Posted on 06/24/2024 6:28:09 PM PDT by cotton1706
Reps. Lauren Boebert and Jamaal Bowman couldn't be more different politically - but their careers have followed similar arcs. Both were first elected in 2020, defeating entrenched incumbents in the primary. They have both become nationally famous (and infamous) avatars of the far right and far left, respectively. Both won reelection underwhelmingly in 2022, and both of their political careers could come to an ignominious end on June 25, 2024, as they once again face serious challengers in their respective primaries.
Boebert's and Bowman's primaries are just two of the many tense contests taking place on a jam-packed election day on June 25. In fact, there are no fewer than 15 key races we'll be watching closely when we live-blog the returns on Tuesday night. Here's a full guide to the candidates, the odds and the stakes in each of them.
South Carolina
Races to watch: 3rd Congressional District
Polls close: 7 p.m. Eastern
(Excerpt) Read more at abc13.com ...
Hope Boebert can survive the redistricting/gerrymandering.
Neither one of those have a damn thing to do with her situation, but I hope she wins too just so the haters on the left and the simps on the right (like many on this site) have to deal with her for another 2 years.
Boebert is not switching districts because of "gerrymandering" and anyone who thinks that is the reason is totally ignorant of what the most recent redistricting did -- which basically changed nothing, but what little impact it had was to make her old district EASIER for her.
Oh, thanks for your friendly post. /s
So, she had Aspen in her district, previously?
Interesting how one can run in any district, in CO ... and, not have to live in said district....just live in the state.
Saw this ...
.. Boebert’s Competition
The Republican primary is a crowded six-way race to replace Rep. Ken Buck, who is retiring. The other candidates include Deborah Flora, Jerry Sonnenberg, Richard Holtorf, Michael Lynch and Peter Yu.
But Boebert, who has the better name recognition, is outraising them all handily and has the golden ticket of Trump’s endorsement. She also secured the coveted top line on the ballot. For a heavily Republican district, that should lock the primary in her favor. Indeed, the most recent poll from Kaplan shows Boebert at 40%, with her challengers hovering at or below 5%.
Despite her own drama and trouble-making, a few of her opponents have their own baggage: Lynch was forced out of his leadership post in the Statehouse after a 2022 drunk driving arrest surfaced. And Holtorf, a staunch anti-abortion member of the State House, revealed that he had once paid for a girlfriend’s abortion.
If she wins the Republican primary, she’ll face Democrat Ike McCorkle, a retired Marine who is currently out-fundraising her. But given the district’s political leanings, it would be Boebert’s race to lose. McCorkle ran to unseat Buck in the last two elections, but never came within 20 points of him....
“So, she had Aspen in her district, previously?”
She sure did, but seeing as how tiny little Aspen accounts for less than 1% of the population of the district, I trust Boebert didn’t see the need to panic for that reason alone.
She’s moving out of CD-3 and into CD-4 because it’s a smart move. The Democrats are spending all the money in the world on soyboi Adam Frisch in CD-3 (but they STILL need a Republican candidate worthy of hatred in order to successfully purchase that seat; money alone won’t do it).
CD-4 is **FAR** more Republican — which also has nothing whatsoever to do with “gerrymandering” — and if Boebert wins the primary she can make plans for another term in Congress; November *should* be just a formality unless the haters and simps unite like never before. They’ll surely try, but there’s a 95% chance that they won’t succeed.
“Ike McCorkle... who is currently out-fundraising her.”
Wishful thinking (and/or a deliberate lie) by the liberal media, and totally out of line with the facts.
As of the most recent FEC data from earlier this month:
Boebert has raised $3.77 million, McCorkle has raised $1.45 million.
Boebert has out-spent the Democrat by a 3:1 margin and has 4x as much cash on hand as he does.
Good!
Her competition doesn’t sound too much like competition :-)
Are you a CO resident? You seem to have your finger on the pulse.
No, I’m a couple of thousand miles away. :-)
But the pertinent data about the districts, the money being spent, and the quality of the opposition indicate that Boebert ought to be back in Congress next year.
The left was really deflated when she moved over the CD-4 because (after George Santos) she was their #1 target this year and they were willing to spend any amount to get her. CD-3 isn’t all *that* marginal, but it’s more “Republican” than it is “conservative” and Boebert was never truly popular there (nor is Trump) and they had to work hard to barely eke out their 51%’s.
In CD-4 it will be much easier for her, and whoever wins the GOP primary in CD-3 (presumably Jeffrey Hurd?) will also have an easier time than Boebert would have.
As far as CD-3 the fly in the ointment is that Adam Frisch has raised over *13* million so far. That’s an incredible amount for a House seat, and more than some Republican statewide candidates have raised including our great Senate hopes such as Sam Brown (Nevada) and Tim Sheehy (Montana).
Frisch can and will use every dollar of that to air typical Democrat ads full of lies and hatred, and he’s probably still going to lose. But all the Democrat media consultants, etc. will sure appreciate all the cash he’s funneling to them, regardless of the outcome. Democrat campaigns tend to be huge money-laundering operations, as well as sometimes having the side benefit of purchasing a political victory. But probably not this time.
Hoping you are right on!
Thanks for all of the background info.
“CD-4 is **FAR** more Republican — which also has nothing whatsoever to do with “gerrymandering” — and if Boebert wins the primary she can make plans for another term in Congress; November *should* be just a formality unless the haters and simps unite like never before. They’ll surely try, but there’s a 95% chance that they won’t succeed.”
Moving to 4 was a smart move. She wins this primary and she has a guaranteed seat in Congress until 2030.
I’m with you.
Boebert has two things that I prefer in a candidate:
1. She has a solid conservative voting record.
2. She’s a fighter.
Boebert moved from the 4th district to the 3rd. The 3rd district is more Republican IIRC.
Nice hit piece by WLOS, the ABC affiliate in Asheville, a liberal hellhole in NORTH Carolina, whose signal reaches well into the 3CD of upstate SOUTH Carolina .
Wouldn’t want another Trump-backed candidate to win, would we?
Gerrymandering isn’t the problem.
It’s the mail-in, early voting, and electronic voting machines.
If gerrymandering worked and the base was still loyal, Deep State wouldn’t have to steal elections, would it?
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