"Meteorological seasons are useful for more than just bringing consistency to seasonal comparisons.
As it turns out, they are often well-timed to capture the most 'representative' weather of each season."
A dying, overstayed La Nina has historical analogues of producing warm winters -- and a pronounced early spring tornado season in the Heartland...this part is already freakishly visible, verifying to the extent that Selma high-end F3 this week was a(n) (underreported) beast for January; and to a lesser extent, a dying, overstayed La Nina also 'warms' the UK (minus the tornado threat).
'Warms' in locus to the extent Arctic air is forestalled from descending onto the UK and the Continent.
If the UK is warmer it follows that the EU is warmer, natch, and thus it becomes extremely rare for a mid-to-late-season back-door Arctic blast to develop, that then somehow progresses into the Continent without enveloping the UK.
The potential that the EU is going to go into the 'deep freezer' and stay there this 2022-2023 season is rapidly approaching zero.