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Brazil’s election is a chilling warning for America
The Blaze ^ | Oct 29, 2026 | Auron MacIntyre

Posted on 10/29/2026 1:00:57 PM PDT by Heartlander

Brazil’s election is a chilling warning for America

Flávio Bolsonaro found refuge in Miami after defeat; his father remains under house arrest. If America’s political order breaks down, where exactly will conservatives flee?

Flávio Bolsonaro has fled Brazil after losing a presidential election he entered as the favorite. He finished ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round, then — if the reporting is accurate — lost Sunday’s runoff by more than 4 million votes.

Within days, a Brazilian Supreme Court justice ordered Flávio to surrender his passports in connection with a money-laundering investigation. He denies wrongdoing. He instead reached Miami, where the Trump administration has agreed to admit him and his family. His father, Jair Bolsonaro, is serving a 27-year sentence under house arrest. The Brazilian right has lost an election and watched its most prominent family come under the power of a judiciary it rightly regards as openly hostile.

The election itself was hardly free of controversy. As voting was supposed to end, Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin — who previously represented Lula — ordered polling times extended by two hours after complaints about “transportation problems.” Some polling places had already shut down. The order was then narrowed to those still open. Flávio challenged the result. The final margin was far larger than the number of votes cast after the ordinary closing time, so that extension alone cannot explain Lula’s victory. It does not follow that every concern about how Brazil conducted the election has been settled.

Jair Bolsonaro was a controversial president who openly rejected the fashionable positions of the global elite on abortion, affirmative action, drugs, and religion. He sought closer ties with America and Israel. After losing to Lula in 2022, he questioned the integrity of the electronic voting system, claiming voting machines had been hacked. Brazil’s Supreme Court subsequently convicted him of attempting a coup and sentenced him to 27 years and three months. Bolsonaro denies the charges. His supporters see the prosecution as political punishment; his opponents see it as the defense of constitutional order. The sentence carries the force of law. It does not oblige anyone to surrender his judgment about the court.

Without a thorough review of both elections by independent organizations, it is impossible to know whether the Brazilian races were fraudulent. Given the progressive political leanings of most of the organizations that conduct such reviews, it is unlikely they would declare the elections legitimate if blatant evidence was uncovered.

Even if an independent agency did claim that one or both Bolsonaros had been cheated out of a victory, it is unlikely that there is a government or international body willing to take action to pressure Brazil into removing Lula and installing Flávio. The results of the elections may appear highly suspect, but Lula remains in office and will be allowed to further consolidate power and punish his enemies. Without an outside authority to which they can appeal, Brazilian conservatives appear trapped in an increasingly dangerous political situation.

American conservatives should recognize the danger. Donald Trump lost a bitterly contested election in 2020, fought the result in court, faced criminal prosecutions connected to efforts to overturn it, and eventually returned to the White House. The parallels are hard to miss. When judges and prosecutors become participants in an all-or-nothing political struggle, appeals to their neutrality will satisfy fewer and fewer Americans.

Meanwhile, American progressives are making plans for a new institutional crisis of their own.

Recordings released by DataRepublican show figures associated with the United Democracy Alliance discussing “red lines” for treating the federal government as illegitimate, an options memo for governors, and the possibility of a constitutional “refounding moment” — i.e., replacing the Constitution. One participant described the crisis as “a real window of opportunity”; another spoke of an “extra constitutional process.”

Contingency planning is one thing. Treating a breakdown as the opportunity to replace the constitutional order is quite another. Why are these people developing criteria for when elected national institutions may be discarded, and who authorized them to decide?

Republicans respond as if the next constitutional crisis can be resolved with speeches. They have failed to turn much of Trump’s agenda into durable law. The House passed the SAVE America Act, but Republicans have failed to get it through the Senate. Party leaders who warn of election disorder have been unable to enact one of their own signature election bills.

To call congressional Republicans a total failure may be too generous. Failure assumes they were trying. Too many seem content to run out the clock on Trump and wait for MAGA to loosen its hold on the party. They would rather preserve their place in a failing political arrangement and throw the country into chaos than confront the possibility that the establishment itself needs to be replaced.

Conservatives had better understand what time it is. A stern lecture about civic responsibility will not stop a riot. Brilliant arguments about separation of powers will not restrain officials determined to bend the rules. A court’s seal does not make every political judgment impartial. If a constitutional crisis arrives, the right will need more than faith that its opponents will play fair.

The Bolsonaros can come to America. Americans have nowhere else to go. There will be no neutral power waiting offshore to repair our institutions, no foreign president to return the country to us. Republicans should prepare to defend the constitutional order while they still have the power to do so. Nobody is coming to save us.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: brazil; flviobolsonaro

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1 posted on 10/29/2026 1:00:57 PM PDT by Heartlander
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To: Heartlander

What electronic voting system do they use in Brazil? Dominion? Smartmatic?


2 posted on 10/29/2026 1:03:32 PM PDT by JewishRighter (LIBERALISM IS A DEADLY MENTAL DISORDER)
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To: Heartlander

If an election is stolen in America, the populace does nothing about it.


3 posted on 10/29/2026 1:03:33 PM PDT by ComputerGuy
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To: Heartlander

What electronic voting system do they use in Brazil? Dominion? Smartmatic?


4 posted on 10/29/2026 1:04:00 PM PDT by JewishRighter (LIBERALISM IS A DEADLY MENTAL DISORDER)
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To: Heartlander

It may be pew-pew time coming up.


5 posted on 10/29/2026 1:07:46 PM PDT by kaktuskid (And )
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To: ComputerGuy

> If an election is stolen in America, the populace does nothing about it. <

Part of the problem is that much of the populace will be unaware of it. The mainstream media will proclaim a great Democrat Party victory, and say nothing about the cheating.

The Founders were aware of the critical importance of a free press. They guaranteed it in the very first amendment. But today’s mainstream press is nothing like what the Founders envisioned.


6 posted on 10/29/2026 1:14:03 PM PDT by Leaning Right
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To: Heartlander

It is a warning only half of America cares about.


7 posted on 10/29/2026 1:14:57 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: ComputerGuy

“If an election is stolen in America, the populace does nothing about it.”

*************

The populace in general cares little about accountability. By the time they do, it will be too late.


8 posted on 10/29/2026 1:15:45 PM PDT by Starboard
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To: Leaning Right

But today’s mainstream press is nothing like what the Founders envisioned.

- - - - - - -

Thomas Jefferson, whose election to the presidency had been hailed as the “revolution of 1800,” was constantly denounced during his two administrations (1801-1809) by the Federalist press. He was accused of everything from atheism to a desire to make America a French satellite. His consequent dim view of the press, which he retained to the end of his life, is expressed in this letter to John Norvell, dated June 14, 1807.

https://cdn.britannica.com/primary_source/eb/116906.html


9 posted on 10/29/2026 1:16:59 PM PDT by TTFX
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To: Heartlander

2020 was America’s “warning”.

Our Deep State is a Cancer. Cancer must be removed and destroyed.


10 posted on 10/29/2026 1:20:27 PM PDT by Empire_of_Liberty
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To: TTFX

Right. The early American press did denounce Jefferson. Even Washington wasn’t spared fierce criticism. But that press was roughly balanced. You had your Jefferson haters and your Jefferson supporters.

There’s no balance in today’s mainstream media. It’s lukewarm Fox vs. rabid ABC, rabid MSNBC, etc.

The Internet does smooth things out a little. But not enough.


11 posted on 10/29/2026 1:26:00 PM PDT by Leaning Right
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To: TTFX

Great link. Thanks.


12 posted on 10/29/2026 1:28:54 PM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: TTFX; All

https://quotefancy.com/quote/1033703/Aleksandr-Solzhenitsyn-Such-as-it-is-the-press-has-become-the-greatest-power-within-the


13 posted on 10/29/2026 1:30:42 PM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: TTFX

Good read thanks for the link. Will recite some of that at Bible study today.


14 posted on 10/29/2026 1:34:31 PM PDT by mitch5501 ("make your calling and election sure:for if ye do these things ye shall never fall")
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To: ComputerGuy

Trump blew it, Jan 6th should have been a real insurrection. Trump should have said “They stole the election, get your guns and head to Washington and let’s end the cheating Democrats once and for all”


15 posted on 10/29/2026 1:40:05 PM PDT by qam1 (There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
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To: Heartlander
If America’s political order breaks down, where exactly will conservatives anybody flee?

Fixed.

16 posted on 10/29/2026 1:46:37 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
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To: JewishRighter

It was probably not the machines. Lula’s Lawyer who he put on their SC ordered the polls in Lula’s districts to remain open after his opponent’s had closed. Word was sent out them and they had a good idea of how many more votes they would to reverse the lead as Lula was behind when they did that .


17 posted on 10/29/2026 1:54:23 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: JewishRighter

It was probably not the machines. Lula’s Lawyer, who he put on their SC, ordered the polls in Lula’s districts to remain open after his opponent’s had closed. Word was sent out them and they had a good idea of how many more votes they would to reverse the lead as Lula was behind when they did that. You will few if any Media outlets mentioning this detail and it has all but disappeared now.


18 posted on 10/29/2026 1:57:18 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: gibsonguy

Sounds exactly like the 2am Biden dump of fake votes.


19 posted on 10/29/2026 2:08:35 PM PDT by Blue Highway ( )
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To: Heartlander

Men never see how much the collectivists want power, until they take it.


20 posted on 10/29/2026 2:18:01 PM PDT by lurk (u)
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