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Trump’s Immigration Enforcement Really Is Slashing Violent Crime
The Federalist ^ | July 09, 2026 | John R. Lott Jr.

Posted on 07/09/2026 8:48:33 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

Is crime falling? Some conservatives, notably Steve Bannon, argue that Americans should ignore the FBI’s crime statistics showing record drops in violent crime. The murder rate last year fell to the lowest rate ever recorded, and the violent crime rate is clearly at the lowest in many decades. But Bannon recently declared that “nobody believes” FBI crime data or its director, Kash Patel, adding: “I don’t want to hear any more statistics about how crime’s coming down.”

That skepticism overlooks an important distinction.

The FBI has made mistakes in the past, particularly in its active shooter reports and hate crime data. Some police departments have also failed to report complete crime data to the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports. But those problems do not explain the concerns with the measure of overall crime.

The real issue is understanding what different crime measures actually tell us. Past problems with the FBI’s measure of crimes reported to police do not mean anyone manipulated the data. Nor do they mean that last year’s reported decline in crime — or the declines so far this year — are inaccurate.

The United States has two primary measures of violent crime. The FBI tracks crimes reported to police. The Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) estimates both reported and unreported crime. Researchers have known for decades that most crimes never reach the police. Victims report only about 40 percent of violent crimes and roughly 30 percent of property crimes.

The media focuses almost exclusively on FBI crime data. Before 2020, FBI data and the NCVS generally moved in the same direction. During the Biden administration, however, they sharply diverged. While reported violent...


(Excerpt) Read more at thefederalist.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption
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1 posted on 07/09/2026 8:48:33 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ueivjr3f8xg&list=RDUeivjr3f8xg&start_radio=1


2 posted on 07/09/2026 9:18:47 PM PDT by Beowulf9
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Trump quickly found Bannon out. I rate Bannon the same a Carlson: wholly untrustworthy.


3 posted on 07/09/2026 10:17:07 PM PDT by citizen (All Bush-era RINOs have got to be primaried out.)
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To: citizen
Tucker is awesome. He offers reasoned, polite, intelligent discourse from a truly American First, Christian perspective.

Many conservatives who've never heard him find him appealing once they listen to his podcasts.

This is why Tucker's detractors are so terrified, why they're always smearing him. "Don't look there, nothing to see, just move along!"

4 posted on 07/09/2026 11:53:58 PM PDT by Angelino97
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To: Angelino97

That was true in the past. It no longer is. Tucker has gone completely off the rails. Hell, he even praises Islam now.


5 posted on 07/10/2026 12:34:35 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: Angelino97

Lately he’s sounding more Islamist.


6 posted on 07/10/2026 3:00:36 AM PDT by A_perfect_lady (The greatest wealth is to live content with little. -Plato)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

So many articles about violence and murder this morning. The headline for this one comes with a keyword—”Slashing”. How clever is that?!


7 posted on 07/10/2026 3:18:19 AM PDT by equaviator (Nobody's perfect. That's why they put pencils on erasers!)
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