Posted on 01/11/2026 7:25:17 PM PST by USA-FRANCE
The Russian economy has officially entered stagnation mode, reports Foreign Intelligence Service. The Kremlin can no longer hide the systemic crisis behind optimistic statements. The figures show a collapse in the aggressor country's economic performance. After 4.5% GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2024, a sharp slowdown began: the indicator fell to 1.4% in the first quarter of 2025, then to 1.1% in the second quarter, and in the third quarter it was only 0.6%.
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.liga.net ...
“After 4.5% GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2024, a sharp slowdown began: the indicator fell to 1.4% in the first quarter of 2025, then to 1.1% in the second quarter, and in the third quarter it was only 0.6%.”
They are in a recession
It's not Russia that is completely dependent on other nations for oil and gas and other rare earths. It's the EU that is.
russia is 3rd world hellhole
I bet these economic statistics are every bit as reliable as those the Fed produces.
A decade huh? Not a year, not a lustrum; Not 9 years or 11 years; Not a vicennial, but a DECADE. I wonder how these guys determined how long the stagflation period would be.
Modern warfare is powered by lots of oil also. There are no viable alternatives. Cheaper oil is cheaper combat. Money is a just a pretend representation of energy, which Russia has plenty of.
Russia’s growth rate has disastrously declined to match the EU’s growth rate.
Regards,
You make a great point but not the one I think you intended
China is an economic giant without any significant petroleum or gas reserves
Japan has a larger economy without any significant petroleum or gas reserves as well as most natural resources
So why is Russia with the world‘s largest landmass ,plenty of natural resources including so much petroleum and natural gas that it can export tons of it, plenty of farmable land and an educated largely population, not an economic powerhouse?
Lol. A country you predicted to fall apart four years ago is (allegedly) in stagnation. How is France doing?:)
Introducing France is a red herring that in effect destroys your argument.
The Russian economy is wrecked and will remain that way for at least ten years. Russia is Russia. Serfs lack the capability to rebuild that which was created by the West
“Wow... Stagflation now official in Russia!”
And that is the official statistic, which is always better than the actual.
With their financial reserves exhausted, and their banking system loaded with bad debt, Russia’s oil and gas industry (their Center of Mass) is having the last legs kicked out from under it by President Trump and Ukraine.
They are heading toward not just stagflation, but economic crisis. Russia is now expanding their money supply by around 1.5% of GDP EVERY WEEK! Not 1.5% of the Federal budget, but 1.5% of their whole economy.
Oil revenues are no longer just declining, they have crashed. President Trump’s sanctions of 23 Oct 2025 are successfully stripping away Russia’s external oil assets around the globe. Russia’s internal oil infrastructure is being destroyed at an increasing rate (December 2025 was the biggest month of the war). The shadow fleet is under attack as never before, and Russia can no longer blend their Urals Grade exports with Venezuelan crude to mask its origin, to smuggle it into many markets.
Money printing will have to accelerate further if oil revenues decline further - and they are crashing. The global market no longer needs Russian crude, as OPEC+ and nonOPEC+ production surged in 2025 to displace Russia’s seaborne exports.
More blows to Russia’s oil infrastructure are shaping up as well, in the form of Lindsey Graham’s Bone Crushing Sanctions Bill, and new deep strike weaponry.
What the article's page does not easily show is that this is a Ukrainian site.
Whois reports:
Registrant: Dmitro BondarenkoToday's articles are interesting, as one article posted was from TASS from Russia, while this is Liga.net from Ukraine. Given propaganda is the currency of the day, it comes down to "time will tell."
Street: VULICJa PARKOVO-SIREC'KA, budinok 23
City: Kijiv
What is sure is that the plan of the "Grand Chessboard" -- a Democrat notion, from the Carter years forward -- is all about keeping the US "invested" on a side. Ignoring of course that our $38.5 trillion national debt is requiring over a trillion a year in interest only payments. As Butler observed, "war is a racket."
What was created by the West?:)
“Lol. A country you predicted to fall apart four years ago is (allegedly) in stagnation. How is France doing?:)”
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I never made such prediction. But some on FR did. They said it would take about 3 years for Russia to come down to the bad situation it’s enduring right now. In reality it took 4 years. So the prediction wasn’t that far off...
GROWTH:
Here is the thing...
Russia has gone from 4.5% growth down to only 0.6% now (according to Russia’s own communication.. so it could be worse...) in just a year - that’s a MASSIVE and very fast drop!
INFLATION:
0.7% in FRANCE
7.0% in RUSSIA (actually, the inflation on food like potatoes, etc. is much higher)
The interest rate in Russia is 16% (!) (horrible for investors).
Putin has raised the VAT tax from 20% to 22%.
When a poorer country grows as slowly as a rich one, that’s not balance. That’s a stall. Let me explain why that is dangerous for specifically for Russia.
Catch-up just stopped:
Russia is supposed to grow faster than the EU. That’s the whole point of being poorer. Faster growth is how you close the gap. When Russia’s growth sinks to EU levels, it’s basically saying: we’re not catching up anymore. The income gap freezes in place. Europe stays rich. Russia stays… not.
Same growth rate, totally different foundations:
Europe grows slowly on a wide base: services, tech, finance, manufacturing, lots of internal trade. Russia grows on a narrow base: oil, gas, raw materials, and state spending. Low growth in a broad economy is boring. Low growth in a narrow one is very risky. One bad shock and there’s nothing to fall back on.
Demographics make it worse for Russia”
Russia’s population is shrinking and aging. Fewer workers, fewer taxpayers, fewer consumers. When growth slows in that situation, per-person income stalls or drops. Europe has demographic problems too, but it offsets them with productivity and capital. Russia mostly doesn’t. Stagnation plus population decline equals slow decay.
Sanctions turn “growth” into something uglier:
Europe’s growth happens in an open system with capital, technology, and competition. Russia’s similar growth rate hides inefficiency and isolation. Import substitution, lower-quality tech, and capital stuck in the wrong places can still produce numbers, but it’s brittle. It looks tolerable until it suddenly isn’t at all.
Budgets feel the pain faster in Russia:
Europe can handle low growth. It can borrow cheaply, tax widely, and shift policy. Russia depends heavily on energy revenue while spending big on security (war) and the state (big government). When growth slows, the budget tightens where it hurts most. Stagnation makes everything political and expensive at the same time.
So... :
When Europe grows slowly, it waits. When Russia grows slowly, it falls behind permanently. Same growth rate doesn’t mean same outcome. It means one side is comfortably rich and stalled, and the other is stuck trying to pretend that standing still counts as progress.
History doesn’t reward that kind of pretending.
AI Overview
Western companies significantly built and invested in Russian oil and gas infrastructure, including major projects like Sakhalin-1 (ExxonMobil) and the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) (Chevron, BP, etc.), contributing expertise, technology, and capital for fields, pipelines (like Nord Stream), and services, although many have since exited or scaled back operations due to sanctions and geopolitical shifts post-2022. While Russian firms now largely control assets, Western involvement was crucial for developing complex fields and transit routes, often in partnership or through joint ventures.
https://www.google.com/search?q=russian+infrastructure+oil+built+by+western+companies
A recession by definition is the decline in size, rather than diminished growth, of an economy.
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