Rafał Trzaskowsk , left, and Karol Nawrocki
Posted on 06/01/2025 6:46:24 PM PDT by 11th_VA
Ipsos poll, which includes some partial results, puts Nawrocki on 51% and his pro-European rival, Rafał Trzaskowski, on 49%
Overnight projections from Poland’s crucial presidential run-off showed a narrow lead for the right-wing candidate Karol Nawrocki, as votes continued to be counted.
A set of preliminary results combining exit polls and counted ballots, published at 1am local time on Monday morning (midnight BST), gave Nawrocki a 51-49% lead over liberal contender Rafał Trzaskowski, an ally of the ruling government led by Donald Tusk.
Nawrocki’s lead was a dramatic reversal of projections, after an exit poll, published as voting concluded, appeared to show Trzaskowski would edge the contest with a 0.6% advantage.
A Nawrocki victory would also reinvigorate the Law and Justice party (PiS) which ruled Poland for eight years between 2015 and 2023 and clashed with Brussels overrule of law and other issues.
It would also significantly complicate the work of Tusk’s government. While the presidential role is largely ceremonial, it does have some influence over foreign and defence policy, as well as the critical power to veto new legislation. This can only be overturned with a 60% majority in parliament, which Tusk’s government does not have.
The full results are expected to be announced during the day on Monday, and the figures could change again as more votes are counted, although the pollster Ipsos claimed its final poll had a margin of error of just 0.5% for each candidate’s totals.…
(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...
I was in Poland a few weeks ago - didn’t see one moose limb the who time I was there.
Poland is at 97% counted and Nawroski (nationalist party) up 2.3%
So "The Fix" wasn't quite as good as the Socialist Lefties thought?
Will the euros just cancel the election like in Romania?
Just give it to the guy with the fewest vowels.
When will the missing truck be found soon?
What are the Polish words for ‘last-minute ballot stuffing’ and ‘nullification’? Someone better know!
They eat a lot of game there, but it’s mostly boar.
>> It would also significantly complicate the work of Tusk’s government.
Feel-good story of the day!
Yes they do - had the duck perogies
I’m seeing reported vote 99.81% in with Nawrocki up 1.88% points. If that report is accurate it’s over.
Now with 100% of vote in, including 100% of the overseas voting in, Nawrocki still leads by 1.78% points according to polandelects.com (10,606,628 to 10,237,177 votes.) Margin had kept tightening since he was up nearly 10% with 68% in, but the late surge for the EU candidate wasn’t enough to win that count. So now we learn whether they have something more nefarious up their sleeve (370K votes out of 21M cast would be quite a pick up for a recount) or whether Nawrocki will be allowed his win.
Updated exit poll shows right-wing candidate Nawrocki winning Polish presidential election (Jun 2, 2025)
It is looking better. Exit Polls are not the victory.
Final poll results are.
Thanks for that post.
OSZ
@OpenSourceZone
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46s
Poland Presidential Election (100% Reporting)
🔵 Nawrocki (Right Wing) 50.9% ✅
🟠 Trzaskowski (Pro EU) 49.1%
Good. Thank you for update.
Trzaskowski already ‘claimed victory’.
What does that tell you?
New conservative president can't do much positively, but can veto things. Parliament, held by his party until '23, but now held by the presidential loser's party, has the power to do things, but needs 60% to override his veto. They don't have that large a majority. So anticipate lots of vetos, some compromise, but not much done on the big picture items. And perhaps early parliamentary elections (default scheduled for '27) trying to break the logjam.
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