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Reform just six points off becoming biggest party, says election predictor
The Telegraph ^ | 04 January 2025 | Ethan Croft. Ollie Corfe

Posted on 01/04/2025 9:18:45 PM PST by MinorityRepublican

Reform UK is just six points away from becoming the biggest party in parliament, an election predictor has found.

Nigel Farage’s insurgent party could leapfrog both the Conservatives and Labour by gaining a few more percentage points of support, according to the analysis by polling firm Electoral Calculus.

If the party reached 28 per cent of the popular vote at an election, it would likely become the largest force in the House of Commons, though short of an overall majority.

On current polling trends, Reform would reach this threshold within six months if it continues to pick up support at the current rate.

With 31 per cent of the vote, Reform would win a majority, making Mr Farage prime minister.

The prediction comes as support collapsed for the Labour Party and Sir Keir Starmer experienced a dramatic slump in his personal popularity.

Labour won a landslide of seats at the general election in July with under 34 per cent of the popular vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: United Kingdom
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1 posted on 01/04/2025 9:18:45 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Sounds like it’s time to put an end to UK-Reform, due to their Russian funding. (not that there is any Russian funding but they’re still the best ones to blame as Europe becomes Fascist)


2 posted on 01/04/2025 9:22:49 PM PST by BobL
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To: BobL

Unless they win an outright majority, the other parties will gang up to shut them out. The Tories and Labour will make dirty deals.


3 posted on 01/04/2025 9:49:48 PM PST by rxh4n1 ( )
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To: BobL

>> Sounds like it’s time to put an end to UK-Reform

You’re a wicked man, Keir Starmer!

(j/k)


4 posted on 01/04/2025 10:13:14 PM PST by Nervous Tick (Not su)
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To: rxh4n1

>> the other parties will gang up to shut them out

That works... for a while. Then it doesn’t work, and Reform calls the shots.


5 posted on 01/04/2025 10:14:53 PM PST by Nervous Tick (Not su)
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To: rxh4n1

They Basicly said they would. The “conservative “ party said they would rather form a government wiyht labor and greens. Europe is toast. No one drop of American blood fot their idiocy. Let them starve in the dark and rejoin the Union of communist.


6 posted on 01/04/2025 10:25:09 PM PST by wgmalabama (For rent….)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Unfortunately, as Comrade Starmer has a BIG majority, he will be on there until no later than 15 August 2029. There are not enough opposition MPs to defeat the government. He can so one HELLUVA LOT of damage in four years!

Just look at what Castreau has done to Canaduh, and look how much excess damage he’ll do to Canaduh after 20 January 2025!


7 posted on 01/05/2025 1:58:14 AM PST by A Formerly Proud Canadian ( Ceterum autem censeo Justinius True-dope-us esse delendam. sic semper tyrannis.)
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