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An Iran containment strategy: Managing the post-conflict threat
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/ ^ | 4/1/2026 | Michael Schwartz

Posted on 04/01/2026 7:18:05 PM PDT by bitt

Since its creation some 47 years ago, the Islamic Republic of Iran has demonstrated resourcefulness and dedication to its goals of regional hegemony and proliferation of Islamic radicalism. As a result, the extent of Iranian military recovery from the attacks in June 2025 should not have been surprising. Clearly, if the regime remains in control in Tehran, it will not relent and will continue to represent a danger to the West.

Specifically, should the present conflict leave the regime with the resources to do so, it will seek to recover quickly and even expand its capabilities, including further developing its nuclear program. The key to Iranian recovery is crude oil sales, constituting some $8 billion in 2025. Even if there were effective sanctions, these exports enable barter deals, particularly with Chinese companies, including those producing military electronics and other equipment.

If the conflict does not result in near-term regime change, the United States needs to implement a comprehensive containment strategy that not only opens the straits to marine traffic but also cuts off Iranian crude exports, hobbles Iran’s industrial base, and constrains its importation of industrial and military equipment. Such actions will restrict the rebuilding of its military capabilities (including its nuclear program) and gestate domestic unrest, as the public sits in the dark, unemployed and unable to travel.

WHAT ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY ASSETS IN THE IRAN WAR?

Some have expressed concerns that cutting off Iranian crude exports would further exacerbate the upside pressure on crude prices associated with the closure of the straits. However, Iran only exports some 1.5 to 2 million barrels per day, which represents about 1.5% to 2% of global production. Saudi Arabia alone has a reserve capacity of about 2.5 million BPD and could cover any curtailment in the supply of Iranian barrels

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; Iran; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: containmentstrategy; containmentwontwork; iran; michaelschwartz; rop; tds; worldwar3

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1 posted on 04/01/2026 7:18:05 PM PDT by bitt
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To: null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; bitt; ...

P


2 posted on 04/01/2026 7:18:22 PM PDT by bitt (<IMG SRC=' 'WIDTH=500>)
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To: bitt

Why containment?

Why not resurrection?


3 posted on 04/01/2026 7:25:36 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
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To: Carry_Okie

Why containment?

Why not resurrection?


Containment is medium term, resurrection long term.


4 posted on 04/01/2026 7:36:15 PM PDT by marktwain (----------------------)
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To: bitt

“If the conflict does not result in near-term regime change, the United States needs to implement a comprehensive containment strategy that not only opens the straits to marine traffic but also cuts off Iranian crude exports, hobbles Iran’s industrial base, and constrains its importation of industrial and military equipment. Such actions will restrict the rebuilding of its military capabilities (including its nuclear program) and gestate domestic unrest, as the public sits in the dark, unemployed and unable to travel.”

Kinda sounds long term...


5 posted on 04/01/2026 8:07:00 PM PDT by DesertRhino (When men on the chessboard, get up and tell you where to go…)
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To: bitt

Iran doesn’t own the Strait of Hormuz. F them.

World needs to take over that internationally important waterway permanently.


6 posted on 04/01/2026 8:12:20 PM PDT by Az Joe (Iran is the Great Satan - Destroy it)
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To: bitt

2%? Eff that. Blow the hell out of it. Should’ve been done already.


7 posted on 04/01/2026 8:32:30 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Opinions and belly buttons, everybody has one and they get to show them if they want to.)
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To: marktwain

It’ll take a place that’s worth repatriation.

One has reasoned doubts about getting from A to B that way.


8 posted on 04/01/2026 9:28:12 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
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