I heard the same stuff about the entire rust belt in 2016...
Biden is polling up 2-3 on average in MN now..
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/minnesota/
If you think that makes MN “Safe” for a democrat we have very very different definitions of “SAFE”.
Biden was polling up 9+ on the even of the 2020 election, and won by a little over 7.
November is a long way off, but a Democrat polling up 2-3 in a head to head race is not remotely SAFE... and head to head polling ignores completely the 3rd parties which were largely irrelevant in 2020.
We’ll see what November holds, but if you think MN is a lock for Dems, I think you may want to open your eyes a bit.
Having lived in MN for 23 years until 2 years ago and being a GOP chair of a large conservative county, that saw Hillary take suburban votes in 2016, Biden grow that to turning red to purple and purple to blue in 2020, in the face of riots and a disasterous economy, AND seeing the red base of MN leave and move and disintegrate, the polling is absolutely false. You can’t win MN unless you win some aspects of the 7 county twin cities metro and carve off large areas of Duluth. None are happening.