Another stupid article. It points out that Lake was POLLING just 2 points ahead of Hobbs and claims her loss was impossible to imagine.
Pollsters were well aware they had overestimated Democrats by 3-5 points in 2020. So they put their thumb on the scale and this time overestimated Republicans by 3 points. Does ANYONE believe polling is precise to within 2 points?
BTW - those facts are why I thought Lake would win by 5 and Masters might win by 1-2 points. I gave to Masters instead of Lake because I thought she didn’t need the help. But it was ALWAYS going to be a very close election - and spitting on McCain voters in Arizona (including independents) was DUMB! He wasn’t the heart throb of GOP voters outside of Maricopa County, but inside the county they loved him.
From your linked article: “It is just a theory, but I believe that aggressive ballot-harvesting is the most likely explanation for the disparity between pollster predictions and actual results in the 2022 midterm elections.”
Ballot harvesting is ILLEGAL in Arizona.
“’You are a criminal’: Judge sentences AZ woman to jail in ballot harvesting case”: