Did the natives keep water records 1000 years ago.
Amazing the “scientists” know exactly how much it rained 1000 years ago and exactly what the weather will be 100 years from now but can’t predict the weather more than a week in advance.
I think that you and I are on the same side, here - but it is, indeed, statistically easier to predict how many people will die in a large city in the course of next year than will die in a small village in the course of next week.
Statistics!
Regards,
***Amazing the “scientists” know exactly how much it rained 1000 years ago***
Tree ring data shows good and bad years. There was a real dry period around 1275-1299.
tree rings
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/how-tree-rings-tell-time-and-climate-history