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Airstrikes alone unlikely to result in regime change in Iran, expert warns: "It has never worked"
CBS News ^ | March 6, 2026 | Stefan Becket

Posted on 03/08/2026 9:41:33 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican

U.S. and Israeli airstrikes alone are unlikely to result in the ouster of the Iranian government, according to an expert in air campaigns, who said that the risks are growing for a more drawn-out war that could spread beyond the Middle East.

Robert Pape, a professor of political science at the University of Chicago who has studied air power for three decades, told CBS News 24/7 that history does not support the idea that bombing alone can unseat a regime and install a more friendly leader.

"The fact of the matter is, for over a century, states have been trying to topple regimes with air power alone and — I'm choosing my words carefully — it has never worked," Pape told CBS News 24/7 on Friday. "We are heading toward the predictable result of growing risk, growing escalation. And I'm sorry to say this could go on for quite some time."

Israeli airstrikes at the start of the war killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and dozens of other top government officials, but the country's military and senior clerics still control the levers of power.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Iran
KEYWORDS: 5thcolumonfr; academia; aviation; cbsisconcerned; concern; frtraitorslist; iran; minorityrepublican; randpaulisatraitor; somuchtreason; somuchtrolling; somuchwinning; somuchzotting; stefanbecket; treasonrepublic; trollrepublic; zot

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1 posted on 03/08/2026 9:41:33 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

MORE Democrat Talking Points?


2 posted on 03/08/2026 9:43:33 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Well this isn’t “air strikes alone” is it.


3 posted on 03/08/2026 9:43:50 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: MinorityRepublican

Robert Pape, a professor of political science at the University of Chicago who has studied air power for three decades... “Expert”.


4 posted on 03/08/2026 9:43:53 AM PDT by Common Sense 101
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To: MinorityRepublican

An airstrike ended WWII.


5 posted on 03/08/2026 9:45:57 AM PDT by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
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To: MinorityRepublican
I have a question. Who said it would?

Becket is talking nonsense.

6 posted on 03/08/2026 9:46:35 AM PDT by Tommy Revolts
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To: Common Sense 101

As with communism, past air strikes only wars just haven’t been done correctly...


7 posted on 03/08/2026 9:47:22 AM PDT by TheDon (Remember the J6 political prisoners! Remember Ashli Babbitt!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Although I suppose it could be argued that the USSR declaring its intention to invade Japan ended WWII.


8 posted on 03/08/2026 9:47:35 AM PDT by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
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To: MinorityRepublican

There is no need for regime change, just kill all the regime, after that who cares


9 posted on 03/08/2026 9:47:44 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Steely Tom

(An airstrike ended WWII.)

Boom!


10 posted on 03/08/2026 9:48:26 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: MinorityRepublican
The Iranians themselves can rise up at some point.

11 posted on 03/08/2026 9:48:46 AM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Not “regime change”. but “adjustment of attitude”. Somewhere down in all those layers of clerics, there is a cadre that has some sense of self-preservation, and just maybe, a spark of decency in their souls.

If they have not been turned into pillars of salt.


12 posted on 03/08/2026 9:49:13 AM PDT by alloysteel (Coming in high, hot, blind, dead-stick, wheels up, outta gas, and the glide angle of a brick....)
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To: MinorityRepublican

In the end, the Iranian people themselves will have to be the boots on the ground. That’s why I think we should arm and train them, like Obama did for the Muzzie Jihadist rebels in Syria.


13 posted on 03/08/2026 9:50:42 AM PDT by Telepathic Intruder
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To: Governor Dinwiddie
The Iranians themselves can rise up at some point.

They already did. In January.

14 posted on 03/08/2026 9:50:50 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Everything good that we have today has never worked before it did. It just need the right ideas from the right person.


15 posted on 03/08/2026 9:51:21 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: Telepathic Intruder
In the end, the Iranian people themselves will have to be the boots on the ground.

Mission creep.

16 posted on 03/08/2026 9:51:26 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

But there are airstrip, naval strikes, cyberattacks, and the possibilities of foreign invasion, domestic insurgency, and mutiny amongst law enforcement and the military. Unlike the Viet Cong, which had support from the locals, the Iranian regime is despised by a lot of the locals.


17 posted on 03/08/2026 9:55:24 AM PDT by coloradan (They're not the mainstream media, they're the gaslight media. It's what they do. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

If you kill them all is that not regime change?


18 posted on 03/08/2026 9:57:38 AM PDT by jimpick
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To: MinorityRepublican

Robert Pape was an adviser to Obama...


19 posted on 03/08/2026 9:59:20 AM PDT by no_go_lie
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To: MinorityRepublican

Revolutions happen with or without


20 posted on 03/08/2026 10:01:16 AM PDT by Track9 (Liberal tears make me smile. Thank you DJT!)
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