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No, I’m a couple of thousand miles away. :-)

But the pertinent data about the districts, the money being spent, and the quality of the opposition indicate that Boebert ought to be back in Congress next year.

The left was really deflated when she moved over the CD-4 because (after George Santos) she was their #1 target this year and they were willing to spend any amount to get her. CD-3 isn’t all *that* marginal, but it’s more “Republican” than it is “conservative” and Boebert was never truly popular there (nor is Trump) and they had to work hard to barely eke out their 51%’s.

In CD-4 it will be much easier for her, and whoever wins the GOP primary in CD-3 (presumably Jeffrey Hurd?) will also have an easier time than Boebert would have.

As far as CD-3 the fly in the ointment is that Adam Frisch has raised over *13* million so far. That’s an incredible amount for a House seat, and more than some Republican statewide candidates have raised including our great Senate hopes such as Sam Brown (Nevada) and Tim Sheehy (Montana).

Frisch can and will use every dollar of that to air typical Democrat ads full of lies and hatred, and he’s probably still going to lose. But all the Democrat media consultants, etc. will sure appreciate all the cash he’s funneling to them, regardless of the outcome. Democrat campaigns tend to be huge money-laundering operations, as well as sometimes having the side benefit of purchasing a political victory. But probably not this time.