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The 3 Big Lies About the Iran War
Townhall ^ | 03/11/2026 | Ben Shapiro

Posted on 03/11/2026 7:32:26 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

If you've been following coverage of the Trump administration's military action against Iran, you've probably noticed something: A lot of people are determined to convince you that the United States is losing.

They're wrong.

Even worse, many of them know they're wrong. Critics across the political spectrum — from Democrats to elements of the so-called horseshoe Right — are pushing narratives that paint the conflict as a disaster in the making. The goal is simple: Undermine public confidence and turn what is shaping up as a strategic success into a perceived failure.

Three particular claims are circulating widely. All three deserve to be addressed.

Lie No. 1: The war is a quagmire.

The first claim is that the United States has stumbled into another interminable Middle East war — one destined to drag on for years and possibly escalate to catastrophic levels.

This is absurd.

At the time of this writing, the conflict is less than two weeks old. Twelve days. That's not 12 years, as in Vietnam, or even 12 months, as in the Spanish-American War.

Wars unfold over time, and no one should pretend to know exactly how long any conflict will last. But the notion that the United States is already trapped in a generational quagmire — after less than two weeks of fighting — is less analysis than panic.

Lie No. 2: Iran is somehow winning.

A second claim insists that Iran is holding strong — that the regime is weathering the assault and even gaining the upper hand.

Again, reality tells a different story.

Iran's military capabilities have been battered. Its missile and drone infrastructure has been heavily targeted. Its naval assets have reportedly suffered severe losses. Leadership turmoil inside the regime only compounds the problem.

Reports suggest that the death of longtime Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has triggered a chaotic succession struggle. Even his presumed heir, Mojtaba Khamenei, appears to lack both political support and personal legitimacy within the system.

In other words, the Iranian regime is not projecting strength. It is scrambling to maintain control.

Lie No. 3: The oil shock will break the United States.

The final warning is economic: Iran, critics say, will simply shut down the Strait of Hormuz, sending global oil prices skyrocketing and bringing the American economy to its knees.

For a brief moment earlier this week, markets reacted to that fear. Oil prices jumped sharply amid speculation that the strait could be disrupted.

But the panic faded almost as quickly as it began. Within days, crude prices had fallen back below $90 a barrel.

Markets, unlike pundits, respond to reality. And the reality is that Iran faces enormous consequences if it attempts to choke off one of the world's most vital shipping lanes.

President Donald Trump has made that point unmistakably clear. In a statement posted online, he warned that any Iranian attempt to block the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz would trigger an overwhelming American response.

The message was aimed not only at Tehran but also at Beijing and other major energy consumers: The United States intends to keep global energy flowing — and anyone who interferes will pay a heavy price.

There are legitimate questions to ask about any military action. Democracies require scrutiny, debate and skepticism.

But skepticism should not be confused with hysteria.

Right now, critics are spinning worst-case scenarios while ignoring the basic facts on the ground: Iran's military is under severe pressure, its leadership structure is unstable, and the economic fallout that many predicted has yet to materialize.

None of this guarantees the conflict will end quickly or cleanly. War rarely works that way.

But it does suggest that the narrative of inevitable American failure — so loudly promoted by the administration's opponents — is far removed from the reality unfolding in the Middle East.

And that reality matters far more than the talking points.


Ben Shapiro is a graduate of UCLA and Harvard Law School, host of "The Ben Shapiro Show," and co-founder of Daily Wire+. He is a three-time New York Times bestselling author.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Iran; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: benshapiro; bobwillstroll; enemedia; epicfury; gaslighting; gasprices; iran; media; notawar; oilprices; propaganda; specialmilitaryop; surrenderjunkies; whatsleftismopup

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1 posted on 03/11/2026 7:32:26 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I hope that someday Bibi gives Ben the Medal of Honor that he deserves. Ben has certainly earned it.


2 posted on 03/11/2026 7:38:28 PM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s never wise to call a win or loss in the first or second inning.

Here’s a fact for those concerned about our national debt or spending{. This was has cost the USA $2 billion each day, and will continue to for as far as you can see right now.


3 posted on 03/11/2026 7:39:14 PM PDT by Bob Wills is still the king
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump certainly helps lie #2 when he says we have won concurrently with tankers being attacked kin the Persian Gulf. He should make that claim only after 30 days of uninterrupted tanker movements and restoration of insurance.


4 posted on 03/11/2026 7:43:40 PM PDT by Retain Mike ( Sat Cong)
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To: SeekAndFind

At current usage rates, I have ~3 months of Diesel and ~2 months of non-alcoholic gasoline on hand.


5 posted on 03/11/2026 7:44:29 PM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ben Shapiro is the last person I would give credence to on this.


6 posted on 03/11/2026 7:45:11 PM PDT by Trumpisourlastchance
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To: SeekAndFind

Three lies from the lying, metastasizing brow.


7 posted on 03/11/2026 7:46:03 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

What is the current spend rate for the spectrum of social spending on all sorts of fraud?

Welfare for illegals?

I think I know where to find the offsetting money.


8 posted on 03/11/2026 7:47:13 PM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

Two billion a day...
There is probably ten times that in fraud and corruption every day.l


9 posted on 03/11/2026 7:52:48 PM PDT by tet68 ("We would not die in that man's company that fears his fellowship to die with us." Henry V.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Iran’s military is under severe pressure, its leadership structure is unstable, and the economic fallout that many predicted has yet to materialize.”

Oil is $95 and climbing.
Iran is still firing missiles.
Tankers are burning in Iraqi waters.
Oil is not moving through the Strait of Hormuz.

We most assuredly will feel the economic impact and it will be measurable too.


10 posted on 03/11/2026 7:53:00 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: SeekAndFind

He is also a 1st class dweeb.


11 posted on 03/11/2026 8:02:05 PM PDT by sauropod
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To: SeekAndFind
There are legitimate questions to ask about any military action.

Presumably, Ben wrote this line with a straight face.

12 posted on 03/11/2026 8:04:27 PM PDT by Captain Walker ("Justice exalteth a nation: but sin maketh nations miserable." – Proverbs 14:34)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think there are lies on both sides. But one lie is that this will be over soon. It will not. There are always radicals. In the beginning there will be lots and they will be foreign backed and organized. Kill them, and there will be disorganized groups with fewer people. Kill them. Then you get individuals and small groups who attack now and then and they will also be foreign backed. Revolutions take time. And often like drug addicts they need to hit bottom before people realize that something has to change. And they will take anything rather than the current situation.


13 posted on 03/11/2026 8:13:55 PM PDT by poinq
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To: Retain Mike

I have noticed a bunch of stories from obscure and dubious sources that would decrease war support. It feels like an organized op. Maybe ChiComs, Russia or possibly that evil prick Soros.


14 posted on 03/11/2026 8:15:58 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: tet68

And there is probably ten times that in world freed from Iranian mullahs and their client states spreading mayhem all over the globe.


15 posted on 03/11/2026 8:22:00 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (…)
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To: gibsonguy

If the war ends quickly that will be excellent.

If it drags on indefinitely it will be a disaster.

The propaganda will be irrelevant—the facts on the ground will be what matters.


16 posted on 03/11/2026 8:30:32 PM PDT by cgbg (The definition of outstanding propaganda is when almost everybody believes the same lies.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Spin this anyway you like. However if at the end of the day the current Iranian regime and their goon squads however weakened remain in power and the enriched uranium is not secured, then it cannot be said that this was a great victory. In fact the American people and the American nation will suffer greatly. Elections are determined by how the relatively vapid muddled middle perhaps 15-20% of the electorate vote. The demonic, lunatic Democrats will ride the backlash to power in 2026 and 2028. Shudder to think what will happen to America.


17 posted on 03/11/2026 8:33:14 PM PDT by allendale
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To: poinq

It’s going to be tough to eliminate Islam from da Erf.


18 posted on 03/11/2026 8:46:28 PM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: gibsonguy

I have noticed a bunch of POSTS from obscure and dubious FREEPERS that would decrease war support.


19 posted on 03/11/2026 9:13:27 PM PDT by Farmerbob
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To: SeekAndFind

“Even his presumed heir, Mojtaba Khamenei, appears to lack both political support and personal legitimacy within the system.”

If rumors are accurate another thing Mojtaba Khamanei lacks are his legs.

CC


20 posted on 03/11/2026 9:23:45 PM PDT by Celtic Conservative (Heghlu'meH QaQ jajvam!)
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