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Posted on 06/03/2026 4:38:38 AM PDT by dennisw
Meanwhile, President Trump yesterday signed an executive order asking AI companies to voluntarily submit powerful new models for government review just 30 days before public release—a significantly watered-down version of the policy he was set to impose last month, which he reportedly rejected hours beforehand, saying it would “get in the way” of America’s competition with China.
Such are the stakes of the AI race: the promise and peril of unprecedented economic disruption, a winner-takes-all tussle for geopolitical supremacy.
With so much on the line, things could go very wrong, very fast.
“The unfolding history of artificial intelligence has now arrived at what may be its most dangerous moment,” he writes. “We may be hurtling toward the most dangerous arms race in history.” And we are doing so, argues Niall, when “the leadership of the competitors in this race is, to say the least, of mixed quality”:
The chief executives of the most important companies include at least one with a record of duplicity, and at least two egomaniacs. Meanwhile, the president of the United States is a former real estate developer and reality TV star, roughly half of whose public utterances are mere bluffs, and the leader of the People’s Republic of China is a Marxist-Leninist who aspires to eclipse Mao Zedong as a dictator.
What could possibly go wrong?
(Excerpt) Read more at thefp.com ...
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Not a good idea.
We should put AI in charge of our Department of War; specifically missile defence. We could call it ‘Skynet’?
If there was ever a time for an independent, Galt’s Gulch effort on AI, this is it.
The atomic bomb is a classic example of letting the genie out of the lamp. Once our bomb was out there, other countries raced for their own bomb. But then we settled into a Mutual Assured Destruction policy. I won’t do it, if you won’t do it. And sure, the Cold War was nerve racking, and we still worry about Russia and China — as well as North Korea and Iran. But (mostly) the world holds itself back from the edge and (so far) declines to make a stupid decision with nuclear weapons.
AI seems different. I don’t see “holding back” as a possible outcome. Too many players, too much greed, too little control, and at least some potential for autonomous systems that take actions we may not understand or be able to manage.
It’s either going to be very bad, or (possibly) very good. But I don’t think it can be stopped.
Can’t wait. Gonna be awesome.
I’m of the opinion the only real worry is a “ghost” in the machine.
“Skynet”? Hey, that’s catchy! I like it!
It sounds like it could outthink humans and keep us safe if we just let it decide who the enemies are and how to handle them. We could take the politics out of the equation!
I think most people are looking at AI the wrong way.
AI is not some sci-fi super intelligence that is self aware. It is simply a tool people and businesses can use to work more effectively.
AI has more in common with the printing press, the typewriter, and the personal computer than with some sci-fi Skynet type of thing.
.
There already are low radiation nuke designs. With modern AI we can them even/much lower? An almost radiation free nuclear weapon will make it easier to deploy them. Set one off.
“We should put AI in charge of our Department of War; specifically missile defence. We could call it ‘Skynet’?”
Arnold Schwarzenegger destroyed SkyNet computers fairly easily KABOOM!
But in the Netflix remake, he'll say, "I'll be black."
It's going to be both very bad and very good, and I agree it can't be stopped.
It will be very bad as massive systems like electric power suddenly go down for some inexplicable reason, autonomous weapons go on killing sprees, etc. There's also the possibility of mass unemployment, although who will be buying the products or services produced by AI is unclear if everyone is unemployed.
It will be very good for engineering, especially biochemical research. It can discover not just the right molecular permutation in chemistry and shape but the best techniques for solving those problems as in cancer. The downside is that can also be applied to bioweapons.
It's unstoppable not just because of the variety of companies involved and national competition but because the basic algorithms for building AI models are now common knowledge.
It would really surprise me if the US does not have a massive advantage over every other country in the world including China when it comes to the AI “arms race.” I don’t mean to sound arrogant or naive, but the US has all the right fundamentals to be way ahead in this race and no other country has the right combination. China has some, Israel has some, Russia has some, Europe has some, but no single other country has the right combination. I think its a scare tactic to say that China is ahead or close to us. I think we have technology that we aren’t revealing. I think its one cultural advantage that the US has that, in a perverse way, I admire. We create an enemy to compete against. And if the enemy is not that competitive, we build it up to be competitive. The irony is that this type of behaviour is ascribed to totalitarian societies. Oceana needs to fight Eurasia or Eastasia. But its the free USA that has mastered the art of creating and building up an enemy to compete against.
It would really surprise me if the US does not have a massive advantage over every other country in the world including China when it comes to the AI “arms race.” I don’t mean to sound arrogant or naive, but the US has all the right fundamentals to be way ahead in this race and no other country has the right combination. China has some, Israel has some, Russia has some, Europe has some, but no single other country has the right combination. I think its a scare tactic to say that China is ahead or close to us. I think we have technology that we aren’t revealing. I think its one cultural advantage that the US has that, in a perverse way, I admire. We create an enemy to compete against. And if the enemy is not that competitive, we build it up to be competitive. The irony is that this type of behaviour is ascribed to totalitarian societies. Oceana needs to fight Eurasia or Eastasia. But its the free USA that has mastered the art of creating and building up an enemy to compete against.
Three major considerations:
1. targets that are moving very fast - missiles & aircraft (no AI needed)
2. dummies (time for a human to decide)
3. targets too valuable not to take out - oil refineries, bridges, etc.
Dummies that cost less than the targeting weapon will be common.
I could say more, but it’s a national security issue.
“I think we have technology that we aren’t revealing.”
I think that keeping such technology secret is why the Strait of Hormuz isn’t being opened up.
“building AI models”
Companies have made massive investments in older style software over decades and the results have been honed over those decades.
AI might be useful for weeding machines, recommending a pruning plan or plumbing repair plan, reviewing a house design, etc.
That is a leaking Moen Chateau faucet....
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