Posted on 03/01/2026 3:46:07 PM PST by Mariner
Edited on 03/02/2026 5:39:36 AM PST by Sidebar Moderator. [history]
See link.
Oil up sharply.
Dollar up.
US Treasury yields down sharply (treasury interest rates dropping, existing bonds up sharply).
When the SHTF the world still buys the USA. There's not another game in town.
War involves risk and no one should downplay what could happen. But . . . . the US just obliterated Iran’s fleet and controls the seas around Iran. After a week or two, the most likely result is that there will be no more terrorism threat to the flow of oil from the Gulf to the West. Combine that with the starting up of the flow of oil from Venezuela to the West and Trump’s pro-drilling policies and the price of oil should start dropping. I’m sure the Saudis will help too.
Oh yeah, Oil will likely be below $60 this time next year.
But for now, I’ll make hay while the sun shines.
Australian and New Zealand government bonds rallied when their respective markets opened.
From you:
US Treasury yields down sharply (treasury interest rates dropping, existing bonds up sharply).
?????
Prices will continue to rise for Californians no matter what. :(
I don't know if a 1% drop is considered 'blood in the streets' but the adage concerning stocks holds true: "Buy when there is blood in the streets".
If I had money to risk, I'd buy the S&P 500 on Monday while it's down 1%.
Thank you for your logical and positive reply.
in 2026, the Islamic (Hijri) calendar is primarily 1447 AH, transitioning to 1448 so today in Islamic calendar is 9/11/47? Year is 47 and it has been 47 years since 1979! President Trump 47.
So, a version of 911 from 47
you can google it....
Trump was the 45th and the 47th President.
4+5 and 4+7= 9,11
= same thing.
Bonds pay a higher % interest conversely to their sales price; so if their worth/per decreases, their interest to hold goes up; and if the worth/per increases (people buying) the interest rate to hang on to them decreases.
This move would indicate fear/uncertainty on the part of buyers. Ooo not sure what this will mean for my favorite stock(s) or for commodities, better move to something relatively not volatile. ooo.
It sounds illogical, but it’s the same statement.
Treasuries are in a “rally” when interest rates FALL on higher demand. When people with money get scared they buy bonds.
That’s the futures market.
It might be down more when the general market opens tomorrow.
And it might be up, but not likely.
FR down?
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Yep, I get the same thing. Had to find a thread in ‘recents’ to get here.
Good day to refinance
Bloomberg has these other lefty gems, from links in the article:
In pre market trading - which shows at 4 am eastern time - oil companies are up and most everything else is down. Silver and gold etc are up.
I have call options for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) for $682. If it looks like it might go back up I’ll be able to sell them for a yuge profit.
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