Pittsburgh is heavily Democrat. But unlike in many places, it’s an odd mix.
You’ve got old-time steel mill Democrats who still think Harry Truman is running the Democrat party. They’ll pull the D lever no matter what.
Then you’ve got the Joe Six-Pack guys. They’re registered Democrats because their grandparents were registered Democrats. Those guys know what’s up. They’ll break for Trump.
Then you’ve got the suburban soccer moms. They want to vote for Harris, because that’s the cool thing to do. But Biden’s inflation is killing them. Plus they’re starting to worry about crime.
Bottom line: I think the edge in PA goes to Trump. But only if the count is honest. Otherwise, it’s a coin flip.
One of the voting reforms of the past decade eliminated the D lever or its electronic or paper equivalent.
"Straight party" voting in Pennsylvania has gone the way of the buggy whip.
Unfortunately by State law the Party of the Governor appears first on the ballot.
Our Governor is Josh Shapiro (D).
A FL neighbor summers in Pittsburgh. His email ends in:
@stealcity.com
I would add the rise of fracking. Combine the collapse of the UMWA in the wake of mine shutterings in the 1970s and 1980s, and the United Steel Workers almost dissolving in the area as the steel industry shuttered in the same time period, much of the Dems foot soldiers are gone. Fracing brought in the first new money into the area in a generation, and these are overwhelmingly non-union jobs. Despite “Kamala Harris’ pro-fracking forgiveness tour,” Everyone has known that Democrats are hostile to fracing since it became a common practice during the Obama Admin.