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Posted on 08/20/2024 11:13:24 PM PDT by CFW
Vice President Kamala Harris has enjoyed a noticeable surge in the polls – particularly national polls – since becoming the Democratic standard bearer, but the rapid shift in her position has left some industry analysts questioning the apparent boost in the formerly quite unpopular vice president’s standing. In her 2020 run, she struggled to break 3% before dropping out, according to The Hill.
Prior to becoming the Democratic nominee, Harris suffered from decidedly poor approval ratings and Trump initially held the lead over her in a head-to-head matchup. The average quickly flipped, however, in the wake of several surveys showing Harris ahead. Those surveys, however, have attracted scrutiny from an array of pollsters either due to their lack of transparency about the sampling methodology or from oversampling Democrats.
“So what they're doing is they're polling fewer Republicans. They're polling a disproportionate number of Biden 2020 voters in these states that were dead even,” pollster John McLaughlin said this week on the “Just the News, No Noise” television show.
[snip]
In Wisconsin, the 2020 exit polls had 37% Republicans. In the recent New York Times poll, Siena had 27% Republican. Ten points fewer,” he also said. Harris led Trump with 50% to 46% in the state.
(Excerpt) Read more at justthenews.com ...
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I wouldn’t be surprised if they burned up a large portion of their ready-in-the-can fake polls leading up to the convention. If that’s the case, they won’t be able to fake as high a convention bounce as they normally do.
Let’s wait and see.
Of course, the “debate” is just around the corner and the rabid attack dog “moderators” might just keep President Trump tied up enough for Comrade Camalol to declare victory. Inturrupting him, contradicting him, etc. You know, the usual.
The media and the leftist pollsters live in their own bubble and don’t get out much. A lot of polling can be done in the little lunch and break area lawn behind the CNN building. Less work.
Version one:
A quote from New Yorker film critic Pauline Kael almost 40 years ago, has been discussed in right-wing circles ever since. It went something like this: “I can’t believe Nixon won. I don’t know anyone who voted for him.”
Alleged version two:
“Pauline Kael famously commented, after the 1972 Presidential election, ‘I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don’t know. They’re outside my ken. But sometimes when I’m in a theater I can feel them.’”
Wow ,are democrats stupid.
That’s because there’s a lot of Democrats that vote more than once.
Continuing to do polls sitting naked in front of their computer screens at home
There is a thing called “response bias” pollsters know about.
When one side does well or has something good/galvanizing happen, their supporters are eager to pick up the phone, respond to texts, etc. When its the reverse they tend to not pick up the phone. Note that their vote has never changed - just their willingness to talk to pollsters.
In reality national polls do not swing 10 points rapidly. That simply never happens. There are ways to control for response bias....for example you could have a large sample of people and sample the same group over time. Another way is to carefully weight for demographics/education/income and weight people by their demographic and income information accordingly.
That is not what they’ve been doing lately. They’ve been grossly over representing Democrats as a percentage of those they polled. So yeah Heels Up leads.....if the electorate were 6-7% more Democrat than it actually is. In the real world, no freaking way is the electorate going to look like that. These are intentionally dishonest push polls meant to try to give Heels Up Harris a boost. Everybody knows it.
Now she's everybody's darling. Something is fishy.
The comedian, Jim Gaffigan, made a similar comment about the 2016 election.
That's exactly what my model is showing right now.
-PJ
Their goal is to demoralize the Right into “what’s the use?”
It’s the only thing that makes sense.
They are trying to have their polls be compatible with anticipated cheating.
“Kamala Harris has enjoyed a noticeable surge in the polls...since becoming the Democratic standard bearer,”
Like hell she is. She’s the anti-democratic double standard bearer. She just happens to be a member of the Democrat Party.
In layman’s terms the polling is lefty media horse shit.
“The comedian, Jim Gaffigan,” is a leftist piece of garbage, in case you didn’t know.
Yeah right, good luck with that. Not happening. Everyone knows that Kamalass and her cuck of a VP are very dangerous for this country and we'll vote accordingly... Like our lives depend on it.
Yes. They are trying to make the election fraud they plan to commit believable. They're also trying to get donations and to get their side excited so they'll come out and vote.....but trying to provide cover for the planned fraud is definitely part of their motivation.
They're also over-polling women (which is boosting Harris) and under-polling minorities (which is lowering the importance of immigration and border concerns).
-PJ
“Wow, are democrats stupid”
It takes more than stupid to be diabolically evil, Philistinian, grasping and unconstitutional. Power and dominion is what they crave.
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