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CNN's Enten: Odds Of Dems Taking The House "Have Gone Plummeting Down," Much Closer To A Toss-Up At This Point
Real Clear Politics ^ | October 15, 2025 | Ian Schwartz

Posted on 10/17/2025 11:23:15 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

CNN data analyst Harry Enten reported Wednesday that Democrats are not matching their polling performance from the 2018 midterm elections, when they won control of the House. KATE BOLDUAN, CNN: New this morning, the race to control the House in the 2026 midterms has taken a turn and possibly brings with it a new warning sign for Democrats.

Harry Enten running the numbers on this one and sneaking in at the last minute, just as usual.

HARRY ENTEN, CNN CHIEF DATA ANALYST: I've learned that way around. I've learned that.

BOLDUAN: That was good. That was a good maneuver.

ENTEN: Thank you.

BOLDUAN: People should -- I wish people could see it.

ENTEN: I have -- I have fantastic moves. It's the new shoes, as we spoke about yesterday.

BOLDUAN: OK. Moving on.

And you're -- OK, you're tracking the odds. What is the change that you're seeing?

ENTEN: Yes. OK. So, you know, if you go back six months ago, you go back to April, Kate Bolduan, what were we looking at? Well, we were looking at the Democrats with a very clear shot of taking control of the U.S. House of Representatives according to the Kalshi Predication Market Odds. We saw them at an 83 percent chance.

But those odds have gone plummeting down. Now we're talking about just a 63 percent chance, while the GOP's chances up like a rocket, up like gold, up from 17 percent to now a 37 percent chance. So, it will look like a pretty clear Democratic -- likely Democratic win in the House come next year has become much closer to a toss-up at this point, although still slightly leaning Democratic.

BOLDUAN: What's changed? What are you seeing?

ENTEN: OK, what has changed? Well, why don't we just take a...

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; elections; house

1 posted on 10/17/2025 11:23:15 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

When it’s this guy on? I always see clips of him on the Fox News evening shows, but when I check CNN from time to time I never see him on.


2 posted on 10/17/2025 11:28:02 AM PDT by Blue Highway
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Dunno how ‘rats can hold their own house. Lots of dysfunctional individuals in the abode.


3 posted on 10/17/2025 11:28:04 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Congratulations, Hakeem Jeffries. You will end up being the only opposition leader in history who needs half a dozen seats to take over Congress but is too stupid and incompetent to get them.


4 posted on 10/17/2025 11:32:41 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Dems’ need to cheat just quadrupled.i hope RNC is as on the ball as it was in 2024. Whatley is busy with his own race and Lara is gone.


5 posted on 10/17/2025 11:33:38 AM PDT by avital2
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To: PGalt

Thats why commies are screaming about illegals being kicked out of this country, the more illegals they lose, the less votes they have. Heck Biden imported a Hamas terrorist who after Oct 7th came to Louisiana of all places they just arrested him he came here on a fraudulent visa, Biden’s goons LET HIM IN, I wonder when Van Hollen will demand he have margarita’s with him


6 posted on 10/17/2025 11:35:19 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Horizontal brought joy.


7 posted on 10/17/2025 11:42:40 AM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The Americans who won the 2020 and 2024 elections don’t stand a chance in the outhouse crappers they call Federal courts in this country these day. The “judgeez” are a bunch of failed Margarita cocktail waitresses, pancake waitresses and illegal alien refugeez with “dual citizenship”.


8 posted on 10/17/2025 11:48:39 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Juries suck. A bunch of retarded, far left blowhards owned by the DemonRAT Party of Death.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Depends on how many absentee ballots they can create from now until a couple months after Election Day when they finally stop counting ballots.


9 posted on 10/17/2025 11:53:24 AM PDT by mass55th (“Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway.” ― John Wayne)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It’s the same old song. Say the Democrats are going to win to drive dollars to the Democrats. As you get closer to the election, start to get more honest.


10 posted on 10/17/2025 12:06:04 PM PDT by ChessExpert (Infidels of the world unite against the evil that is Islam.)
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

Can he pull a Fire Alarm to help him get the seats?


Congratulations, Hakeem Jeffries. You will end up being the only opposition leader in history who needs half a dozen seats to take over Congress but is too stupid and incompetent to get them.


11 posted on 10/17/2025 12:39:09 PM PDT by Dacula
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