Posted on 04/11/2024 9:01:34 PM PDT by EnderWiggin1970
During the coming decades, it may become increasingly difficult to induce Americans to help defend any of the increasingly numerous countries with birth rates far too low to replace their population, even if a country in question is democratically governed.
There is scant evidence that a country’s having a birth rate far lower than is needed to replace itspopulation now diminishes Americans’ willingness to help it defend itself. US Senator JD Vance, speaking on the Senate floor on February 12 to oppose further US military aid to Ukraine, pointed out that “not a single country – not even the US – within the NATO alliance has birthrates at replacement level.” But did not mention Ukraine’s birth rate, which is lower than that of any NATO country save Malta.
However, American pundit David P. Goldman, in essays about Taiwan and Ukraine published by Asia Times in October 2021 and January 2022, suggested that those polities’ very low birth rates might warrant limiting Western military support for them. That may be a harbinger of things to come.
(Excerpt) Read more at asiatimes.com ...
TFR = temporary flight restrictins
That’s what it means in my world. And the other thing is that the police have the phonetic alphabet all wrong.
Could this be a thinly veiled “You need to let 3rd world savages into your country or else we won’t help defend you if needed”?
The Hasidim don't fight in the IDF, and they even believe there shouldn't be a state of Israel.
They might vote to create a single Palestinian state and then hope and pray that the Arabs don't slaughter them all when they take control.
If that's the case, then it is truly sad.
The essayist suggests that smaller populations will lead to fewer wars. However, the opposite might be the case.
If all economies are based on a Ponzi Scheme, i.e. they require more and more consumers so that businesses can profit, then fewer people will result in more aggressive tactics to get a larger market share of an ever shrinking economic pie.
these globalist ghouls just want to ship Africans all over the globe, don't they? Even to the most unlikely and unsuitable of places.
As a side note, I wonder how many Amish the USA really has
They have lots of kids, they stay in the country, and don’t submit to government counting or services, so I doubt lazy fed.gov bureaucrats have an accurate count
Maybe in 100 years, America will wake up and find the country is mostly Amish.
Israel is about 20% religious, about half religious Zionist and half hareidi, which includes Lita’im, chassidim, and a few other groups.
Among the hareidi, a significant percentage do serve in the military, enough that they form a subgroup among hareidi called hardalim. There are hardal units in the IDF.
As hareidi become a larger proportion of Jewish Israel, the IDF will have to drop its negative attitude toward them and make accommodations.
There just aren't enough Amish to make any decent impact. Where you see a lot of growth is amongst both Evangelical Christians and Mormons, which is an excellent sign. World wide, Christian Nigerians are doing quite well.
The rest of the world, including the arab World, Africa, and Asia is rapidly cratering.
What to Expect When No One’s Expecting and How Civilizations Die (this one goes off the rails at certain points, but overall is useful insight) are both good primers on the subject.
Contrary to popular belief-
Data on the U.S. birth rate from the General Social Survey shows on avg 100 conservative adults will raise 208 children while 100 liberal adults will raise a mere 147 kids.
Those numbers are relatively constant for going on 20yrs.
Our TFR as conservatives should be near 2.1 and we should stop being warred on all time.
shows on avg 100 conservative adults will raise 208 children
many of those children go to public schools and are indoctrinated into liberal adults.
I don't quite understand what birth rate, which can flex due to government policy, has anything to do with alliances or defense. Strategic position, technological capability, economic significance, and a host other factors should be of more importance. Think the Sudetenland in Czechia, plus their Skoda Works.
It won’t be ‘Amish’. Not unless Amish gonna be speaking Spanish.
The Mormons have a total fertility rate of 2.8. That’s not spectacular but it means their population is growing even as the rest of the population shrinks. Given there are currently 8 million of them in the US vs about 370,000 Amish, it will still take the Amish a while to catch up even at 6-7 kids per Amish woman as is thought to be their birthrate.
Why yes! Not only is it possible, but it is highly likely.
The West is trying to roll a snowball uphill -- and it's not going to work. We've dominated global society since 1945 and it's over. The rest of the world has "caught up." It's like when your kids grow up and start making their own decisions.
The time is long gone when we can dictate to the world. We are long overdue to change our approach from one of dictating our lifeways and standards to one of dialog with the rest of the world to find common ground.
Of course, we don't have to do this. If we refuse, we are in store for some very rough times and a huge decline.
Times change. We better, too -- or else.
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