Posted on 09/11/2024 5:27:40 AM PDT by cll
The consequential 2024 presidential election between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris will be decided on November 5 and, as most public opinion polls show that Trump and Harris are neck-and-neck in the race, it appears as if Democrats and their amigos in the media are pulling out all the stops to help the Harris campaign appear to stay above the political water line.
The Real Clear Politics average of polls shows Harris leading Trump by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, at this same time in 2020, President Joe Biden led Trump by 7.5 percentage points.
According to Jose Delgado of Spanish language news site, El Nuevo Dia, the election is all but over and Latinos are going to come out in droves to vote for Harris and her pro-tax agenda.
Delgado, who has in the past written similar pieces that appear to lean in favor of Democrats and Democratic causes, cites new polling by the UnidosUs organization and BPS Research that shows 57% of Puerto Rican voters breaking for Harris, while only 31% support Trump.
In addition, it is suggested that if Puerto Ricans voting on the island of Puerto Rico were exclusively considered, support for Harris would jump to 62%, and support for Trump would drop to 29%.
“In November, in Puerto Rico there will be a symbolic vote between Harris and Trump. In general, Latinos favor Harris over Trump by a ratio of 59% to 31% ahead of the November 5 election, according to the poll,” stated Delgado.
Delgado also states that Harris leads Trump with Puerto Ricans by a large margin in the swing state of Pennsylvania and that Mexican-born voters (legal voters we assume) back Harris, but that “Cubans” are evenly split (47%) between the two candidates.
Huh?
Cuban-American voters are considering Harris by such a large number?
According to the story, Democrats need to win the Latino vote by a 2 to 1 margin to win the presidency.
The Survey
It’s important to understand the poll and who is behind its commissioning.
The poll of 3,000 potential Latino voters was conducted between August 5-23.
Most polls are conducted with “likely voters” for better accuracy.
The survey Delgado writes about doesn’t, and it only surveyed 2,800 voters who were actually registered to cast a vote.
The devil is in the details, right?
Of those polled, only 543 (109 born on the island) Puerto Ricans responded, which is only about 18% of the entire 3,000 sample, and it was largely sampled in states other than Florida.
“In the case of Puerto Rican voters, the total number of respondents reached 543, around 18% of the total number of people interviewed. Of these, 109 were born in Puerto Rico. The poll has larger sample sizes in Texas, Pennsylvania, Arizona, California, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina,” states the El Nuevo Dia story.
In all seriousness, how could Delgado post a story about how Puerto Ricans are backing Harris over Trump if only 543 were surveyed, and of those, who knows how many were actually registered to vote?
It gets better.
Who commissioned the poll that appears to try to convince voters that Harris is overwhelmingly garnering the Puerto Rican amigo vote?
Enter the Progressive Hispanic establishment.
The aforementioned UnidosUS partnered up with BSP Research to do the poll.
Delgado also references another poll conducted on August 19 by the Hispanic Federation and Latino Victory Foundation.
All four of these groups or organizations promote a progressive pro-immigrant and Latino agenda.
Latino Victory has already endorsed Harris, and the Hispanic Foundation openly promotes the debunked “LatinX” identity initiative and other progressive agenda items.
Again, how can these polls be taken seriously considering that they are backed by partisan organizations with an apparent agenda?
Why wasn’t the slant divulged in the El Nuevo Dia story?
What are other polls saying?
The poll of 1,138 Puerto Rican voters was conducted by Gaither International and suggests that if President Biden (D) remained in the race, President Trump would have beaten him by 14 points with 44% of the vote to Biden's 30%.
However, with Vice President Harris now replacing Biden after the first debate between him and Trump, the gap was quickly sealed, as Harris gained a slight edge of 39% to Trump's 38%, which Gaither noted was essentially a tie.
The majority of Latino voters will most likely vote for Harris over Trump, but, like El Nuevo Dia states, Democrats need Latinos to come out 2 to 1 for them to retain the White House.
If Latinos come out and vote for Republicans and President Trump a smidge more than they have historically done in past presidential elections, Harris’s current 1.4% lead over Trump is gone.
That’s odd because every single Puerto Rican I know (including my wife and her large family) are all voting for Trump. Note: They all voted Obama, Hillary, and Biden in the last few elections. They now all LOVE TRUMP and are very engaged.
Same here- and i am in NY. Even most of the PR’s i know in the Bronx are voting for DJT.
One pin prick at a time the MSM will make sure that the communists continue in power.
excerpt:
Of those polled, only 543 (109 born on the island) Puerto Ricans responded, which is only about 18% of the entire 3,000 sample, and it was largely sampled in states other than Florida.
“In the case of Puerto Rican voters, the total number of respondents reached 543, around 18% of the total number of people interviewed. Of these, 109 were born in Puerto Rico. The poll has larger sample sizes in Texas, Pennsylvania, Arizona, California, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina,” states the El Nuevo Dia story.
xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
looking at info from the piece:
<> only 18% of the 3,000 PR “interviewed” responded
<> 82% of those “interviewed” did not respond
<> only 20% of the 543 respondents were native born on the island
<> those mainland PR responding were spread over 7 states
<> The poll has larger sample sizes in Texas, Pennsylvania, Arizona, California, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina,”
<> equally divided through the states would be 543/7 or about 77 respondents per state.
<> since the article did not mention any florida respondents
543/8 would be 68 per state
<> or, were florida PR not interview because their opinions might be pro trump???
so how reliable is a poll resulting in 82% not responding with an average of 77 (selected?) people spread over 7 states actually participating in the sample
BONUS?? - how many of those “interviewed” work for GOYA?
“Puerto Rican Voters Could Decide the 2024 Presidential Election”
Illegal alien Voters the Democrats are give ballots to Could Decide the 2024 Presidential Election
There, fixed it
Good to know.
That’s great.
“...or, were florida PR not interview because their opinions might be pro trump???”
Bingo.
And same goes for the sizable yet largely unknown/ignored Georgia PRs and other Dixiericans.
I’m not sure how it’s even possible.
543 responded.
109 born in Puerto Rico. How many are still residents?
As you say, 77 per state which is less than 109.
This thread was posted before a speaker at Trump’s Madison Square Garden event basically called Puerto Rico and its people “a sea of garbage.” How many PR Trump votes will be changed by this insult at a “Love’ event if Trump doesn’t apologize for his guest?
Do you think El Nuevo Dia will gover this garbage insult story? Is it a weekly or a daily paper? Today it was announced that more than a score of harbor improvement and bridge protection funds are being proposed or voted? It was stated that Puerto Rico would also receive some of this port improvement funds. I wonder if this will include the south coast of PR which when I checked Google Earth at the Time of Maria showed very little capacity to help the island if the north coast port 3454 incapacitated. My son who has been living there for over a decade told me that for a year PR was like a third world country. PR should get the kind of sympathy given to Eastern Tennessee and Western North Carolina, not to mention Florida after similar disasters.
cll: Perhaps this whole “sea of garbage” statement deserves its own post.
correction
north coast ports were incapacitated
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