Posted on 04/26/2023 7:48:50 AM PDT by Joe Brower
The Painful Reality of Trump the Candidate
Trump’s pathway to winning the general election in 2024 looks almost impossible.
American Greatness
RodThompson
4/9/2023
Everyone fighting to save America from the destruction of the Democratic Left needs to face up to some realities. Realities that will be hard to swallow. They are for me, after voting for President Trump twice and believing, as I do, that the 2020 election was at least rigged, and possibly stolen.
But that was then. Whatever happened—and considering how much has been destroyed now by statute, we will never know—Joe Biden is catastrophically doddering around the White House. If the nation has any chance at all of saving or recapturing the fundamentals and traditions that made America great in the first place, we can not endure another term of any Democrat in the White House.
And so a cold, steely-eyed examination of this moment is essential.
There are a multitude of issues that will play into the 2024 results, including the likelihood of a recession, fraying relations around the world, maybe another pandemic that would allow Biden or Kamala Harris to stay in the basement while the media does all their campaigning for them; and other surprises not yet imagined. But let’s just take the bottom line that matters: Winning a majority of the Electoral College votes. In the end, this is the only issue that counts, and it is kind of ugly.
First, the only way a Trump candidacy makes sense is if indeed the 2020 election was stolen, which means that illegal actions were taken in violation of state laws in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan—all states that flipped from 2016 to 2020 but were close and were known to have shenanigans in 2020. (When I say “rigged,” I mean the four-year, un-American horror show from the leftist-Democrat-media establishment culminating in suppression of Hunter Biden’s laptop—the rigging that occurred before ballots were cast and votes counted.)
If Trump honestly lost in 2020, fair and square at the ballot box, then there is no argument for him being the nominee again.
So for our sober, unemotional analysis, let’s operate on the assumption that 2020 was stolen, and also assume based on all precedents that election results must be very close in a state for Democratic cheating to work, and then proceed with our dispassionate analysis.
Each one of those states is in either the same position it was in 2020, or has shifted to Democrats. Arizona had a Republican governor and attorney general. It now has a Democratic governor and attorney general. If it were truly stolen in 2020 under the noses of Republicans, why would anyone believe it would not be more easily stolen again in 2024 under the control of Democrats?
Pennsylvania has become more liberal in its power structure. Michigan is entirely Democrat now in Lansing. So Philadelphia and Detroit will remain cesspools of corruption that will provide however many votes are needed for a Democratic victory (if it is close) even if it means kicking out Republican observers and covering the windows in the vote-counting offices.
Wisconsin remains in Republican hands, but conservatives just lost the state Supreme Court, a possibly fatal blow against honest voting results in Milwaukee and Madison.
Georgia is the best possible case, as it has tightened its election laws some, although of course nothing like the media hysteria and idiotic move by Major League Baseball suggested. But the Republican governor and secretary of state were brutally criticized, mocked and ultimately alienated by Trump for 2020. It’s not likely they will go to the mat for him in a general election. Again, this is a dispassionate analysis and we’re dealing with human nature.
So realistically, if the very first objective is to eject Democrats from the White House, what path forward do supporters of Trump as the Republican nominee see? I would love to hear how this electoral mountain is overcome. Because those states need winning.
One reasonable retort is that these states will try to cheat regardless of the GOP nominee. Almost assuredly. But remember our assumption that the results must be close, within less than a percentage point, for Democrats to flip it. In all of the states we are talking about except Michigan, that appears to have been the case in 2020. Historically in elections where there has been evidence or suspicion of Democratic cheating in races, it’s often been much tighter than that.
The evidence in polling and in 2022 election results is that Trump remains popular among Republicans, particularly with the indictment farce playing out in New York, but he is less popular than ever among a critical mass of independent and swing voters.
We cannot forget what a historic disaster the 2022 midterms were for Republicans. There may be plenty of blame to go around, but certainly some of it falls to Donald Trump. For instance, the Senate and gubernatorial candidates he endorsed in the primaries in the key states of Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania all lost in the general election. Ditto for the Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate who lost by 11 points, although he was also massively outspent.
Trump has not been able to let go of 2020, and it is an electoral anchor around his neck and the necks of those he endorses in key, purple races. And even if he tries now to let it go, it will be brought up incessantly and he will have to keep answering questions about it because it has been his primary issue for two years.
So, again, with Trump as the nominee for the GOP, what is even a remotely conceivable path to his victory in 2024? He needs almost all of these states and a safe bet would be he could not win any with the exception of Georgia based on the leadership in those states now.
We just can’t wish for lollipops and rainbows because we believe Trump got hosed in 2020. Of course he did. We all did. That cannot matter now because it cannot be undone. And we can’t read columns like this, or worse just the headline, and jump to the comments section with “Enough RINOs! #Trump2024!” We’ve got to be smarter. A lot smarter. Or we lose our nation.
What matters is that Joe Biden or some other Democrat is not in the White House for six or 10 years. We don’t come back from that. Republicans have some good options, in part because Trump showed the way in 2016. But unless someone can prove the logic of this electoral map and election cheating analysis is wrong, Trump’s pathway to winning the general election in 2024 looks almost impossible.
Until that is disassembled, it doesn't matter what candidate the GOP runs for POTUS in 2024 -- Trump, DeSantis, the man in the moon -- it's not going to matter.
Maybe some of the energy being expended here railing against Trump, raving about DeSantis, could be spent on getting this fixed.
Otherwise, it's all just a waste of time.
Yes, a sober reminder of the difficulty of the situation. I don’t want to hear how Trump (or DeSantis or any GOP candidate) is going to cruise to victory in ‘24. No, they’re not. Show me the states that we lost in ‘20 that we’re going to easily win in ‘24.
How will the election observers deal with Maricopa County cheating again and again.
The only way to have a fair election in ‘24 is for GOP congress critters to enact and enforce radical voting reforms. And also hold investigations and hearings into past stolen elections. And do it now.
But of course they won’t.
And Trump should do his part. Instead of spending most of is time attacking DeSantis, he should be on target about the massive amounts of voter fraud and the dangers the dems in office are doing to our country.
Well of course he’s right. Unless 2020 gets fixed Jesus Christ couldn’t win on the Republican ticket in 2024. So what are the options to fix 2020? Congressionally and judicially it simply isn’t going to happen or we would already see it. That leaves one answer. The military.
Trump said in an informal conversation recently that 2024 would indeed be bigger than 2020 because “it won’t be traditional”. Then he immediately pivoted to another subject.
Trump said we’re going to get rid of 75%-85% of street crime. What entity could pull that off? Not the cops.
Trump said we’re going to get all the homeless off the streets and into camps where they can be mentally and physically rehabilitated. What entity could pull that off?
Don’t shoot me for being a good guesser. 😏
I think Trump wins GA outright in 2024.
AZ, tossup but a possible win. WI, tossup but a possible win.
I don’t think Trump has a chance in PA or MI any longer, Dems have have solidified their positions in state elections in 2022.
If Trump gets GA, AZ, WI, then he wins in 2024.
Problem for Trump isn’t Dominion machines, it’s that ballot harvesting and mass mail-in ballots are legal and encouraged in many states. Dems in urban areas have millions of voters in a few square miles with Republicans spread out in suburbs and rural areas.
Thank you, your after comment is spot on. I’ve said all this since the Dems trotted out mail in ballots because of COVID.
While we have always had fraud, but the current version is coordinated and heavily funded by foreign entities.
Where I differ with you is that there is no fixing it.
The theft of elections has been going on for long time. The republican party has done nothing about it. They are part of it and only rally behind candidates who will obey orders. If people can’t see that then this country is truly done.
Argue as much as you want that Trump shouldn’t be the nominee, or that he has an uphill battle, but the fact remains that nobody else has a snowball’s chance in hell of getting the nomination, unless Trump chooses not to run.
So we’d better get used to the idea and see if we can’t find a way to push him to victory, unless you want 4 more years of Biden.
It's not that they won't but that they can't even if they wanted to. No reform in the House would ever pass the Senate. Even if passed by the Senate it would never survive a presidential veto. And, of course, if it were to be signed into law, enforcement would be by Biden's DOJ. Any reforms would have to be at the state level. Unfortunately, those states that need reform the most are controlled by Democrats.
Maybe some of the energy being expended here railing against Trump, raving about DeSantis, could be spent on getting this fixed.
Otherwise, it’s all just a waste of time.
https://sheepdogenterprises.com/on-sheep-wolves-and-sheepdogs-dave-grossman/
Read the above, read it slowly, let your lips move and then read it again. Print it out and give to others.
“The only way to have a fair election in ‘24 is for GOP congress critters to enact and enforce radical voting reforms. And also hold investigations and hearings into past stolen elections. And do it now.”
State Legislatures are in control of election rules. For example, I don’t think Congress can tell Nevada that Nevada can’t mail out ballots to every voter in the state (whether or not a voter wants to receive a mail-in ballot). State Legislatures are in control of voter ID rules, State Legislatures are in control of drop boxes.
Courts are allowing states to require valid Gov’t ID to vote. Courts are allowing states to cut back on mail-in ballots and to do away with drop boxes, but the State Legislators have to do something.
As we fast approach the end of an over 200 year old failing experiment in human freedom, I thought this good man’s decades long effort to warn us might be a fitting finale. In the 1980’s, Larry McDonald and a handful of others predicted this madness!
https://www.bitchute.com/video/DIddb3VSBMEV/
Where is that stated in either the article or in my comments?
And, it's not just Democrat fraud at work here. The Republican establishment was in on the fix against Trump in Georgia and Arizona.
You’re late!
If you can’t see it in the article, I’m not about to lead you by the nose and point it out to you. I’m not your reading comprehension teacher.
You should go out and get some air. Take a good long walk.
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