 76 percent of street officers in the United States are in favor of shall issue laws.
There was no time left for questions from the floor.
011107
David Felbeck
Ann Arbor
Hmm... seems to me that Brian Mackie was running away from having to answer any difficult questions. Goes to show how the 'facts' that the gun-banners present can't stand the light of scrutiny.
Thanks. You may have saved a few lives today with your words and efforts in documenting how " scarce" their facts about guns are, yet how great their "fear" of safely armed citizens is.
Washtenaw county is the home of Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti, two of the most liberal cities in the state. Ypsi went 73% for Gore, and Ann Arbor(known as the Berkely of the Midwest) 70%. It is represented by Lynn Rivers in Congress, who is to the left of anyone who doesn't have the last name Conyors. That's not mentioning Alma Wheeler Smith, Chris Kolb, and Mackie himself.
FWIW, why is it that liberals, when they have no cerebral argument, automatically shift into "scare 'em and bring 'em to tears" mode?
Heterogeniety in demographics is a killer. What works in a highly bourgeois university town may not work elsewhere. Just a thought.
Although Ypsi has become a fairly rough town.
You might find it of interest that the county I live in, Snohomish WA, just today reported a 26% increase in CCW permit applications in the last month.
I could really use that so I could commit it to memory.Maybe the SAF guy across town from me has it.
Brian Mackie some years ago prosecuted a Chelsea church bus driver on trumped up sex abuse charges. The jury laughed the case out of court because the charges contradicted fact and logic. After the poor bus driver was set free Mackie told the presstitutes that the jury had failed to do its job and had set free a dangerous sex criminal. What a slime he is.
Some do. But a lot of blacks live in public housing. The wealthy blacks send their kids to private schools so they are not corrupted by the young gangstas from the drug infested public housing.
Some do. But a lot of blacks live in public housing. The wealthy blacks send their kids to private schools so they are not corrupted by the young gangstas from the drug infested public housing.
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