Posted on 10/19/2023 12:39:06 PM PDT by GulliverSwift
In a potential presidential re-match, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump remain competitive with Biden scoring just three points more among registered voters nationally. However, when Robert F. Kennedy Jr. factors into the equation, Biden opens up a 7-percentage point lead over Trump among the national electorate. Kennedy’s presence erodes Trump’s lead among independents and cuts into his support among Republicans. Trump’s loss among his base is double the loss Biden experiences among Democrats.
Biden (49%) and Trump (46%) are well-matched among registered voters nationally in a hypothetical 2024 contest. This is little changed from earlier this month when 2 percentage points separated Biden (49%) and Trump (47%).
Partisan allegiances are strong. Among independents, though, Trump (49%) is ahead of Biden (43%) by 6 percentage points.
In a three-way contest with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent, Biden opens up a 7-point lead over Trump. 44% of registered voters support Biden. 37% back Trump, and 16% are for Kennedy.
Kennedy’s presence in the contest makes the race competitive among independents who break 34% for Trump, 33% for Biden, and 29% for Kennedy.
With Kennedy in the race, Biden’s support dips 5 percentage points among Democrats while Trump loses 10 points among Republicans.
“Although it’s always tricky to assess the impact of a third-party candidate, right now Kennedy alters the equation in Biden’s favor,” says Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “What this does speak to, however, is that about one in six voters are looking for another option especially independents.”
They have somewhere to go now besides Trump and some of them are migrating to Kennedy. A similar thing was attempted with Vivek Ramaswampy but that has fizzled out thankfully.
Keep putting RFK on conservative programs, damn idiots.
ANY republican who could vote for a guy whose ONLY claim to fame is hating the vaccine needs to get their head examined. He is for reparations, REPARATIONS, tell me, what Conservative is for that?
BTW RFK is an inarticulate idiot if anyone even listens to him.
He’s a total left wing loon.
I fully believe that Faux news deliberately promoted Kennedy to Republican viewers with the intent of sabotaging Trump. Rupert Murdoch is that conniving.
If anyone still supports RFK Jr. against Trump after openly supporting black reparations, then they are far beneath my contempt.
Maybe they haven’t heard about that support yet. Now they’ll know.
Nature of the Sample: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 1,313 National Adults This survey of 1,313 adults was conducted October 11th, 2023 by the Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NPR and PBS NewsHour. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the United States were contacted through a multi-mode design: By phone using live interviewers, by text, or online. Survey questions were available in English. Phone and online samples were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its adult population. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2020 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±3.8 percentage points. There are 1,218 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.9 percentage points. Tables include results for subgroups to only display crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted
Yes he is a complete lunatic with rocks for brains. He is a stopped clock on a couple of issues.
Kennedy is using the Ross Perot technique to flush the GOP.
Nothing about whether they were likely voters?
How accurate has Marist polling been in previous election cycles?
Baloney! Trump benefits with RFK Jr. runs.
“Biden (49%) and Trump (46%)”
What in the world do people actually LIKE about the past three years? Ultra high inflation? Unaffordable food, gasoline? Five million illegals streaming in grabbing every freebie we can throw their way? The world on fire everywhere you look. Rabid anti-Semitic Marxists coming out of the woodwork all over the country and in our Congress? The worst race relations in a couple of generations? WOKE mayors and city councils bowing to radical racist BLM and killing police budgets? Out of control property crime and violent crime against people? Murder rates? Anti-white CRT and WOKEism in the military killing our enlistments and readiness? Record-setting stratospheric national debt?
WHAT do people like?
That's just RFK Jr. doing his Katherine Hepburn imitation.
Is that better than blindly listening and reposting fragments of what the media tells you about him which is what we get here ?
I’m so pissed reading this because some conservatives are idiots “oh good he’s against vaccines! “
He has always been against ALL vaccines and he’s a total kook.
If you watch him on tv he can’t string 3 words together to explain himself.
I think he’s a fool to begin with, and then he doesn’t want to answer conservative’s questions because he doesn’t agree with them on anything.
And CPAC invited this leftist???
Mix of Registered voters and any adult. Garbage methodology
False.
He will take black democrats with him. Reparations.
White youths who think like Greta Thornbird about climate change doom.
I agree I don’t see much similarity of views with RFK and MagaMan, and more with Bribden and JFK Who is leaving Trump for RFK; doesn’t make sense.
I’d have to see more polling but I kind of doubt a democrat would take more votes from a Republican than another democrat. If he was really hurting Trump he’d be doing interviews on MSNBC.
I guess if it was really bad Trump could offer him a cabinet position
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