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Mystery Bet: Traders move $2 billion just 5 minutes before Trump's comment on US-Iran talks. What did they buy?
The Economic Times ^ | March 24, 2026 | Debaroti Adhikary

Posted on 03/25/2026 9:01:43 AM PDT by Angelino97

While US President Donald Trump’s announcement on talks with Iran brought much-needed relief to stock markets and oil prices, some traders may have benefitted from the news even before it was out. ‘Mystery’ bets in oil futures and S&P 500 futures made just before Trump’s announcement have raised eyebrows over possible insider trading.

Trump said on Monday that the US and Iran had very good and productive conversations over the last two days regarding the “complete and total resolution” of the rising hostilities in the Middle East. He announced that the US is postponing all military strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for five days. After the announcement, oil futures crashed up to 15% to fall below the key $100 per barrel mark, while Wall Street rallied.

However, market analysts noted some mysterious bets made just before the announcement. Just five minutes before Trump’s announcement, S&P 500 futures worth $1.5 billion were bought, while oil futures worth $192 million were sold, according to trading platform Unusual Whales.

Around 6,200 futures contracts linked to Brent and WTI crude were traded in a few seconds before Trump’s announcement, according to a report by the Financial Times. The notional value of these trades was estimated at $580 million, the report further said, adding that it remains unclear whether the trades were executed by a single or multiple participants.

Hence, S&P futures were bought at significantly lower levels minutes before they rallied sharply after Trump’s announcement, according to reports. Oil futures, meanwhile, were sold at sharply higher levels just before they tumbled.

(Excerpt) Read more at economictimes.indiatimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: elgindy; pelosi; pelosicrimefamily; trumpfamily; trumpinsidertrade; unethicaladmin

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1 posted on 03/25/2026 9:01:43 AM PDT by Angelino97
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To: Angelino97

How often do trades like this get made? Are they normal?

And of course it could be Iran making the money. As soon as they hear Trump wants a deal...they buy/sell the right stuff.


2 posted on 03/25/2026 9:09:26 AM PDT by for-q-clinton (RL)
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To: Angelino97

There is a biter dispute over the veracity of this claim on X, as pro systems show no volume spike or trades until after the announcement, and that the data being used to make the claim was from a “delayed” (free) account. Either way, the relevant federal department must investigate this.


3 posted on 03/25/2026 9:17:08 AM PDT by montag813
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To: Angelino97

Pelosi? Crenshaw? Omar? Obama?

EC


4 posted on 03/25/2026 9:29:15 AM PDT by Ex-Con777 ("Journalism is about covering important stories-with a pillow, until they stop moving." ~ David Burg)
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To: Ex-Con777

Sure. Trump phoned Pelosi and Obama and let them know a big announcement is coming. It’s the first explanation that comes to mind.


5 posted on 03/25/2026 9:34:22 AM PDT by Skylab
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To: for-q-clinton

How often do trades like this get made? Are they normal?

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

check the airline & insurance company puts & short trades prior to 911


6 posted on 03/25/2026 9:38:34 AM PDT by thinden (Buckle Up!)
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To: Angelino97

Something similar happened in the days immediately preceding 9/11. Someone, or several someones, made huge, atypical bets, mostly having to do with the airline industry. Interestingly, nobody dared to investigate further.


7 posted on 03/25/2026 9:40:13 AM PDT by Blurb2350 (posted from my 1500-watt blow dryer)
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To: Angelino97

Boy, that $192 million is alot of money in a $600B a day trading market./s

And please show us your posts on this subject matter during the Biden Admin. I’m sure there are many


8 posted on 03/25/2026 9:41:27 AM PDT by pissant ((Deport them all))
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To: Angelino97
Oh yeah.

Complete coincidence, I'm sure.

9 posted on 03/25/2026 9:43:45 AM PDT by hcmama (Love that guy.)
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To: pissant
And please show us your posts on this subject matter during the Biden

Because unless someone posted something similar about Biden, this article can't possibly be true.

Sir, you are a colossus of reason and logic.

10 posted on 03/25/2026 9:51:21 AM PDT by Angelino97
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To: Angelino97

No, the article can definitely be true, that was not the point.

The point is you ONLY frickin care about this shit (as tiny as it was) if it can reflect negatively on Trump. Just like 95% of your tedious TDS-inflicted posts.


11 posted on 03/25/2026 9:57:54 AM PDT by pissant ((Deport them all))
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To: Angelino97

There is a thing in college basketball called... streaking... my Florida Gators were not streaking coming into the tourney and got bounced. This op for Trump is his NCAA tourney bad streak. First, it was a complete surrender, and now we are working with Iran? I am sure the half dozen airmen’s families who were lost over Iraq feel better that futures traders are making money on this. Cut a deal, woof about it, and irritate the media and move on. I DO think Trump will be streaking in November when the economy is showing a healthy bump, and gas is 2.50 a gallon.


12 posted on 03/25/2026 10:01:51 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: Angelino97

Per AI:
Average daily trading in U.S. stocks is currently on the order of about half a trillion dollars in cash equities, with broader “all securities” venues (including options, bonds, etc.) running into the low trillions of dollars per day.


13 posted on 03/25/2026 10:31:41 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: Angelino97

John Maynard Keynes, who had large gains and losses speculating on the stock market, realized that the economics of an asset don’t determine its price, but the traders’ views of the economics of the assets do.


14 posted on 03/25/2026 12:18:41 PM PDT by larryjohnson (FReepersonaltrainer)
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To: Angelino97

Somebody is making a boat load of money on Trump’s vacillations. I wonder how many and who?

This is pretty f’ed up.

My post of 3/23:

I wonder why I am thinking that the announcement about bombing power plants made on Friday afternoon wans’t just a ploy to bounce the stock market so someones could play the futures when they opened for trade Sunday evening?

I expect the Iranians to lie but why would they lie about NOT having talks with Trump?

I see that this morning they also have added new threats from Iran.

https://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/4371850/posts?page=31#31


15 posted on 03/25/2026 1:15:22 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Opinions and belly buttons, everybody has one and they get to show them if they want to.)
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To: pissant

Great point. I think this was an attempt to make Trump look like a clown. Bad to journalism school peeps.


16 posted on 03/25/2026 1:18:29 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: thinden

That doesn’t answer the question.

But in regards to 9/11 my understanding is some middle east accounts did make lot of money on that.


17 posted on 03/25/2026 1:53:13 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (RL)
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To: Skylab

It could have been Iran that called them, since Iran has a dear friend in the Democrat Part named Barack. 😁🤙.


18 posted on 03/25/2026 1:57:53 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: for-q-clinton

Never heard of ME, did read where a lot of those trades were executed at one of the big german international banks. Duetsche Bank maybe??

Plus they had a “former”Clown running their investment banking dept


19 posted on 03/25/2026 3:51:15 PM PDT by thinden (Buckle Up!)
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To: thinden

They were ME accounts though.


20 posted on 03/25/2026 4:55:34 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (RL)
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