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Polling showing Harris in lead flagged by industry experts for voter samples
JustheNews ^ | 8/21/24 | Ben Whedon

Posted on 08/20/2024 11:13:24 PM PDT by CFW

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To: frank ballenger

There was a reporter years ago, can’t remember her name, who wrote an article basically saying now that Powell says we need to go into Iraq WMD…. and he is not an idiot like Bush she supports it…

What i found interesting in the article is that she strayed into basically the same thing. Talking about Nixon’s election and how she didn’t understand how he won so big considering no one she knew voted for him.

Even way back then i remember thinking what’s so hard to understand. You are a “journalist” and your biosphere are all leftists.

The blindness she held for this concept almost made me laugh.

Like watching don lemon do man on the street interviews and shocked that black people he talked to didn’t agree with him or better yet his comment awhile back saying basically “what crime?”, I went out to eat and saw no crime.
So therefore there is no crime…

The difference between those type and myself is I see their perspective, I kind of understand it, as crazy and out of touch I think it is, they can’t understand my perspective so they act like it is fringe and wacko

Their reaction to hitlary losing is a prime example


21 posted on 08/21/2024 3:10:44 AM PDT by blitz128
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To: Herakles

“Continuing to do polls sitting naked in front of their computer screens at home”

Be a darling and fry up some crispy bacon... ouch


22 posted on 08/21/2024 3:11:59 AM PDT by Clutch Martin ("The trouble ain't that there is too many fools, but that the lightning ain't distributed right." )
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To: CFW

For the most part, the RCP state poll final averages were close in 2016 and 2020, but generally, Trump overperformed most battleground states by 2-3 points from polling. The one notable exception is Wisconsin, where Trump overperformed by 6 and 7 points respectively. Harris is only ahead by one there and Trump is still ahead in the RCP PA averages. I honestly think Trump wins PA and WI based on past trends and polling averages.

Michigan was a bit closer but still, Trump overperformed polling by almost 4 in 2016 and 1.5 on 2020 (that was probably the Detroit fraud). Lastly, check out the trend graphs on all the state polling. She has peaked and is on the downswing, even with the generous polling samples and nonstop coverage.


23 posted on 08/21/2024 3:34:19 AM PDT by usafa92 (Donald J. Trump, 45th and 47th President of the United States of America!)
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To: CFW

From the Bee

Study Finds Polls Are Only Accurate When Your Candidate Is Ahead

ASBURY PARK, NJ — Election year hysteria on both sides of the political aisle was calmed this week, as a new study found that polls are only accurate when your preferred candidate is ahead.

The groundbreaking study determined that you can feel free to disregard polls as “rigged” or “fake news” whenever the candidate you dislike is shown to be leading while hailing the enormous popularity of your preferred candidate whenever the same polls showed them leading.

“The validity of polls is entirely dependent upon who is leading,” said Professor Blake Rumsey of the Center for Knowing Information. “Many people make the mistake of believing polls can always be trusted, when, in fact, they are only to be believed when your candidate is in the lead. If the opposing candidate is ahead in the polls, you may immediately disregard them and label them as propaganda online.”

The general public was thrilled to learn the study’s results. “I knew it!” shouted citizen Adma Kinunen. “I always figured those polls showing the person I don’t like as in the lead were totally rigged. Fortunately, a couple of weeks later, the polls showed my candidate took the lead, which meant the polls were completely correct and trustworthy. I just wish they would be legitimate and correct all the time by showing my candidate in front.”

At publishing time, the study was able to further confirm that a candidate being shown in a black and white photo in a campaign commercial was inarguable proof that the candidate was evil.


24 posted on 08/21/2024 3:40:38 AM PDT by xp38
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To: equaviator

Polling from the same people who told us joey is fit as a fiddle lol


25 posted on 08/21/2024 3:58:31 AM PDT by italianquaker
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To: CFW

The only polls I’d trust at this point are Trump’s internals.

Does he look worried?

No.

So votes aren’t the problem.

He won last time, too.

The problem is that Deep State counts the votes.

If folks don’t want to make it easy for Deep State to steal, there are two things the able-bodied can and should do...

Do NOT vote early.

Do NOT vote by mail.

Get your keisters to the polls on Election Day.


26 posted on 08/21/2024 4:07:25 AM PDT by mewzilla (Never give up; never surrender!)
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To: xp38

The question is: “How long can the mainstream media maintain the facade that Harris and Walz are moderates?” The answer is “indefinitely” unless we do everything we can to educate the public.


27 posted on 08/21/2024 4:15:21 AM PDT by phil00071
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To: CFW

The “convention bounce,” whether R or D, often involves temporary enthusiasm. For example, John McCain temporarily caught up to Barack Obama in 2008. Let’s see where the polls level out in a week or two.

In the nationwide vote (not polls) we can lose by 2 points and win in the Electoral College. In the nationwide polls, because of polling bias, we can expect Trump to outperform by up to 3 points. So, we can be down in the nationwide polls by as many as 5 points and feel pretty confident that we’re going to win.

With regard to state polls, the bias isn’t uniform. But, think 3 points on average. Considering poll bias, I’m thinking we have a good chance winning all the so-called battleground states along with several of: ME at large, MN, NE #2, NH, NM and VA.

I was just looking at New Hampshire the other day. It’s a registration state, and is polled frequently enough. The state polls almost uniformly give the edge to the Democrats by a point. But, actual registration has swung Republican since four years ago. We’ve gone from a 1 point advantage in registration, to a 5 point advantage. So, I’m pretty confident we’ll do better than the polls show in this state.


28 posted on 08/21/2024 4:27:08 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: CFW
Polls are manipulated. Always have been. Always will be................
29 posted on 08/21/2024 4:32:59 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: CFW

It's a MIRACLE!


30 posted on 08/21/2024 4:48:52 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: blitz128
Their reaction to hitlary losing is a prime example

Just wait until Kamala does as well!

31 posted on 08/21/2024 4:50:12 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Red Badger

"An Honest-to-Goodness bestseller!"


32 posted on 08/21/2024 4:52:01 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Elsie

That part is actually true.

It has never been out of print since 1953..................


33 posted on 08/21/2024 4:58:13 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Elsie

I pray you are right, that alone would be worth it.

If the earth is hit by an asteroid the next day I could die happy


34 posted on 08/21/2024 5:10:55 AM PDT by blitz128
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