[Political Junkie Too]

If you're talking about the 48.0 - 45.2 number at the top, that's the average of all the polls. That won't have an MOE. I don't use that number.

Here is the election map that I used to produce from my model.

-PJ

[MinorityRepublican]

Joe just needs to hold on to the blue wall in MI, PA, WI plus Omaha. Then he can squeak by with 270.

Assuming there's no surprises like Minnesota or Virginia.

Joe may have the advantage right now due to ballot harvesting.