[BeauBo]

“You really believe those lying crapweasels?”

It seems like Germany has turned around big time, and is scaling up significantly. Germany is the biggest economy in Europe.

Poland, the Baltics and the Nordics have all been hitting it hard.

Getting the other big economies (France, UK, Italy) to invest more will each be a challenge, but having formal NATO war plan requirements that they are tasked to resource has been effective in the past. They are more likely to drag their heels, and deliver toward the end of the ten year window, than the beginning. But each has its own dynamics. Of those three, I’d expect France to be the most likely to ramp up sooner. But all of the, are heading the right way.

[EnderWiggin1970]

Germany may be trying to change, but the fiscal realities will hit hard. They just keep kicking the can down the road with government debt, even as their population declines and they deindustrialize under green and anti-Russia policies that drive up energy prices. Throw in US tariffs and populations restive over mass immigration and the result is a continent in decline with increasing risk of simmering revolts flashing into real insurrection.

I think there is a far greater chance that the next NATO action won't be a war with Russia. It will be some NATO country asking for NATO troops and airstrikes to put down an internal popular uprising after another leading politician or political party is banned.