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Large Tornado outbreak possible today idwest to Mid south: HIGH risk issued
SPC

Posted on 03/31/2023 9:05:17 AM PDT by janetjanet998

A very Large Moderate issued from IA to MS

within that MOD risk an Upgrade to HIGH for Violent Tornadoes

ONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE

VALID 311537Z - 311630Z

SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF THE MODERATE RISK OVER SOUTHEASTERN IA, NORTHWESTERN IL, AND FAR NORTHEASTERN MO WILL BE UPGRADED TO A CATEGORICAL HIGH RISK IN THE 1630 UTC CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

DISCUSSION...AN UPGRADE TO A TORNADO-DRIVEN HIGH RISK (30% PROBABILITY) IS EXPECTED FOR THE 1630 UTC OUTLOOK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE QUICKLY BECOMING FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS STRONG TO POTENTIALLY VIOLENT AND LONG-TRACK TORNADOES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN IA, NORTHWESTERN IL, AND FAR NORTHEASTERN MO. PLEASE SEE THE FORTHCOMING DAY 1 OUTLOOK UPDATE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

and

VALID 311547Z - 311645Z

SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA OVER EASTERN AR, SOUTHWESTERN TN, AND NORTHERN MS WILL BE UPGRADED TO A CATEGORICAL HIGH RISK IN THE 1630 UTC CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

DISCUSSION...AN UPGRADE TO A TORNADO-DRIVEN HIGH RISK (30% PROBABILITY) IS EXPECTED FOR THE 1630 UTC OUTLOOK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE QUICKLY BECOMING FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS STRONG TO POTENTIALLY VIOLENT AND LONG-TRACK TORNADOES ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AR, SOUTHWESTERN TN, AND NORTHERN MS. PLEASE SEE THE FORTHCOMING DAY 1 OUTLOOK UPDATE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: arkansas; iowa; missouri; prayersneeded; tennessee
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To: janetjanet998
Tornado Warning: eastern Arkansas... heading for Hot Springs.
41 posted on 03/31/2023 11:11:36 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: basalt

Rochester Indiana

A Dean’s Milk semi trailer blew into her house where she was sitting, knitting

6 lost in that town, one was a 2 month old that was swept from a mothers arms as the tried to get to cover

We lived 12 miles away and never knew it happened until an uncle in Chicago heard about the storms sweeping through and called us

Complete chaos when we got there. Hours went by before NG would let my father through to check.

She had already been moved and we’d exhausted the other possibld possible placeslaces she might have ended up.

Finally my dad and I eventually went to the local funeral home and saw 5 bodies on the garage floor, one of them covered in an unfinished afghan with her little old ladies shoes. A sight that’s still vivid in my mind 50 years later

My mother never recovered from that and took her own life 8 years late


42 posted on 03/31/2023 11:13:31 AM PDT by digger48
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To: digger48

Dang... media was focused on Xenia that day, but there were (clearly) a lot of other stories of loss. Very sad.


43 posted on 03/31/2023 11:19:35 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: digger48
Speechless condolences, FRiend   :-(
44 posted on 03/31/2023 11:19:52 AM PDT by tomkat (SOTU = FUBAR)
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To: alancarp

Just like the media was so focused on New Orleans during Katrina, they ignored the deaths in Mississippi and Alabama.


45 posted on 03/31/2023 11:21:58 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: alancarp

Tornado Warning issued March 31 at 1:13PM CDT until March 31 at 1:45PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
Garland County in central Arkansas...
Southeastern Montgomery County in western Arkansas...
Northwestern Hot Spring County in southwestern Arkansas...

* Until 145 PM CDT.

* At 112 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Meyers, or 17 miles west of Hot Springs, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Hot Springs... Hot Springs Village... Mountain Pine... Hot Springs Memorial Field... Meyers... Jessieville... Lake Ouachita State Park... Lofton... Rockwell... Hot Springs National Park... Oaklawn Racetrack... Bonnerdale... Sunshine... Welsh... Mountain Valley... Royal... Gulpha Gorge... Pettyview... Hempwallace... Pearcy...


46 posted on 03/31/2023 11:24:12 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: digger48

Wow. Heartfelt condolences. I can’t imagine what that must have been like as a young boy.


47 posted on 03/31/2023 11:25:27 AM PDT by Mama Shawna
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To: digger48
So very sorry for the traumatic memories you have carried through all these years.

Have been hearing tragic stories about the survivors of last week's massive tornado. Many people with spine fractures, spinal cord injuries, impaled by flying debris, crushed and severed limbs, and more. Horrific injuries with extreme life-altering effects.

Catastrophic events like these tend to put most other life events into perspective.

48 posted on 03/31/2023 11:31:07 AM PDT by NautiNurse (There was a 2022 mid-term Red Wave...in Florida! )
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To: alancarp

Been to Hot Springs a few times.


49 posted on 03/31/2023 11:35:31 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: alancarp

Looks like just North of Hot Springs.


50 posted on 03/31/2023 11:36:39 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dfwgator

Right... and the radar pics suggest it’s weakening a bit. Good news for now, but it’s only the first of the day.

Meanwhile, stormchaser Reed Timmer is currently up in Illinois.


51 posted on 03/31/2023 11:38:49 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: alancarp

Tornado Warning for Little Rock


52 posted on 03/31/2023 12:06:09 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: who knows what evil?
...but what does Ryan Hall think?

Hall just said this will be the most dangerous (weather) day of the last decade. :-(

53 posted on 03/31/2023 12:07:16 PM PDT by Paul R. (You know your pullets are dumb if they don't recognize a half Whopper as food!)
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To: Paul R.

first high risk in 10 years for the midwest


54 posted on 03/31/2023 12:09:10 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: dfwgator

That (approaching) Little Rock storm had a real hook for one radar frame, and seems to be “trying” again.


55 posted on 03/31/2023 12:19:10 PM PDT by Paul R. (You know your pullets are dumb if they don't recognize a half Whopper as food!)
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To: janetjanet998

That’s pretty sobering when one (that’d be me) visited the destruction in Mayfield, KY a couple weeks after that disaster, and imagines that same storm hitting a city like Little Rock...


56 posted on 03/31/2023 12:22:00 PM PDT by Paul R. (You know your pullets are dumb if they don't recognize a half Whopper as food!)
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That drone view is unbeatable. Take a position 10 miles SE of hot cell and launch that thing. That’ll be the hot new thing for the rest of this chase season.


57 posted on 03/31/2023 12:22:02 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (Tanned, rested, and ready.)
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To: Paul R.

...sounds like my viewing plans are set for the evening.


58 posted on 03/31/2023 12:22:50 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...siameserescue.org)
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To: Paul R.

Confirmed tornado on the ground West of Little Rock.


59 posted on 03/31/2023 12:23:34 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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LITTLE ROCK, AR: find your safe space.


60 posted on 03/31/2023 12:24:53 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (Tanned, rested, and ready.)
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