Posted on 01/25/2025 6:49:41 AM PST by delta7
Donald Trump has warned Russian President Vladamir Putin to end the war effort in Ukraine or face US sanctions. “If we don’t make a ‘deal,’ and soon, I have no other choice but to put high levels of Taxes, Tariffs, and Sanctions on anything being sold by Russia to the United States, and various other participating countries,” Trump said pm Truth Social. Are tariffs enough to force Putin to withdraw from Ukraine?
Russia exported $2.9 billion in goods from January to November 2024, down from the $4.3 billion the year prior. Russia’s main exports to the US is refined petroleum, platinum, and nitrogenous fertilizers. Refined petroleum in particular is a key Russian import. Does the US have an alternative source for this crucial good, or will they be forced to pay for it at a markup from a third-party nation? The entire concept of tariffs always unintentionally punishes people on both sides of trade relationships, not just the targeted government.
Russia has already begun operating its economy independent of the West. Removing Russia from SWIFT was the lethal blow that ensured Russia needed to immediately reorganize its trade plan. The BRICS alliance has been strong and Russia has secured strong partners outside of the West. Trade with China accounts for over one-third of trade with Russia and has ben the nation’s top trading partner for over 14 years. Russia is China’s fifth largest trading partner in comparison. Total trade volume between the two exceeded $244.8 billion in 2024, marking a 1.9% YoY increase.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov remained undisturbed by the threat of tariffs. “We do not see any particularly new elements,” Peskov said in a drastic understatement. Peskov commented that the Kremlin knows Trump “likes” sanctions and has been prepared. Things have simply escalated too far for Russia to bow out of the war. The reparations would nuke Russia’s economy, and the neocons do not want to see Russia standing as a nation.
Russia no longer needs the US or Europe to support its economy. Politicians have already shunned Russia from global trade with the West, and this threat is baseless. This threat will backfire if implemented and create an inflationary environment for US consumers.
Oil? It will lower the Russian price but being a fungible commodity it will find a home.
Do recall our Sanctions on Japan in the late 30’s caused war with Japan.
the point being, it is not that simple.
Kellogg explained that the price of oil is roughly $70 per barrel, meaning huge cash flows for Moscow to continue funding its unjust war on Ukraine. Eliminating that surplus would constrain Putin, helping push him toward the negotiation table.
“Russia is getting billions of dollars of money from oil sales,” Kellogg said. “What if you drop that to $45 a barrel, which is basically the baseline break-even point.” ...
... But that doesn’t mean Trump has written off supplying Ukraine with additional weapons, [Kellogg] added, as the president may also consider sending Ukraine more US-made military aid paid for by frozen Russian assets...
Noting that arming Ukraine is still “an important piece” of reaching peace, Kellogg said there are “other pieces that are just as important, and I think the president understands that...
“But I think we’ve always talked about it — we’ve talked about this repeatedly — of using Russian frozen assets to do that, to buy US arms,” he continued.
“That is one piece of the puzzle that needs to be discussed, and it’s going to be on the table with the president to talk about ...”
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4292497/posts
Kellogg explained that the price of oil is roughly $70 per barrel, meaning huge cash flows for Moscow to continue funding its unjust war on Ukraine. Eliminating that surplus would constrain Putin, helping push him toward the negotiation table.
“Russia is getting billions of dollars of money from oil sales,” Kellogg said. “What if you drop that to $45 a barrel, which is basically the baseline break-even point.” ...
... But that doesn’t mean Trump has written off supplying Ukraine with additional weapons, [Kellogg] added, as the president may also consider sending Ukraine more US-made military aid paid for by frozen Russian assets...
Noting that arming Ukraine is still “an important piece” of reaching peace, Kellogg said there are “other pieces that are just as important, and I think the president understands that...
“But I think we’ve always talked about it — we’ve talked about this repeatedly — of using Russian frozen assets to do that, to buy US arms,” he continued.
“That is one piece of the puzzle that needs to be discussed, and it’s going to be on the table with the president to talk about ...”
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4292497/posts
Yes. But we mustn’t forget how our economic dominance was able to secure victory over the Taliban, the Viet Cong, Fidel Castro (Bay of Pigs), and Mao Tse Tung.
The Russians have not made much progress against the Ukrainian Kursk salient in the past month, see page 9:
What does Russia truly need foreign currency for?
"What does Russia truly need foreign currency for?"To buy foreign goods.
“of using Russian frozen assets”
2028
Russian Overseas Naval Base Apothecaries around the globe are now offering the latest Western drugs made in Russia at the lowest prices on Earth to Russian personnel and the citizens and residents of our host country. No ID required.
Specifically, what “foreign goods”?
I think Russian children can live without the latest Mattel DEI dolls.
Russia Trade & Investment Summary
https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/europe-middle-east/russia-and-eurasia/russiaSee page 2 of the following PDF file:
"2021 Statistical Analysis of U.S. Trade with Russia.pdf"
https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/documents/technology-evaluation/ote-data-portal/country-analysis/2999-2021-statistical-analysis-of-u-s-trade-with-russia/file
For God’s sake, stop stalking him.
He has done nothing wrong on this website, he’s been here for more than 20 years.
You have been here for less than 5 months (unless you are a retread).
You are harassing him and it is uncalled for.
Just STOP.
Yes. But we mustn’t forget how our economic dominance was able to secure victory over the Taliban…
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Agreed. Take China for instance, they embarked on chip manufacturing. They bought state of the art western equipment, and they are failing for a few reasons. Amazing video explaining in details.
"Sanctions on Japan in the late 30’s caused war with Japan"
He merely pointed out that Martin Armstrong is a liar, a fraud and a crook.
No need to get upset.
He merely pointed out that Martin Armstrong is a liar, a fraud and a crook.
No need to get upset.
But I think we’ve always talked about it — we’ve talked about this repeatedly — of using Russian frozen assets to do that, to buy US arms,” he continued.
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Big, big mistake. Stealing a sovereign nation’s money ( Russian) has already turbo charged the BRICS, and results in Treasury and Government reduced bond buying.
The Indian Minister already stated why should they buy US debt when they can steal it because we don’t do as they say. Our government runs on foreign purchases of our debt instruments.
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