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To: srmanuel

If that idiot judge puts Trump in jail, that will incense even the most moribund of voters to vote for him..........


11 posted on 08/20/2024 7:06:24 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger
With the inherent polling bias against Republicans...I would say Trump is up in all the swing states. Not to get complacent, but I expect a dead cat bounce after the DNC. Trump is looking good.

In come the DU trolls......"But the cheat...blah, blah". Why don't you guys F*ck off with your trolling...fags

12 posted on 08/20/2024 7:09:02 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: Red Badger

You would think an attempted assassination attempt on Trump would swing a few votes, the MSM and has dropped coverage of that event like a plague.

The Democrats would celebrate Trump going to jail, the MSM would justify everything and in the end the effect on the outcome of the election would probably not be that big.

To the democrats, anything that takes Trump off the stage would be a good thing....in their world if he’s dead or in jail makes no difference, he’s not running anymore either way.


14 posted on 08/20/2024 7:13:27 AM PDT by srmanuel
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To: All

You don’t have to immerse yourself in the tiny details of polling to understand why some say up and some say down.

Here is some information to slow down the people who say “Trump is only down 1% and he scored several % above the last 2020 polls, and 2016 polls, in actual vote counting.”

That bit of perspective only works if you believe polling techniques have not improved. If they have, then being behind would not be okay.

That is the negative perspective.

The positive perspective can be seen in CBSNews. They explicitly said they oversampled blacks when she first appeared, meaning oversampled them above their particular turnout model. Then just a day ago they removed that sentence from their final paragraph of their very latest survey. But you can go to RCP’s polling page and scroll way down to see not just the latest polls, but some from weeks past — of the same poll. That’s where you find CBS changing how they measure, flip flopping.

In other words, poll results are determined by who that pollster allows to stay in the sample, in order to conform to their turnout model. And so the electorate doesn’t change. The pollster does.


16 posted on 08/20/2024 7:15:46 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Red Badger

Millions of bikers are still supporting him. …with a will.


23 posted on 08/20/2024 7:22:31 AM PDT by Salamander (Please visit my profile page to help me go home again . https://www.givesendgo.com/G2FU)
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