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At The Current Rate, It Would Take Russia Centuries And Tens Of Millions Of Casualties To Capture Ukraine
Forbes ^ | 1 May 2025 | David Axe

Posted on 05/01/2025 3:54:15 PM PDT by Apparatchik

Russian forces managed to capture around 68 square miles of Ukraine in April. But it cost them 4,800 vehicles and more than 36,600 dead and wounded troops, according to one statistician who collects data mostly from official Ukrainian sources including the general staff in Kyiv.

In the same month, Ukrainian losses were “minimal,” concluded analyst Konrad Muzyka of Rochan Consulting in Poland.

Ukraine sprawls across 233,000 square miles, 19% of which is under Russian occupation. At the current rates of advance and loss, the Russians would capture the rest of Ukraine in the year 2256 at the cost of 101 million casualties. The current population of Russia is 144 million.

Incredibly, staggering losses in people and equipment haven’t yet crippled the Russian military in Ukraine. The Kremlin is equipping its forces with thousands of civilian vehicles, including scooters, compact cars and even at least one bus.

Meanwhile, it’s recruiting 30,000 troops per month, Gen. Christopher Cavoli, commander of U.S. Army forces in Europe, told U.S. lawmakers on April 3. Since many of the wounded eventually return to the front line, the Russian armed forces recruit more people every month than they lose.

As a result, Cavoli said, the Russian force in Ukraine is actually growing. It now numbers no fewer than 600,000 troops, “the highest level over the course of the war and almost double the size of the initial invasion force” in February 2022, Cavoli said.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; News/Current Events; Russia; War
KEYWORDS: anydaynowukrainewins; apairofpantysmaximus; badmath; bidenbois4ukraine; bidencrimefamily; chickiemaximus; clownshow; davidaxe; davidaxelol; futility; globohomo; hitlerwillinvadeyurp; hitlerwillkillusall; invasion; kievkaren; loldavidaxe; loldavidaxelol; notherdumbzeepthread; omghitlerhitler; omgputinputinputin; sendmoremoney; surejan; ukrainevictorious; waste; zelvisvictoryparade

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105,393 days to Kyiv!
1 posted on 05/01/2025 3:54:15 PM PDT by Apparatchik
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To: Apparatchik

There’s been no war in human history, or chimpanzee history, or ant vs termite history that has been won at a steady rate of acquisition. Victories in drawn out wars build slowly, then happen all at once.


2 posted on 05/01/2025 3:58:02 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: Apparatchik

It’s because they haven’t tried everything yet. A couple of tactical nukes would change that timeline significantly.


3 posted on 05/01/2025 3:58:03 PM PDT by webheart (Why not write out because instead of saying b/c and with instead of w/ ?)
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To: Apparatchik

“Russian forces managed to capture around 68 square miles of Ukraine in April.”

...and about 1000 square miles of Kursk.


4 posted on 05/01/2025 3:59:19 PM PDT by BobL
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To: BobL

Remember that the numbers are skewed and Russia has an even steeper climb because Ukraine captured Moscow! (or so Zeepers post)


5 posted on 05/01/2025 4:02:18 PM PDT by Old West Conservative
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To: Old West Conservative
Ukraine captured Moscow! (or so Zeepers post)

Really? Where can I find that?
6 posted on 05/01/2025 4:04:26 PM PDT by Apparatchik (Русские свиньи, идите домой!)
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To: Apparatchik

You deliberately mischaracterize restraint as weakness.

Russia could stomp Ukraine like a bug, but most of the people there have Russian roots, plus they don’t want to give you warmongering psychos an excuse to start World War III, which is what you so desperately desire.


7 posted on 05/01/2025 4:09:58 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democrats are the Party of anger, hate and violence.)
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To: Apparatchik
105,393 days to Kyiv!

Wow! And at the rate we're pissing away money in Ukraine, it would only cost the American taxpayers $20 TRILLION PLUS INTEREST to make that happen! What a bargain!
/sarc

8 posted on 05/01/2025 4:11:33 PM PDT by Who is John Galt? ("...mit Pulver und Blei, Die Gedanken sind frei!")
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To: Apparatchik
This war can easily last for another 10 years. But USA will have to continue arming Russia.

Putin may be counting on USA to give up by then.

9 posted on 05/01/2025 4:13:29 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

*Ukraine


10 posted on 05/01/2025 4:13:46 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

And you mischaracterize killing or maiming 10,000 of your own people as “restraint”.

I call it evil.

And remember, Putin started this war.


11 posted on 05/01/2025 4:14:34 PM PDT by Apparatchik (Русские свиньи, идите домой!)
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To: Apparatchik
That’s 10,000 dead and wounded each week
12 posted on 05/01/2025 4:16:49 PM PDT by Apparatchik (Русские свиньи, идите домой!)
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To: webheart

Yes, and if the West would quietly give those tactical nukes to the Ukranians, they would make a big difference.


13 posted on 05/01/2025 4:17:17 PM PDT by desertsolitaire (tried to invade )
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To: AnotherUnixGeek
Victories in drawn out wars build slowly, then happen all at once.

"How did you go bankrupt? Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly." — Ernest Hemingway

14 posted on 05/01/2025 4:18:24 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democrats are the Party of anger, hate and violence.)
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To: webheart

Putin’s position is that Ukraine is part of Russia. If he used nuclear weapons, therefore, he would be bombing his own country.


15 posted on 05/01/2025 4:18:35 PM PDT by proxy_user
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To: Apparatchik

Russia is, and always has been, indifferent to casualties. No nation can grind it out for so long or at such a high price as Russia.


16 posted on 05/01/2025 4:21:08 PM PDT by Skooz (Gabba Gabba accept you we accept you one of us Gabba Gabba we accept you we accept you one of us )
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To: desertsolitaire
Yes, and if the West would quietly give those tactical nukes to the Ukranians, they would make a big difference.

You just admitted this is not a Russia/Ukraine war, it is a Russia/United States proxy war.

Why can't you warmongering psychos ever be honest?

17 posted on 05/01/2025 4:21:38 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democrats are the Party of anger, hate and violence.)
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To: Apparatchik

Which is why I’ve said for two years that the claim that Russia will take over all Europe if not stopped in the Ukraine is a lie.


18 posted on 05/01/2025 4:22:21 PM PDT by GrumpyOldGuy
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To: webheart

Exactly… and Ukraine is depleted .The Russians dont actually want all of Ukraine. Thats the issue. But the “news” will make it sound like Ukraine is taking it to them and simply ran into some bad luck lately.


19 posted on 05/01/2025 4:22:55 PM PDT by MrRelevant
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To: Apparatchik
And remember, Putin started this war.

Here we go again. History begins on a day of your choosing.

Victoria Nuland started this war with her 2014 color revolution and encouraging NATO to stage troops and weapons on the Russia/Ukraine border.

20 posted on 05/01/2025 4:23:33 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democrats are the Party of anger, hate and violence.)
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