> there’s a 10% chance that Trump will be able to beat Biden next year <
I have posted about this previously. I suppose I’m a bit more optimistic than you in that I give Trump a 15% chance of winning in 2024.
Democrat cheating, GOPe indifference, anti-Trump media propaganda…that’s one powerful combination.
Plus the demographics. It’s not enough if we win Florida, Texas and Ohio when the Democrats have locked up enough states and we can’t get through their blue wall. Trump was able to do that in 2016 but I doubt we’ll be able to do it for a while.