One would need to examine the inner details of how he came up with his model. It is still early but I do hope he is right because we will need some cushion as I doubt his model takes into account dem fraud.
There is a reason the Biden side of things is hoping for something big at the debate. They need something to change.
A Nate Silver prediction doesn’t exactly increase my confidence, but I guess we take what we get.
I only trust Larry Sabato’s model.
In a lawful election, where the 15th Amendment was followed and there were no drop boxes or mail-in ballots are people who throw out (R) ballots, probably.
But that isn’t the election we get to face. We get to face an election where they finely tune the (D) ballots to the ballot.
In a totally fair election - and with an honest news media - I’d give Trump a 100% chance of winning - because no one in their right mind would vote for this insanity if they were not being deceived.
However, since elections are far from fair and the people are totally deceived - it’s a crap shoot.
We need healthy majorities in the House and Senate for real Constitutional change to government to be made and to get the Obama Swamp drained.
I hesitate to describe Silver as an “election expert.”
This is working within the system. We’ll see how much the Dem 50% of the country allows the ballot box solution we are working with.
Jesse Watters last night gave I think the best and most concise summary of the fact that the Dems will not accept losing, will not allow Trump to win, will not allow their enemies to survive and will not go along with the country choosing a different path forward.
That’s why the election will be stolen. 🙄