Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Report: Murder Rate is Higher in Blue Counties than in Red Ones
American Greatness ^ | 10/18/2023 | Eric Lendrum

Posted on 10/18/2023 9:34:19 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

A new report from a conservative think tank reveals that the rate of homicides have consistently been higher in Democrat-run counties than Republican-run ones since 2002.

According to Fox News, the report from the Heritage Foundation directly contradicts an unproven claim that has been repeated by many Democrats claiming that the opposite is true. California Governor Gavin Newsom (D-Calif.) recently said that “8 of the top 10 murder states are red,” while far-left billionaire George Soros similarly and falsely claimed that “murder rates have been rising fastest in some Republican states led by tough-on-crime politicians.”

But in the new Heritage report, authored by Kevin Dayaratna and Alexander Gage, debunks this claim by pointing out that the studies which made this assertion – including a study by the left-wing think tank Third Way – simply look at crime on a state-by-state basis rather than on a local level.

“It is true that red states have higher homicide rates than blue states, but the problem with this is that crime is a hyper-localized phenomenon,” said Dayaratna. “It doesn’t make sense to talk about at the state level. It makes sense to talk about at the local level because that’s where the prosecutions occur. The local level crime is handled at the local level by local police, so when you look at this question on a local basis, namely the county level, you’ll see that the trend is reversed.”

“If you look at the analysis on a state-by-state level, it’s 34% higher in red states and blue states, according to the most recent data we analyzed, but then when you look at it as a county-by-county level, it is 60% higher in blue counties than red counties,” he continued.

Furthermore, Dayaratna pointed out that studies like Third Way’s failed to take into consideration the political shift of many states in the last 20 years, as some former swing states have now become much more reliably Republican while others have become solidly Democratic.

“Third Way held ‘red’ states and ‘blue’ states constant in terms of how they voted in the 2020 presidential election. This approach is fundamentally flawed because electoral sentiment changed across the time period used for the study,” the report notes.

In response to the new study and the direct criticisms, Third Way released a statement making excuses for its own study’s flaws, claiming without evidence that “data is missing or suppressed for many suburban and rural counties, making a complete county-level analysis impossible.” A Third Way spokesman also justified the failure to update states’ political leanings by saying that they “chose an approach that categorized states consistently across all 21 years,” claiming that “including electoral changes would only increase red state murder rates.”



TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bluestate; crime; murderrate; redstate

1 posted on 10/18/2023 9:34:19 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

🤔


2 posted on 10/18/2023 9:37:11 PM PDT by Right Brother (Pray for God's intervention to stop UMCRevMom's invasion of Free Republic)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Uh oh.

Where’s Lt. Columbo ?


3 posted on 10/18/2023 9:48:06 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Tonight on Father Spitzer’s Universe, the priest who was once president of Gonzaga University, answered a viewer’s question: With all the unrest and out of control crime in so many cities, what should be the proper Christian response?”

He replied: “There are surveys and statistics listing the worst cities for crime rates. Find these and move to a city that is on the list for being safest.”

Didn’t say “forgive them” or try to understand them and talk to them.

Saint Theresa of Calcutta said: “People believe I mean I merely want them to send some money when they aske me what I want them to do to help the people in the poorest neighborhoods. I reply when they say what can I do, go down at 4 am to a really bad neighborhood in a large city and come up to a sleeping homeless person and say I want you to know someone cares about you.”

I believe no one ever took her up on that.


4 posted on 10/18/2023 9:54:09 PM PDT by frank ballenger (“My job is to inform, not to convince.” St. Bernadette Soubirous )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Steely Tom

Where’s Capt Obvious?


5 posted on 10/18/2023 10:32:40 PM PDT by Bullish (...And just like that, I was dropped from the ping-list)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Steely Tom

“I’m strangely comfortable with it”

/Connor MacManus, The Boondock Saints


6 posted on 10/18/2023 11:39:41 PM PDT by Salamander (Please visit my profile page help save my beloved dog's life. https://www.givesendgo.com/G2FUF.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Steely Tom

Muzzled by the threat of being called a racist.


7 posted on 10/19/2023 2:26:35 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: frank ballenger

Father Spitzer is correct of course, for a myriad of reasons. The high violence cities have governments which create the violence through lax prosecution,mismanagement, and government corruption. What holds up these evil citadel are the good productive people who also are the victims. Removing the economic support and pool of victims would I’m plode these horrible places...think about it.


8 posted on 10/19/2023 3:51:14 AM PDT by Wpin ("I Have Sworn Upon the Altar of God eternal hostility against every form of tyranny...")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Wpin

Social justice perpetuates crime. In the past decade, Democrats have taken it a few steps further with what they call social equity, intended to take all that you own, including your peace of mind.


9 posted on 10/19/2023 8:23:15 AM PDT by Eva (…)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Eva

There is a difference between Catholic social justice and liberal social justice. Clearly distinct...


10 posted on 10/20/2023 4:55:03 AM PDT by Wpin ("I Have Sworn Upon the Altar of God eternal hostility against every form of tyranny...")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

“Murder Rate is Higher in Blue Counties than in Red Ones”

Duh.


11 posted on 10/20/2023 5:25:48 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam ("Normal" is never coming back.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Hmmm...... the report was colored with red and blue but somehow failed to mention black and white


12 posted on 10/20/2023 5:28:27 AM PDT by bert ( (KWE. NP. N.C. +12) Joe Biden is a kleptocrat)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Wpin

Are you kidding me? Catholic Social Justice was invented by the socialist Jesuits in Europe as a way to spread their communist beliefs throughout Sout America.


13 posted on 10/20/2023 9:18:05 AM PDT by Eva (…)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Sure, urban Blue counties versus rural Red counties.

If you look at it by states, the results are skewed by a few Deep South Red States and a few Deep North Blue States.

You can use statistics to prove whatever you want.

Crime rates may have more to do with other factors than with gun laws.


14 posted on 10/20/2023 9:26:27 AM PDT by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson