Posted on 08/15/2024 10:28:41 AM PDT by Tipllub
Former President Trump is narrowly leading Vice President Kamala Harris in the critical swing state of Michigan, according to an AARP survey released Thursday.
Trump leads Harris with 45 percent support to her 43 percent among likely voters in the battleground state, while 8 percent said they would support a third-party candidate.
However, in a head-to-head match-up, the findings show Trump and Harris tied at 48 percent.
The poll was commissioned by the AARP and was jointly conducted by the Republican polling firm Fabrizio Ward and the Democratic polling firm Impact Research.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
More clueless polls.
Julia Manchester and the Hill have THUTA.
Should we even discuss polls?
Someone will say cite one of the many dueling polls and someone will say it’s slanted so ignore it. Both will be right.
Honestly, whether I am flamed for it or not, when long time Dem favoring pollster Frank Luntz said yesterday he has never seen so much rapid rise for one candidate in thirty days and.....
Kamala may give them the first trifecta in years, the House, the Senate and the Presidency——
I admit I felt a wave go through me.
Worst one since I looked up at the silence at the podium and saw Trump was surrounded by agents and may have been killed by gunfire.
I cannot stand facing the fall of the Great American Way of Life to Dem Chinese style Communism and a new Dark Age.
We have to win this election.
Go, Trump.
I am only posting these polls because others post polls where Trump is behind, eliciting dozens if not hundreds of doom crying replies. Polls where Trump is up elicit yawns. Bizarre.
What a bunch of Debbie Downers. This poll is good news.
I didn’t mean in any way to criticize you for posting the poll.
As a Michigan FReeper I am grateful for any input including the little glimmer of good news in that poll.
The crack where the light gets in.
Anthem
By Leonard Cohen (excerpt)
We asked for signs
The signs were sent
The birth betrayed
The marriage spent
Yeah, and the widowhood
Of every government
Signs for all to see
I can’t run no more
With that lawless crowd
While the killers in high places
Say their prayers out loud
But they’ve summoned, they’ve summoned up
A thundercloud
They’re going to hear from me.
Ring the bells that still can ring
Forget your perfect offering
There is a crack, a crack in everything
That’s how the light gets in.
Agreed. Likely Hillary and Biden were up further at this point in time.
The only use for these polls are to give the impression the race is close so when they steal it again those polls will provide them with plausible deniability.
More propaganda mill news the closer it gets to the election the democrats puppet media will have Harris 900 points ahead of Trump.
He's not wrong. But also, has a candidate ever been named and put in place for a general election in this manner and this rapidly before? No. All of the negative attacks from our side were focused on another person - so they had no further effect on the race, while all of the negative attacks on our candidate still stood. So it is the only thing that could have happened in that short period of time with nothing but a barrage of glowing, positive press and an aggressive marketing campaign (which was not countered by our candidate or allied organizations on many media outlets).
Insightful comments.
Some of us posted again and again the past year or longer: “So what? Biden will not be the nominee.” All that was wasted.
One theory from a Fox News panel: “So the Democrats trapped Trump into making Biden look bad in a record early debate so they could remove him. He did the job for them efficiently.”
Michigan is generally thought to be the toughest midwest swing state for Trump. A narrow lead would suggest he is up by more in WI and PA. Trump did worse in MI in 2020 than the other two. It could just be that they shipped in more fake ballots there for some reason.
What? They had that from 2021-2023.
You are right. They had the whole thing before the “red wave” turned out to be a dud but we got the House by a little bit.
Luntz was saying though that the intensity of the turnaround is the most in his lifetime. That part is true.
“Luntz, who’s been called “The Nostradamus of pollsters” and conducts focus groups, had been bullish on Trump defeating Joe Biden and returning to the White House. Now, he says, he can’t believe what he’s seeing among his focus groups and in the polls.”
“She’s got intensity now. She’s got an intensity advantage. She’s got a demographic advantage and I haven’t seen anything like this happen in 30 days in my lifetime,” he said. “Now my groups are broken up by young women saying, ‘I’m not voting for him anymore.’”
He added: “The people who are undecided have all collapsed towards Harris. The people who are ‘weak’ Trump have all collapsed towards undecided.”
Luntz told hosts of “Squawk Box” that he’s attempting to hold a focus group of undecided, younger female voters, but is having trouble finding enough people who fit that category.
“You shift the demographics and you shift the entire outcome,” he said. “There are issues, attributes and the condition of the country. The issues and the conditions favor Donald Trump. He should be winning this election. But the attributes are so much in Harris’ favor that he’s not.”
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