The Iranian People WILL Overthrow Their Government, Even Though the Iraqis Couldn’t, Because…

PJ Media ^ | March 17, 2026 | Scott Pinsker

[BeauBo]

Unlike the Kurds in 1991, the Iranians of 2026 will have a genuine chance to wrest their freedom because of five key reasons:

1. Iran’s army, navy, and — most importantly — air force have mostly been destroyed. (And whatever’s left will be blown to bits over the next few days.)

2. We have complete air supremacy over Iran and aren’t impeded by UN regulations that would prevent us from using it to blow Iranian planes, helicopters, and drones out of the sky, should they target protesters.

3. Instead of pushing Saddam’s army out of Kuwait, President Trump focused on annihilating the Iranian government, its military leaders, and its chain of command, degrading the Iranian armed forces at every level.

4. Donald Trump doesn’t give a damn about protecting a political coalition of prickly foreign nations — he just wants to win. Which means, our military’s hands won’t be tied by UN legalese.

5. We’ve learned from Iraq: The George H. W. Bush strategy doesn’t lead to regime change; it leads to mass deaths. It’s not sufficient just to encourage civilians to rebel and then hope for the best. The rebels also need air cover, weapons, and logistical support.

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TOPICS: European Union; Foreign Affairs; France; Germany; Iran; Iraq; Israel; News/Current Events; United Kingdom; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: europeanunion; france; germany; iran; iraq; israel; overthrow; regimechange; unitedkingdom; waronterror

[If You Want It Fixed - Fix It]

Except the 60 year olds, these people have never known freedom, only religious rules and power. They will need dome prodding.

Send in the American Influencers, lol.

[MeanWestTexan]

One small mistake in the article: Iran’s regular Army has not been destroyed. In fact, it hasn’t been particularly targeted.

The IRGC (missiles and Army) and Basij (paramilitary counter-civilian enforcers — think the Nazi SA), the two mullah-run branches have been targeted.

Why spare the regular Army? So they can run the place and restore order. It is, by far, the least loyal group to the mullahs.

[pburgh01]

Yea this is what we are exporting... no wonder they hate us.

[Pete Dovgan]

We’ve learned from Iraq: The George H. W. Bush strategy doesn’t lead to regime change; it leads to mass deaths. It’s not sufficient just to encourage civilians to rebel and then hope for the best. The rebels also need air cover, weapons, and logistical support.

Actually, they knew this before Kennedy. Look what happened at the Bay of Pigs without the support.

[Paal Gulli]

Note that in the headline the author uses an absolute, "they will." But in the story that certainly melts away.

Even people native to SWA have difficulty predicting how any group of people will respond to a specific set of conditions. The odds do not favor people with names like "Scott Pinsker."

[jpl]

We're approaching three weeks, and so far there is zero indication that there's a more reasonable and moderate faction that is willing and able to take control from the hard-liners.

We can wait a while longer, but we're not going to wait forever either. Personally, I don't think it's going to happen.

[dfwgator]

Why spare the regular Army? So they can run the place and restore order. It is, by far, the least loyal group to the mullahs.

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I imagine it’s not unlike the Wehrmacht vs The SS during WWII. Think Operation Valkyrie, at least as von Stauffenberg hoped it would have worked out.

[Carry_Okie]

Give them the guns and ammo to do it.

[Carry_Okie]

there is zero indication that there's a more reasonable and moderate faction that is willing and able to take control from the hard-liners.

They've been told to lay low and wait. So far, they've had the discipline to do so. That's a good sign.

[montag813]

Why spare the regular Army? So they can run the place and restore order. It is, by far, the least loyal group to the mullahs.

That's what I have been saying all along. Target them in their barracks, or wherever they are massed, with flechette bombs, napalm, whatever it takes.

[MeanWestTexan]

“I imagine it’s not unlike the Wehrmacht vs The SS during WWII. “

I think that is exactly right

Artesh (regular army) = Wehrmacht

IRGC = SS

Basij = SA (if the Night of Long Knives didn’t happen)

[x]

What the “Iranian people” think or will do isn’t clear. Urbanites may rebel. Will the rest of the country, the rural masses, join them?

[GMMC0987]

Do we have any stores of WW2 Liberator pistols on hand. This is what they were designed for.

[MeanWestTexan]

I’m not sure I understand your post.

The Artesh (regular Army) is spared so they can restore order in the event of revolution.

There’s actually been a bit of fighting already between the IRGC and Artesh.

While no prizes, the Artesh leaders are generally not fanatics. Be a fine military dictatorship.

[datricker]

Watch how fast they form up a new government once president Trump says we are taking the oil and don't care who they pretend is in control.

The less we care about fixing Iran and focus on exploiting it as an asset that faster Iran will fix itself. One of those many situations in life where being nice doesn't help or being helpful doesn't make it nice.

Maybe the Iranian people are our friends maybe not - but its up to them to prove it - otherwise we will blow their shit up and Iran (Iranians) can't have nice things.

Game time Persians lets see what you've got. President Trump has given you everything you could ever have dreamed of - its payback time

[Old Retired Army Guy]

I think you are forgetting the Former Shah’s son.

[Jim Noble]

“ They’ve been told to lay low and wait. So far, they’ve had the discipline to do so.”

Never trust a traitor.

[Jeff Chandler]

Kennedy chickened out.

[Jeff Chandler]

We're approaching three weeks

I KNOW! This is now a stupid tRUMP forever war that can't win.

There. I translated your comment for you. Your welcome.