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To: Bullpine

And next week she will be Spanish from Puerto Rico.


29 posted on 08/10/2024 2:42:45 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Bible speaks truth! Don't believe it, you do so at your own peril. You'd better be right!!)
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To: All

Unable to access crosstabs from previous polls by this outfit.

Items noticed. Women/Men ration W+3. Blacks 9%. Dems/GOP/Independents look VERY light on Independents, but PA does not have many and that may drag the numbers down.

Maybe the most startling thing is they did 1900 samples, but that divided to about 630 for each of the three states and that is an MOE of 4.5ish%.

I also saw a Trump lead in Michigan in the crosstabs. Maybe they missed the summary.

There is ZERO indication that insults or no insults are moving the needle at all. In a very general way, nobody’s mind is being changed by anything. Polls are moving only if there is a different presumption of who is going to turnout.

Anyway, 9% blacks is surprising — Michigan should balance scarcity in Wisconsin. Women+3 is a tad odd — but it is consistent with 2020 nationwide, and may not apply to those three states.

My overall read is this is not significant. The MOE is really wide.


42 posted on 08/10/2024 2:56:06 PM PDT by Owen
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