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The Art of the Dangled Carrot: Trump, DeSantis and Florida’s Vacant Senate Seat
The Capitolist ^ | | Dec 10, 2024 | Brian Burgess

Posted on 12/10/2024 2:16:58 PM PST by conservative98

Few people have demonstrated an ability to use leverage to make deals more than President-elect Donald Trump. He built his business career around the concept, and he’s demonstrated that those skills can be ported to the political world just as easily. And while the feverish speculation about Florida Governor Ron DeSantis as a potential Secretary of Defense nominee has become more muted this week, it’s still worth examining the idea from the perspective of political leverage as opposed to political necessity.

Let’s start with the fact that floating DeSantis’s name is not the same as offering him the job. The former is risk free. The latter is a mutually beneficial dance that requires political capital on both sides to be put at risk. It is the former, and not the latter, that is in play here. What else is in play is something far more subtle than a Secretary of Defense nomination, but just as interesting: Trump is doing all he can to influence DeSantis to appoint Lara Trump to the U.S. Senate to replace Marco Rubio, assuming that Rubio becomes Secretary of State as planned.

Don’t think for a moment that the president-elect is going to allow DeSantis to appoint whomever he wants to the U.S. Senate, at least not without playing a few trump cards designed to influence that choice and secure a commitment from Florida’s governor. This is vintage Trump: the calculated use of public praise and private back room promises to achieve poltical objectives.

Floating DeSantis’s name as SecDef was never about whether or not DeSantis will bite – or whether he even wants the job – both questions remain beside the point since Pete Hegseth is still in the running. The real story at the moment is the power play unfolding between DeSantis and Trump, what it reveals about Trump’s strategy to consolidate and wield influence, and what it will reveal about DeSantis’s ability to cut his own political deals and maximize political leverage when he has it.

There are undoubtedly many great Floridians who would do an honorable job representing Florida while serving alongside Rick Scott in the U.S. Senate. But only one of them come with presidential backing and the political capital that can be extracted as a result.

Lara Trump, a loyal family insider, is vocally seeking the job. In this context, the president-elect floating DeSantis’s name for a Pentagon post accomplishes two goals and costs Trump nothing. First, it sends a message to DC insiders that killing off Hegseth isn’t going to make much difference, because DeSantis would bring a similar back-to-the-basics, no-nonsense style of military leadership. Second, it sends a message to DeSantis that, just maybe, all has been forgiven with respect to DeSantis’s presidential primary challenge.

Trump has a long history of magnanimity, often offering an olive branch to those who have challenged him in the past. Rubio himself is only one of the most recent examples, having been one of Trump’s longest-lasting opponents in the 2016 presidential contest, but now granted one of the most plum appointments in any presidential administration.

Still, Trump has dangled other carrots, and then yanked them away. Who can forget his famous dinner with Mitt Romney in late 2016 after Romney so vocally opposed Trump? Many thought Romney might get the Secretary of State job eight years ago, but it turns out it was nothing more than a Trump power play to humiliate him.

The difference is that in 2016, Romney had nothing to offer Trump. DeSantis, by contrast, holds a Senate appointment in his hands, which completely changes the dynamics. From Trump’s perspective, floating DeSantis’s name for prestigious cabinet roles is an easy way to flatter the Florida governor while applying subtle pressure: make the Senate appointment that Trump wants, and DeSantis will continue to be showered in love and adoration from the president.

But the flip side is also true: don’t make the appointment Trump wants, and expect the olive branch offered by Trump to dry up. It’s a classic case of political leverage, playing out before our very eyes.

Comically, other political outlets are speculating about whether or not DeSantis will become Secretary of Defense. But that’s not the real question. The real, and for now, only question, and one that has carries profound implications for DeSantis’s political future, is whether or not he’s going to appoint Lara Trump to the U.S. Senate, and what DeSantis will get in return.


TOPICS: Editorial; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: desantis; trump
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1 posted on 12/10/2024 2:16:58 PM PST by conservative98
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To: conservative98

2 posted on 12/10/2024 2:17:29 PM PST by conservative98
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To: conservative98

I been thinkin’. What about Tim Tebow?


3 posted on 12/10/2024 2:30:40 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Why him?


4 posted on 12/10/2024 2:40:05 PM PST by nickcarraway
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To: DIRTYSECRET

DeSantis is his own man and doesn’t need Trump. He’s got a significant job for 2 more years. He should tell Lara to RUN against Tillis in NC and make her EARN it.

Problem is the appointment gets followed up by an election to finish the term and then another to start another for another 6 years. Most men are are too lazy whereas a woman has more fight in them. Just my 2 cents.

**Tebow-Why him?**

Tebow would make the left surrender as they would lose. Abortion.


5 posted on 12/10/2024 2:45:29 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Having Lara and family in the White House periodically would be a smart move for FL.


6 posted on 12/10/2024 2:48:26 PM PST by cnsmom
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To: conservative98

NO to Trump NEPO appointments .
We will lose the seat with Lara Trump to the Dems .
She is Not from FL .
FL voters dont like Carpet bagger NEPO appointments .
Jared crooked jailbird father appointment was enough awful .


7 posted on 12/10/2024 2:53:48 PM PST by ncalburt ( Gop DC Globalists are the evil)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
Most men are are too lazy whereas a woman has more fight in them.

LOL! ... more groupthink!!
8 posted on 12/10/2024 2:55:26 PM PST by bankwalker (Repeal the 19th ...)
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To: cnsmom

just like Javanka? LOL


9 posted on 12/10/2024 2:56:27 PM PST by bankwalker (Repeal the 19th ...)
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To: ncalburt
NO to Trump NEPO appointments.

Trump is not always good when it comes to choosing candidates. He choose Oz in PA. And Lake in AZ.

I'm not even sure if I would have voted for Oz in PA. Fetterman did a great job of defending Israel in the Senate. I do not see Oz doing that because he's a Muslim from Turkey.

10 posted on 12/10/2024 2:56:53 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: Taxman

ping


11 posted on 12/10/2024 3:06:04 PM PST by Taxman (MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! SUPPORT THE FAIRTAX!)
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To: conservative98

desantis defied trump during the scamdemic... desantis has done more to preserve freedom for floridians than trump... desantis was never chasing the carrot you portrayed...


12 posted on 12/10/2024 3:07:40 PM PST by heavy metal (smiling improves your face value and makes people wonder what the hell you're up to... 😁)
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To: bankwalker

No I think Lara will have individual relationships through her RNC work. Javanka was a fish out of water in DC.


13 posted on 12/10/2024 3:11:18 PM PST by cnsmom
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To: conservative98

Give it to Gaetz.


14 posted on 12/10/2024 3:20:05 PM PST by Glad2bnuts
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To: conservative98

Putting the article’s presumption aside (DeSantis Sec of Def possibility), why in the world would DeSantis even want to tie himself up 4 years as a Cabinet member when his primary interest is running again for President in 4 years? Anyone serious towards running in 2028 needs to start 2 years ahead of time to travel and lay the groundwork for a campaign. You can’t do that while being a Cabinet member.


15 posted on 12/10/2024 3:21:01 PM PST by LibFreeUSA
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To: heavy metal

Ron was closing beaches. Called spring breakers “ grandparent killers”.


16 posted on 12/10/2024 3:28:22 PM PST by Fledermaus (The election is over! We won big! So why are so many here nick picking, moaning, and whining? )
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To: conservative98

DeSantis would have to commit first.


17 posted on 12/10/2024 3:35:35 PM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: Fledermaus

he changed course and you know that... check out what the florida surgeon general has to say about the kung flu shots...


18 posted on 12/10/2024 3:38:47 PM PST by heavy metal (smiling improves your face value and makes people wonder what the hell you're up to... 😁)
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To: Fledermaus
Rewriting History with your Desantis Deranged Hate .
Desantis made FL a state to flee to unfortunately for us locals .
Stop Spreading the BS CRAP about Desantis .
Desantis is not anyones flunky or a Trump Yes Man .
He will pick the best Person .
Trump butt out of FL . Your not from here either .
Lara is a carpet bagger and nepo pick .
19 posted on 12/10/2024 3:52:39 PM PST by ncalburt ( Gop DC Globalists are the evil)
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To: ncalburt

He did it and said it. How us that rewriting?


20 posted on 12/10/2024 3:56:10 PM PST by Fledermaus (The election is over! We won big! So why are so many here nick picking, moaning, and whining? )
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