Posted on 11/10/2025 5:25:55 AM PST by MtnClimber
Trump’s first-year economy is surging, but the race ahead hinges on perception, messaging, and whether voters see the boom before the 2026 midterms.
The current economic indicators, at least those attributable to the 10-month Trump administration, are strong.
Fourth-quarter GDP is estimated to grow between 2.7 and 4 percent, the robust latter figure according to the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank.
Inflation from June to August ranged from 2.7 to 2.9 percent, significantly lower than the 5 percent annual average during Biden’s 2021-2025 term.
Gas prices now average $2.98 per gallon, compared to $3.46, the average cost during Biden’s four years.
In less than a year, Trump has increased oil production by one million barrels per day.
Unemployment in the second quarter of 2025 stayed steady at 4.2 percent, roughly the same as the 4.1 percent during the final month of Biden’s tenure.
The stock market has reached an all-time high. Foreign investment is pegged at record levels. Tariff revenue could reach $400 billion by the end of the year—vastly outpacing the $77 billion in all of last year, 2024.
In other words, the economy is rolling along.
To the extent the Trump administration has a problem with the economy, however, it is threefold.
One is public perceptions.
In 2021, Biden foolishly borrowed $7 trillion and infused it into the economy at precisely the wrong time. The economy had already been stimulated by Trump’s prior massive lockdown borrowing.
The COVID-19 pandemic was ending. The emerging public was eager to get out, splurge, and satisfy its two-year pent-up consumer demand. And yet supply chains were still disrupted and unable to supply sufficient goods or services.
That perfect storm would ensure that there were too few goods and services for too much cash-flush, inordinate consumer spending.
(Excerpt) Read more at amgreatness.com ...
VDH ping
And I’m certain we can count on the Enemy Media and the feckless Quisling ‘republicans’ to hammer this message HOME between now and then!
*Rolleyes*
VDH is correctly blaming the RINO / anti-Trump GOP for part of why the left's message of doom and gloom is still being heard. It's as though too many Republicans have forgotten how to chest-thump about the good things that are going on.
Right now the Dems are hammering the Republicans regarding health care and how unaffordable it is for millions of Americans. Healthcare has been unaffordable for years starting with obamacare! I couldn’t afford it back when obamacare passed and Obama signed it into law! Who’s kidding who in DC?? Fox just had on one of the Dems who voted to pass this CR and of course she blames the Republicans for making healthcare so expensive!! It’s a joke!
It took a lot of Metro Detroit area automotive businesses at least a couple of years to get back on their feet after Reagan’s win in 1980.
It took a lot of Metro Detroit area automotive businesses at least a couple of years to get back on their feet after Reagan’s win in 1980. In fact, it got worse before it got better.
To the bottom?
The GOP is still the Uniparty, at least the leadership is. My bet is that they are laying low and pretending to support Trump only because he sits on the Epstein files.
I really like VDH, but he writes about a politics that no longer exists, except in his mind. Should Trump prevail, that politics would be restored, as I believe that Trump, himself, believes in it.
“Our four-year policies created hyperinflation. Your 10-month antithesis did not. But you are still responsible for not undoing in ten months what we did in 48 months. Therefore, we deserve to return to power to repeat the disaster that we made under Biden.”
Excellent article by the Professor!
FR Index of his articles: Victor Davis Hanson on FR
Town Hall: Victor Davis Hanson on Town Hall
American Greatness: Victor Davis Hanson on American Greatness
His website: Victor Davis Hanson The Sword of Perseus
One of his sponsors' website: The Daily Signal
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President Trump IS the GOP.
I’m afraid that when he leaves the stage, it’s back to BAU for the GOP.
So, you think Trump has solid support within the GOP? I don’t.
How you vote next year is your call.
“ In less than a year, Trump has increased oil production by one million barrels per day.”
Oil: production just hit an all-time record last week.
What conservatives need to understand is that Ai is going to produce a jobless boom for college graduates next year. Companies will be going like gang busters. Their profits will be high but there will be no entry level jobs for recent grads because the companies are findiing easier and cheaper to trainAI to do those jobs. There will be massive wealth creation but it will be ever more concentrated in the hands of the few. This is the world that Eugene Debbs saw during the gilded age of the late 19th century and early 20th century.
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