Thank you for the compliment. However, I must confess that Socrates has not been 100% accurate. It led me into three bankruptcies and losing over $700,000,000 of my clients' funds and eleven years in the federal pen after my ponzi scheme collapsed.
Posted on 05/06/2025 10:03:31 PM PDT by delta7
Mr. Armstrong, I fully appreciate that you have no interest in winning a Nobel Prize. However, the computer you have developed is far more accurate than anything regarding markets or geopolitics that has ever been created. This week was the turning point, as is May and then June, with a Panic Cycle.
You forecast in 2019 that war would come to India and Pakistan in 2025. Nobody has ever been able to provide such accurate forecasts years in advance. I do not know what to say, but I believe everyone reading this should send a letter to the Nobel Commission to nominate you for this is more important than just you, this is about society making that one step forward for mankind, as Neil Armstrong said.
ECM Chart
REPLY: Thank you. Milton Friedman told me that what I was doing was important for society. He came to listen to me at a tech conference in Chicago. I am not sure if it was a Computrac or Market Technicians Conference. Nobody seems to have the records from then. If anyone were there and remembers, I would love to hear from you.
India said it conducted military strikes on nine sites in Pakistan in retaliation for a deadly militant attack on tourists in Kashmir, intensifying a confrontation between the nuclear-armed neighbors. India said its forces carried out strikes on camps that terrorists have used to stage attacks against India, according to a statement released on Wednesday. This was an expected response after it pledged retaliation for an attack last month in Kashmir that killed 26 people. India said it had NOT targeted any Pakistani military facilities. Reports confirm that India fired missiles at multiple targets that, according to Pakistani officials, killed a child and wounded two other people.
The ties between the two have rapidly deteriorated in the wake of the Kashmir attack. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has accused Pakistan of involvement and vowed to punish those responsible. Pakistan has denied any links to the attacks and warned of retaliation if India takes military action. This comes down to whether escalation will unfold from mid-May into June.
Pakistan has closed its airspace to Indian airlines, a move India matched. India has ordered Pakistani nationals in India to leave and reduced the number of staff allowed at Pakistan’s diplomatic mission. India’s military has been guarding the disputed border with China since 2020. China is a close ally of Pakistan and its top weapons provider. A war between India and Pakistan could easily see China on Pakistan’s side.
In a hypothetical scenario where India faces a conflict with Pakistan, with China backing Pakistan, India’s support would likely come from a combination of strategic partners, influenced by geopolitical interests and existing alliances:
United States:
Strategic Partnership: The U.S. has deepened defense ties with India through agreements like LEMOA (Logistics Exchange Memorandum of Agreement) and sees India as a counterbalance to China in the Indo-Pacific. Diplomatic, intelligence, and logistical support (e.g., arms sales, satellite data) would be probable, though direct military intervention is less certain unless U.S. interests are directly threatened.
Quad Alliance: The U.S. might rally Quad partners (Japan, Australia) to exert diplomatic and economic pressure on China, though their military roles would depend on the conflict’s scope.
France and Israel:
France: A major defense supplier (e.g., Rafale jets), France could provide advanced weapons and diplomatic backing, leveraging its UN Security Council position.
Israel: Likely to supply intelligence, precision-guided munitions, and cybersecurity support, given its robust defense ties with India.
Regional Partners:
Japan and Australia: Diplomatic support and sanctions against China/Pakistan, with limited military involvement unless the conflict escalates regionally.
Gulf States (UAE, Saudi Arabia): Might offer economic support or mediation, balancing historical ties to Pakistan with growing Indian partnerships.
Russia:
Balancing Act: Historically, a key arms supplier, Russia’s support would be constrained by its alignment with China post-Ukraine. It might remain neutral or broker negotiations to avoid alienating either side.
Multilateral Organizations:
UN and EU: Likely to push for de-escalation, though Chinese veto power could block anti-Pakistan/China resolutions. The EU might impose sanctions if the conflict threatens global stability.
Domestic and Nuclear Factors:
India’s extensive military and nuclear arsenal would act as a deterrent, reducing reliance on external intervention. However, atomic escalation risks would galvanize global pressure for a ceasefire.
This becomes very complicated. China’s Regional Influence is not to be ignored. The ASEAN nations (e.g., Vietnam, Philippines) might tacitly support India but avoid overt involvement to avoid antagonizing China. Then there is the issue of economic interdependence. For example, countries with significant trade ties to China (e.g., Germany, South Korea) would most likely limit support to India to avoid economic fallout.
India would likely receive diplomatic, economic, and limited military support from the U.S., France, Israel, and Quad partners, while Russia and multilateral bodies might prioritize mediation. Direct military intervention would hinge on the conflict’s scale and perceived threat to global stability. The overarching priority for most nations would be de-escalation to prevent a nuclear or regional crisis.
War is a Contagion
War is a contagion. It seems to unfold in one area and spread. It started with Ukraine, then Taiwan, and now India. Also, Carney in Canada has not waged military war against the United States, but he has engaged in diplomatic war because he is part of the WEF elite.
He told Trump that Canada is not for sale, mainly because he has already sold it to merge with the EU. We are headed into a period of rising tensions globally, and as we will see, especially next year, all the old grudges will resurface around the globe.
Yikes overload to read for now but what I immediately thought of are the Indian and Pakistani residents of the UK. There is such a high concentration of both demographically especially in London…Wonder how they’re getting along…
He told Trump that Canada is not for sale, mainly because he has already sold it to merge with the EU. We are headed into a period of rising tensions globally, and as we will see, especially next year, all the old grudges will resurface around the globe.
Boy did Trump inherit a global mess.
“ War is a Contagion”
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Well let’s not let America get infected!
“ War is a Contagion”
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Well let’s not let America get infected!
><><
Right on!!!
It was for me too.
But it solidified a thought I've been developing for a while but until your post I had yet to figure out how to put it in words.
What seems like an overly wordy and long text when seen on the internet, 50 years ago, in print, would have seemed like a short article to read.
This is part of why so many people are so ill informed these days.
A proper understanding of many issues takes a longer statement of facts to read than what most of us are willing or able to do.
!!!
A proper understanding of many issues…
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I find of interest where each nation will in probability side with. Many have absolutely no idea of the allegiances in that part of the globe.
Not all hope is lost. Trump won for a reason due to content in new media :). Video vloggers and things. YouTube documentaries, etc…Covering subjects I never would have studied about in college, like: dying Pennsylvania steel towns.
A channel I follow that reveals the human side of China is “Blondie in China” - she’s a foodie but then the content ends up being revelatory and educational :)
https://youtu.be/ui1qtxVxjCU?feature=shared
You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but do not be troubled. These things must happen. So I take God’s advice. I’m not troubled. It’s going to happen and nothing no man can do about it.
P4L
Pakistan’s Defense Minister warned that if India were to launch an attack threatening Pakistan’s existence, the consequences would be apocalyptic: “We won’t let any other country live on this planet either.”
https://x.com/amuse/status/1920027164918808585
The Snake charmers and the rag heads are going to nuke each other!
This will end global warming and shut up all those GW extremist in Hollywood and Penn State not to mention Billy Gates and his GW billionaire buddies while the are hunkering down in their fallout shelters!
Anyone have a map to those shelters?
Review
“the computer you have developed is far more accurate than anything regarding markets or geopolitics that has ever been created”
Hahaha! That’s rich.
Shyster Armstrong still writing fake letters to himself and pimping his scam blog on FR.
It should be fairly obvious that World war 3 has begun, the lines have been drawn and the actual fighting via direct action and proxy is in progress. Taiwan is next. India and Pakistan was the wild card but the Chinese won’t let Taiwan sit too much longer. If they are already fighting a full on economic war with the USA why wait to attack Taiwan no better time than when already in a economic war.
“I find of interest where each nation will in probability side with. Many have absolutely no idea of the allegiances in that part of the globe.”
How does it work for BRICS when some have closer ties to the U.S. than to China?
Thank you for the compliment. However, I must confess that Socrates has not been 100% accurate. It led me into three bankruptcies and losing over $700,000,000 of my clients' funds and eleven years in the federal pen after my ponzi scheme collapsed.
You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but do not be troubled. These things must happen. So I take God’s advice. I’m not troubled.
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Best reply, very good advice.
July 2024 he predicted US cIvil unrest/WAR to happen just before the 2024 elections.
November 2024 he predicted a US civil war would happen the week of Trump’s inauguration with the US breaking up into four new countries in 2026.
December 2024 he said via Socrates that the 2024 elections would be the last in the US.
January 2025 he predicted US civil unrest on May 7.
March 15, 2025: Got suckered by fake story https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4304515/posts?page=40#40
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