I dunno. The author doesn't seem to consider the impact of the big players(China, Russia) egging on/utilizing the small states as mercenary disruptors, while maintaining plausible deniability.
The big powers have had it. If, during the Cold War, the United States backed Israel against the Soviet Union, while Soviet Russia backed the Palestinians against the United States, in today's climate both the United States and Russia prefer to back each other against troublesome Jews and Muslims alike.
One could also ad to the Jews and Muslims.... Rhodesians and South Africans that the two powers agreed to back each other on.....sad but true!