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New Poll indicates tight race in Virginia
University of Mary Washington ^ | 9/20/2024 | Professor Farnsworth

Posted on 09/20/2024 10:36:41 AM PDT by Swirl

Vice President Kamala Harris (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) are locked in a tight presidential contest in Virginia, according to a new statewide survey from the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington.

Harris has the support of 47 percent of 756 Virginia likely voters, as compared to 46 percent favoring Trump in the survey, which includes 1,000 adult respondents and was conducted for UMW’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies by Research America Inc. Sept. 3-9. Several third party and independent candidates received a total of four percent support in the poll, while the remaining likely voters said they were undecided.

In a question that asked likely voters only about the major party nominees, the results also remained well within the margin of error: 48 percent favored Harris and 46 preferred Trump.

Among all survey respondents, the two major party nominees were tied at 44 percent each. Roughly five percent said they were undecided, with the remainder saying they support a third-party or independent candidate or were not planning to vote.

“This new survey suggests Virginia should be getting a much closer look from both presidential campaigns,” said Stephen J. Farnsworth, professor of political science at the University of Mary Washington and director of UMW’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies. “Virginia may deserve to be treated as a ‘swing state’ once again this year.”


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: poll; virgina
Trump leading in all age groups in Virginia except those under 25.
1 posted on 09/20/2024 10:36:41 AM PDT by Swirl
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To: Swirl

Turnout will be very high in eastern VA, those people are voting to save their jobs.


2 posted on 09/20/2024 10:38:17 AM PDT by Fido969
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To: Swirl

Good news. Wish this poll was post debate though.


3 posted on 09/20/2024 10:43:05 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
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To: willk

Isn’t it post-debate?


4 posted on 09/20/2024 10:44:18 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (7,525,799 Truth | 87,979,589 Twitter)
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To: SamAdams76

Pre-debate.


5 posted on 09/20/2024 10:46:58 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: nwrep
Why would they put out a poll that is so dated? The debate was at least two weeks ago.

That's odd.

6 posted on 09/20/2024 10:51:31 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (7,525,799 Truth | 87,979,589 Twitter)
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To: Swirl

I lived in VA in the 80s and 90s.

I remember the good old days when every sensible person knew that liberals sucked.

We all made fun of liberals and their childish naïveté.

Haha ignore those stupid hippies, they don’t know anything.


7 posted on 09/20/2024 10:52:52 AM PDT by vmpolesov
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To: Swirl

Governor Youngkin (and the legislature I believe) have made it so there are only paper ballots. No machines. We have a real chance in VA.


8 posted on 09/20/2024 10:54:59 AM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: HandBasketHell

“We have a real chance in VA.”

That would be great in case we lose Pennsylvania. Mixed polls there but even Washington Compost has it tied.


9 posted on 09/20/2024 11:02:26 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
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To: HandBasketHell

There are machines, butpaper ballots


10 posted on 09/20/2024 11:27:08 AM PDT by When do we get liberated? (A socialist is a communist who realizes he must suckle the breast of Capitalism.)
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To: Fido969

You mean the Naval base?


11 posted on 09/20/2024 11:30:18 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: Fido969

756 polled???

NOT very much work invested there.


12 posted on 09/20/2024 11:35:40 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: All

Reads like the guy running the project wants money influx from one or both of the campaigns.


13 posted on 09/20/2024 11:40:28 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Swirl

Here in the Dim swamp of Northern Virginia, I have noticed far fewer Harris signs than there were Biden signs four years ago.

That makes me hopeful.


14 posted on 09/20/2024 11:50:06 AM PDT by VanShuyten ("...that all the donkeys were dead. I know nothing as to the fate of the less valuable animals)
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To: Swirl

If this is true there is ZERO chance that Harris is leading nationally, NO WAY, Virginia is a safe blue state for her because of the commies in northern virginia so if Trump is only down 2 that is very bad news for harris


15 posted on 09/20/2024 11:55:14 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: nwrep

oh darn, so it means nothing then its an old poll


16 posted on 09/20/2024 11:55:41 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: HandBasketHell
Governor Youngkin (and the legislature I believe) have made it so there are only paper ballots. No machines. We have a real chance in VA.

There is mail-in balloting in Virginia https://vote.arlingtonva.gov/Vote-by-Mail so ballots will be harvested and dumped into drop boxes. Here in Virginia we are screwed by Northern Virginia and a bunch of other corrupt D strongholds.

Youngkin's miracle win was mainly by turnout among parents angry at girls being raped by "trans" students and other woke nonsense. Trump needs to tap into that along with his other hot button items.

17 posted on 09/20/2024 11:57:14 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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To: Fido969

Hopefully it can overcome the swamp of Fairfax


18 posted on 09/20/2024 2:05:45 PM PDT by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: VanShuyten
Here in the Dim swamp of Northern Virginia, I have noticed far fewer Harris signs than there were Biden signs four years ago.

Federal employees will all vote for Harris. But NoVa is very diverse. Many Asians and Hispanics living there. They may be more likely to vote for Trump this time due to the economy.

19 posted on 09/20/2024 8:08:20 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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