Posted on 08/31/2024 7:52:16 AM PDT by RandFan
A new round of polls from Morning Consult and Bloomberg News suggests that Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris is beating or tied with former President Donald Trump in every major swing state.
According to the survey of 4,962 registered voters conducted between August 23 and 27, Harris leads by 2 points in Georgia and North Carolina, 3 points in Michigan, 4 points in Nevada and Pennsylvania, a whopping 8 points in Wisconsin, and tied with Trump in Arizona.
(Excerpt) Read more at mediaite.com ...
Going back to 2016, Morning Consult was one of the better polls.
This was nationwide polling, sample size of about 2,000, don’t know if registered or likely voters.
Aug 24-26 Hillary +3
Sept 1-2 Hillary +2
The really crazy poll results came in mid-Oct when some polls had Hillary +10 or +15. The last Morning Consult poll at the very end of Oct had Hillary +3, which was about as accurate as pollsters got in 2016.
If Morning Consult has Kamala up by +4 or more in swing states election eve, I’ll be worried, but too early to loose sleep now.
Cuba. Castro came riding into town in a convertible.. The crowds following.. Cheering.. He had defeated Batista.
A few days later, Castro was on TV announcing he is a communist. He rounded up all fire arms.. He took possession of all homes and businesses.. He took control of all schools.
Those who could, swam to Florida.. In dangerous waters. Many did not make it.
You folks had better examine what is going on today.. Harris and her vp, are both in the camp of doing this.. Give power in corrupt hands and you create a nightmare.
For God’s sake look at these two.. They are not in this to help anyone but themselves. Y
You throw away the man who is trying to save this nation, and hand it to those who don’t care about you nor this country.
Open the border.. Give them all homes and free everything.. Harris and her vp have no clue on right and wrong.. They are out of their zone.. Neither were elected..
A unbelievable time in our land. Pray for the United States of America.
“ Trump said he is ahead, but it’s close.”
Always campaign like you’re behind.
Incumbent? The New Kamala Harris was born a mere 5 weeks ago. She is a person with no past policies or record that matter, don’t you know?
You may not understand polling.
Poll results from a pollster, compared to another pollster, doesn’t mean anything. They have different turnout models.
The only change to positions you will see is if a candidate’s internal polls show some movement — because that would mean minds are changing or could be changed.
If Morning Consult has a turnout presumption of 16% blacks (of total votes cast) and blacks favor the Dem 75/25, then of course that turnout presumption will generate a measure more Dem favorable. If the turnout presumption of a different pollster is 13% blacks, then of course that will be less Dem favorable in the final calculation.
Again, PEOPLE, know how it works. It’s not make 1000 phone calls and add up Trump vs Harris numbers. That’s not how you poll because the risk is too great the 1000 calls are not a representative sample. Sampling only works if it is representative. So these models are defined and the phone calls are plugged into them.
The big Harris surge vs Biden has not been anyone changing their minds. It was pollsters changing their models. Increase blacks and increase women in the presumed turnout.
There is zero proof this will happen.
Published: Oct. 28, 2020 at 9:19 AM EDT
Biden leads Trump by 17 points in Wisconsin in ABC News/Washington Post poll
Yes, there is. She has 99% of the media making her out to be a goddess, and Trump too often responds with stupid insults. Politics is in part a popularity contest, and between the media being nearly 100% dishonest and Trump being a - typical, in my experience - NYC jerk...she COULD win.
Yes, many polls are there to create opinion rather than measure it. But I meet people every day who have NO IDEA what Harris believes - OR TRUMP! A friend told me last night he talked to 2 people he claims are sincere Christians who would not listen to a word said against Harris. “Oh, she doesn’t really push abortion..” - REALLY?
The level of total delusion in this country is high.
Do you have proof that they changed turnout models for Harris?
And Carter was going to crush Reagan according to the polls at the time. Gee, how’d that turn out? And those polls were not near as corrupt as the current ones.
Rasmussen
Trump opens biggest lead in 10 days
https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1829740425571176545/photo/1
In laughable lying Democrat push polls....
That is their tactic, to come out with phony polls to make us think it’s a lost cause, in hopes that we’ll stay home. Don’t buy their BS.
Rasmussen
Trump opens biggest lead in 10 days
https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1829740425571176545/photo/1
STFU bedwetter
☝️THIS!!!
The Dems and Repubs spend millions of dollars for private polling. The reason they do this is they know the public polls are BULL SH-T. They then use these private polls to guide their campaign.
Does anyone believe these polls? I guess it is all just a setup for the steal in November.
Is it possible they know she will lose..and they are already looking at 2026 and 2028?
Trump DOMINATES Swing States As Election Is NOT EVEN CLOSE | 2024 Election Map Analysis (Aug 2024)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPZPZNYDPkk
Registered voters
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